NFC NORTH • 2026 SEASON
Minnesota Vikings
#3
BBMI rank
+2.3
Rating
11.8–5.2
Proj record
92%
Make playoffs
Rating, projected record and playoff odds are current through week 7. They come from the week 8 season simulation, built 2026-10-28, and are based on games played and a preseason market prior that fades as results come in.
Next game
Game Picks →Last updated:
Minnesota Vikings
SUN NOV 1 • 12:00 PM CT
Premium
projected score
Detroit Lions
Model assumes: Kyler Murray (MIN) v Jared Goff (DET)
Schedule & projections
win prob from the board, week by week as it pricesLast updated:
DATEOPPONENTRESULTOPP RKLINEWIN %WIN PROB
Sep 13
vs GBW 39–22#15-1.547%
vs GBSep 20
at CHIW 9–3#8+4.543%
at CHISep 27
at TBW 23–16#22-1.060%
at TBOct 4
vs MIAW 15–10#31-9.584%
vs MIAOct 11
at NOW 23–13#25-2.556%
at NOOct 25
vs INDW 16–10#24-7.066%
vs INDNov 1at DETSun 12:00 PM#9+3.5Premium
at DETNov 9
vs BUFMon 7:15 PM#2+2.5Premium
vs BUFNov 15at GBSun 12:00 PM#15+4.5Premium
at GBNov 22
at SFSun 7:20 PM#1+3.5Premium
at SFNov 29
vs ATLSun 12:00 PM#18-3.5Premium
vs ATLDec 6
vs CARSun 3:25 PM#19-3.5Premium
vs CARDec 10
at NEThu 7:15 PM#11+4.5Premium
at NEDec 20vs DETSun 7:20 PM#9+2.5Premium
vs DETDec 27
vs WASSun 12:00 PM#26-2.5Premium
vs WASJan 3
at NYJSun 12:00 PM#27-3.5Premium
at NYJJan 10vs CHISun 12:00 PM#8-1.5Premium
vs CHIModel lines, edges and win probabilities for games that have not kicked off are premium. Members see them on the NFL picks board; every number goes public at kickoff.
Ranking over time
weekly · place of 32#1#5#10#15#20
#3
07-1409-2910-27
07-14 #1807-28 #1809-15 #1709-22 #1209-29 #710-06 #710-13 #410-20 #410-27 #3
9 weekly snapshots, frozen on Tuesdays while the sport is playing, ranked the way the rankings board ranks: by BBMI Rating. Each entry is that Tuesday’s place.
Playoff odds
Pulse →Last updated:
Win the NFC North53%
Make the playoffs92%
No. 1 seed (bye)20%
Reach the Super Bowl11%
Win the Super Bowl5%
Regular-season wins
middle half of simsLast updated:
11.8
9101112131415
Middle half of the simulations: 11 to 13 wins. The wider published interval, the 10th to the 90th, is 10 to 14. The sim publishes those two percentiles only, so the middle half is derived from them rather than read.
Profile
Offense 2026 (EPA/play)-0.096#30
Defense 2026 (EPA/play)-0.220#1
Pass offense 2026 (EPA/play)-0.024#25
Rush offense 2026 (EPA/play)-0.195#27
Pass defense 2026 (EPA/play)-0.226#1
Rush defense 2026 (EPA/play)-0.212#1
Schedule strength (opp rating)+0.8#7
Projected wins11.8#3
These are 2026 figures, through week 7. EPA per scrimmage play (pass or rush, kneels and spikes excluded), measured from this season’s play-by-play and republished every Tuesday with the rating and the playoff odds. Defense is EPA allowed per play, so less is better.
Early in a season these are small samples: one week is a single opponent, so a rank can move a long way on one game.
Early in a season these are small samples: one week is a single opponent, so a rank can move a long way on one game.
BBMI picks on the Vikings
2026 • ATS0–0
Picks on MIN
3–3
Picks against
-0.3u
Net, flat 1u
ON took this club, AGAINST took its opponent. This sport stores the side it took by name, so neither is inferred. 6 graded picks.
Probabilities may not add to 100%. All results are model projections, not guarantees.