BBMI Rank · #24 of 32

New York Giants

Record 4-132025 SeasonPower rating -2.2

Analytics, not picks

Projected

4–13

0% playoff · 0% division

Offense above average · Defense poor · ranked 24th of 32 by power rating.

Offense

EPA #15

EPA/play

+0.042

15th

Pass EPA

+0.084

12th

Rush EPA

-0.040

16th

Defense

EPA #25

EPA/play

+0.074

25th

Pass def EPA

+0.121

19th

Rush def EPA

+0.130

32nd

EPA = expected points added per play, opponent-adjusted. Ranks are out of 32 teams; green flags values well above average, red below. Defensive EPA is better when lower.

EPA trend by week

Navy = offensive EPA/play (higher is better). Rust = defensive EPA/play (lower is better).

Position group grades

QuarterbackB+

EPA/dropback: +0.118 (#12)

J.Dart

ReceiversB-

YAC EPA: -0.450 (#20)

W.Robinson

Running GameB

EPA/rush: -0.037 (#16)

T.Tracy

O-LineB+

Stuff rate %: +17.400 (#10)

Pass RushC

Sack rate %: 5.800 (#25)

CoverageB-

Opp pass EPA: 0.092 (#19)

Run DefenseD

Opp rush EPA: 0.111 (#32)

Special TeamsB

Net ST EPA: -7.600 (#14)

Schedule & results

Wk	Opponent	Result	Score	Off EPA	Def EPA
1	@WAS	L	6-21	-0.138	+0.155
2	@DAL	L	37-40	+0.054	+0.161
3	vsKC	L	9-22	-0.017	+0.165
4	vsLAC	W	21-18	-0.034	+0.083
5	@NO	L	14-26	-0.092	+0.090
6	vsPHI	W	34-17	-0.008	+0.056
7	@DEN	L	32-33	+0.038	+0.065
8	@PHI	L	20-38	+0.042	+0.138
9	vsSF	L	24-34	+0.064	+0.167
10	@CHI	L	20-24	+0.053	+0.153
11	vsGB	L	20-27	+0.066	+0.183
12	@DET	L	27-34	+0.077	+0.179
13	@NE	L	15-33	+0.056	+0.175
15	vsWAS	L	21-29	+0.053	+0.150
16	vsMIN	L	13-16	+0.013	+0.119
17	@LV	W	34-10	+0.042	+0.074
18	vsDAL	W	34-17	—	—

Per-game offensive and defensive EPA are analytics — BBMI doesn’t issue NFL picks. Defensive EPA is better when negative.

Season projections

Projected record

4–13

Playoff probability

Division win

Playoff probability by week

Projected record by week

Monte Carlo simulation (2,000 iterations per week). Each point reflects the projected season outcome from data available at that week.

Insights

Missing key starters: Wan'Dale Robinson, Theo Johnson
Theo Johnson (WR) absence worth ~0.6 points (undisclosed injury, missed 2 games)
Tyrone Tracy Jr. (RB) absence worth ~0.5 points (undisclosed injury, missed 2 games)
DJ Davidson (DEF) absence worth ~0.5 points (undisclosed injury, missed 2 games)
Darius Slayton (WR) absence worth ~0.6 points (undisclosed injury, missed 3 games)

Elo rating history

How these ratings are built

BBMI NFL ratings use opponent-adjusted EPA (expected points added per play) on both sides of the ball, plus home field and rest. The power rating is the projected margin against an average team on a neutral field — the same number that drives the playoff simulation.

NFL is analytics-only: BBMI publishes ratings and projections, not betting picks. See the methodology for why.