NFC EAST • 2026 SEASON
Dallas Cowboys
#20
BBMI rank
-0.9
Rating
8.3–8.7
Proj record
40%
Make playoffs
Rating, projected record and playoff odds are current through week 7. They come from the week 8 season simulation, built 2026-10-28, and are based on games played and a preseason market prior that fades as results come in.
Next game
Game Picks →Last updated:
Arizona Cardinals
SUN NOV 1 • 12:00 PM CT
Premium
projected score
Dallas Cowboys
Model assumes: Jacoby Brissett (ARI) v Dak Prescott (DAL)
Schedule & projections
win prob from the board, week by week as it pricesLast updated:
DATEOPPONENTRESULTOPP RKLINEWIN %WIN PROB
Sep 13
at NYGL 20–28#17-3.055%
at NYGSep 20
vs WASW 37–20#26-4.061%
vs WASSep 27
vs BALL 31–34#14+3.532%
vs BALOct 4
at HOUW 34–30#21+3.040%
at HOUOct 8
vs TBL 16–24#22-9.577%
vs TBOct 18
at GBL 13–23#150.047%
at GBOct 26
at PHIW 38–21#29-4.067%
at PHINov 1vs ARISun 12:00 PM#28-7.0Premium
vs ARINov 8
at INDSun 12:00 PM#24-4.5Premium
at INDNov 15
vs SFSun 3:25 PM#1-1.0Premium
vs SFNov 22
vs TENSun 12:00 PM#32-6.5Premium
vs TENNov 26vs PHIThu 3:30 PM#29-1.5Premium
vs PHIDec 7
at SEAMon 7:15 PM#6+4.5Premium
at SEADec 20
at LARSun 3:25 PM#13+6.0Premium
at LARDec 27
vs JAXSun 7:20 PM#10-3.0Premium
vs JAXJan 3vs NYGSun 12:00 PM#17-4.5Premium
vs NYGJan 10at WASSun 12:00 PM#26-1.5Premium
at WASModel lines, edges and win probabilities for games that have not kicked off are premium. Members see them on the NFL picks board; every number goes public at kickoff.
Ranking over time
weekly · place of 32#10#15#20#25
#20
07-1409-2910-27
07-14 #1207-28 #1609-15 #1809-22 #1709-29 #1910-06 #1610-13 #1910-20 #2310-27 #20
9 weekly snapshots, frozen on Tuesdays while the sport is playing, ranked the way the rankings board ranks: by BBMI Rating. Each entry is that Tuesday’s place.
Playoff odds
Pulse →Last updated:
Win the NFC East36%
Make the playoffs40%
No. 1 seed (bye)0%
Reach the Super Bowl3%
Win the Super Bowl1%
Regular-season wins
middle half of simsLast updated:
8.3
567891011
Middle half of the simulations: 7 to 9 wins. The wider published interval, the 10th to the 90th, is 6.5 to 10. The sim publishes those two percentiles only, so the middle half is derived from them rather than read.
Profile
Offense 2026 (EPA/play)+0.141#4
Defense 2026 (EPA/play)+0.140#30
Pass offense 2026 (EPA/play)+0.198#7
Rush offense 2026 (EPA/play)+0.024#5
Pass defense 2026 (EPA/play)+0.274#30
Rush defense 2026 (EPA/play)-0.043#29
Schedule strength (opp rating)-0.3#24
Projected wins8.3#18
These are 2026 figures, through week 7. EPA per scrimmage play (pass or rush, kneels and spikes excluded), measured from this season’s play-by-play and republished every Tuesday with the rating and the playoff odds. Defense is EPA allowed per play, so less is better.
Early in a season these are small samples: one week is a single opponent, so a rank can move a long way on one game.
Early in a season these are small samples: one week is a single opponent, so a rank can move a long way on one game.
BBMI picks on the Cowboys
2026 • ATS0–0
Picks on DAL
4–3
Picks against
+0.6u
Net, flat 1u
ON took this club, AGAINST took its opponent. This sport stores the side it took by name, so neither is inferred. 7 graded picks.
Probabilities may not add to 100%. All results are model projections, not guarantees.