NFC SOUTH • 2026 SEASON
Carolina Panthers
#19
BBMI rank
-1.1
Rating
7.7–9.3
Proj record
37%
Make playoffs
Rating, projected record and playoff odds are current through week 7. They come from the week 8 season simulation, built 2026-10-28, and are based on games played and a preseason market prior that fades as results come in.
Next game
Game Picks →Last updated:
Carolina Panthers
THU OCT 29 • 7:15 PM CT
Premium
projected score
Green Bay Packers
Model assumes: Bryce Young (CAR) v Jordan Love (GB)
Schedule & projections
win prob from the board, week by week as it pricesLast updated:
DATEOPPONENTRESULTOPP RKLINEWIN %WIN PROB
Sep 13
vs CHIL 37–59#8+3.042%
vs CHISep 20
at ATLW 34–3#18-2.552%
at ATLSep 27
at CLEL 18–21#16-2.057%
at CLEOct 4
vs DETW 32–26#9+4.034%
vs DETOct 18
at PHIW 25–14#29-3.057%
at PHIOct 25
vs TBL 13–43#22-3.063%
vs TBOct 29at GBThu 7:15 PM#15+3.5Premium
at GBNov 8
vs DENSun 12:00 PM#5+2.5Premium
vs DENNov 15
at NOSun 12:00 PM#25+1.5Premium
at NONov 22
vs BALSun 12:00 PM#14+4.5Premium
vs BALNov 30at TBMon 7:15 PM#22+3.5Premium
at TBDec 6
at MINSun 3:25 PM#3+3.5Premium
at MINDec 13vs NOSun 12:00 PM#25-2.5Premium
vs NODec 20
vs CINSun 12:00 PM#7+2.5Premium
vs CINDec 27
at PITSun 12:00 PM#12+3.5Premium
at PITJan 3
vs SEASun 12:00 PM#6+5.5Premium
vs SEAJan 10vs ATLSun 12:00 PM#18-2.5Premium
vs ATLModel lines, edges and win probabilities for games that have not kicked off are premium. Members see them on the NFL picks board; every number goes public at kickoff.
Ranking over time
weekly · place of 32#15#20#25
#19
07-1409-2910-27
07-14 #2107-28 #2509-15 #2509-22 #2409-29 #2710-06 #2410-13 #2410-20 #1610-27 #19
9 weekly snapshots, frozen on Tuesdays while the sport is playing, ranked the way the rankings board ranks: by BBMI Rating. Each entry is that Tuesday’s place.
Playoff odds
Pulse →Last updated:
Win the NFC South36%
Make the playoffs37%
No. 1 seed (bye)0%
Reach the Super Bowl1%
Win the Super Bowl0%
Regular-season wins
middle half of simsLast updated:
7.7
567891011
Middle half of the simulations: 7 to 9 wins. The wider published interval, the 10th to the 90th, is 6 to 10. The sim publishes those two percentiles only, so the middle half is derived from them rather than read.
Profile
Offense 2026 (EPA/play)+0.042#12
Defense 2026 (EPA/play)+0.025#19
Pass offense 2026 (EPA/play)+0.109#17
Rush offense 2026 (EPA/play)-0.084#13
Pass defense 2026 (EPA/play)+0.068#16
Rush defense 2026 (EPA/play)-0.039#30
Schedule strength (opp rating)+0.8#8
Projected wins7.7#21
These are 2026 figures, through week 7. EPA per scrimmage play (pass or rush, kneels and spikes excluded), measured from this season’s play-by-play and republished every Tuesday with the rating and the playoff odds. Defense is EPA allowed per play, so less is better.
Early in a season these are small samples: one week is a single opponent, so a rank can move a long way on one game.
Early in a season these are small samples: one week is a single opponent, so a rank can move a long way on one game.
BBMI picks on the Panthers
2026 • ATS0–0
Picks on CAR
0–6
Picks against
-6.0u
Net, flat 1u
ON took this club, AGAINST took its opponent. This sport stores the side it took by name, so neither is inferred. 6 graded picks.
Probabilities may not add to 100%. All results are model projections, not guarantees.