NFC WEST • 2026 SEASON
Los Angeles Rams
#1
BBMI rank
+7.0
Rating
11.7–5.3
Proj record
88%
Make playoffs
Rating, projected record and playoff odds are preseason. They come from the week 1 season simulation, built 2026-07-19, and are seeded from market win-total priors rather than from games played. The schedule, the lines and the results below are current.
Next game
Game Picks →
New York Giants
MON SEP 21 • 7:15 PM CT
not projected yet
projected score
Los Angeles Rams
—
Model line
-7.0
Market line
—
Edge
—
Win probability
Schedule & projections
win prob from the board, week by week as it pricesDATEOPPONENTRESULTOPP RKLINEWIN %WIN PROB
Sep 10
vs SFL 7–27#6-3.560%
vs SFSep 21vs NYGMon 7:15 PM#24-7.0
vs NYGSep 27
at DENSun 7:20 PM#13-3.0
at DENOct 4
at PHISun 12:00 PM#9-3.0
at PHIOct 12
vs BUFMon 7:15 PM#3-3.0
vs BUFOct 18
vs ARISun 3:05 PM#32-13.5
vs ARIOct 25
at LVSun 3:25 PM#28-8.5
at LVNov 1
vs LACSun 3:05 PM#11-4.5
vs LACNov 8
at WASSun 12:00 PM#23-5.5
at WASNov 15at ARISun 3:05 PM#32-10.5
at ARINov 25
vs GBWed 7:00 PM#12-4.5
vs GBDec 3
vs KCThu 7:15 PM#8-3.5
vs KCDec 13at SFSun 3:25 PM#6-2.5
at SFDec 20
vs DALSun 3:25 PM#16-6.0
vs DALDec 25
at SEAFri 7:15 PM#50.0
at SEAJan 3
at TBSun 12:00 PM#20-4.5
at TBJan 10vs SEASun 12:00 PM#5-3.0
vs SEARanking over time
no series publishedThe weekly store is running for this sport, but the rating it freezes has not been republished since the preseason build, so there are not yet two Tuesdays to plot.
Playoff odds
Pulse →Win the NFC West59%
Make the playoffs88%
No. 1 seed (bye)29%
Reach the Super Bowl27%
Win the Super Bowl16%
Regular-season wins
middle half of sims11.7
89101112131415
Middle half of the simulations: 10 to 13 wins. The wider published interval, the 10th to the 90th, is 9 to 14. The sim publishes those two percentiles only, so the middle half is derived from them rather than read.
Profile
Offense 2025 (EPA/play)+0.139#4
Defense 2025 (EPA/play)-0.030#10
Pass offense 2025 (EPA/play)+0.206#4
Rush offense 2025 (EPA/play)-0.002#4
Pass defense 2025 (EPA/play)-0.021#10
Rush defense 2025 (EPA/play)-0.110#11
Schedule strength (opp rating)+0.4#6
Projected wins11.7#1
These are 2025 figures and they fill in as 2026 is played. EPA per play is produced per season, so a 2026 column replaces this one once enough games exist to compute it. It is shown as last season’s rather than left blank because a measured figure from the season just gone says more about a roster in week 2 than an empty card does.
The 2026 feed does carry offense and defense fields, and they are not used: measured across all 32 clubs, offRating equals defRating and both equal the overall rating halved, so they separate nothing. The rankings board drops them for the same reason.
The 2026 feed does carry offense and defense fields, and they are not used: measured across all 32 clubs, offRating equals defRating and both equal the overall rating halved, so they separate nothing. The rankings board drops them for the same reason.
BBMI picks on the Rams
2026 • ATS0–0
Picks on LAR
1–0
Picks against
+0.9u
Net, flat 1u
ON took this club, AGAINST took its opponent. This sport stores the side it took by name, so neither is inferred. 1 graded picks.
Probabilities may not add to 100%. All results are model projections, not guarantees.