NFC SOUTH • 2026 SEASON
New Orleans Saints
#25
BBMI rank
-2.9
Rating
6.3–10.7
Proj record
11%
Make playoffs
Rating, projected record and playoff odds are current through week 7. They come from the week 8 season simulation, built 2026-10-28, and are based on games played and a preseason market prior that fades as results come in.
Next game
Game Picks →Last updated:
Cleveland Browns
SUN NOV 8 • 12:00 PM CT
Premium
projected score
New Orleans Saints
Schedule & projections
win prob from the board, week by week as it pricesLast updated:
DATEOPPONENTRESULTOPP RKLINEWIN %WIN PROB
Sep 13
at DETL 30–31#9+7.028%
at DETSep 20
at BALW 24–17#14+8.526%
at BALSep 27
vs LVL 27–35#23-3.567%
vs LVOct 5
vs ATLL 24–45#18-1.051%
vs ATLOct 11
vs MINL 13–23#3+2.544%
vs MINOct 18
at NYGW 34–27#17-1.037%
at NYGOct 25
vs PITL 10–16#12+3.044%
vs PITNov 8vs CLESun 12:00 PM#16-2.5Premium
vs CLENov 15
vs CARSun 12:00 PM#19-1.5Premium
vs CARNov 22
at CHISun 12:00 PM#8+6.5Premium
at CHINov 29
at CINSun 12:00 PM#7+6.5Premium
at CINDec 6
vs GBSun 12:00 PM#15+4.5Premium
vs GBDec 13at CARSun 12:00 PM#19+2.5Premium
at CARDec 20
at TBSun 12:00 PM#22+3.5Premium
at TBDec 27
vs ARISun 12:00 PM#28-5.5Premium
vs ARIJan 3at ATLSun 12:00 PM#18+1.5Premium
at ATLJan 10vs TBSun 12:00 PM#22+1.5Premium
vs TBModel lines, edges and win probabilities for games that have not kicked off are premium. Members see them on the NFL picks board; every number goes public at kickoff.
Ranking over time
weekly · place of 32#20#25
#25
07-1409-2910-27
07-14 #2307-28 #2209-15 #2209-22 #2009-29 #2410-06 #2610-13 #2710-20 #2410-27 #25
9 weekly snapshots, frozen on Tuesdays while the sport is playing, ranked the way the rankings board ranks: by BBMI Rating. Each entry is that Tuesday’s place.
Playoff odds
Pulse →Last updated:
Win the NFC South10%
Make the playoffs11%
No. 1 seed (bye)0%
Reach the Super Bowl0%
Win the Super Bowl0%
Regular-season wins
middle half of simsLast updated:
6.3
3456789
Middle half of the simulations: 5 to 7 wins. The wider published interval, the 10th to the 90th, is 4 to 8. The sim publishes those two percentiles only, so the middle half is derived from them rather than read.
Profile
Offense 2026 (EPA/play)-0.030#22
Defense 2026 (EPA/play)+0.076#26
Pass offense 2026 (EPA/play)+0.038#21
Rush offense 2026 (EPA/play)-0.162#24
Pass defense 2026 (EPA/play)+0.114#22
Rush defense 2026 (EPA/play)+0.019#32
Schedule strength (opp rating)-0.2#20
Projected wins6.3#25
These are 2026 figures, through week 7. EPA per scrimmage play (pass or rush, kneels and spikes excluded), measured from this season’s play-by-play and republished every Tuesday with the rating and the playoff odds. Defense is EPA allowed per play, so less is better.
Early in a season these are small samples: one week is a single opponent, so a rank can move a long way on one game.
Early in a season these are small samples: one week is a single opponent, so a rank can move a long way on one game.
BBMI picks on the Saints
2026 • ATS0–0
Picks on NO
2–5
Picks against
-3.2u
Net, flat 1u
ON took this club, AGAINST took its opponent. This sport stores the side it took by name, so neither is inferred. 7 graded picks.
Probabilities may not add to 100%. All results are model projections, not guarantees.