Team Pages/NFC South/Carolina Panthers
CAR
NFC SOUTH • 2026 SEASON

Carolina Panthers

Record 0-1vs line 0–1 ATSLast L 37–59 vs CHINext Sep 20 at ATL
#25
BBMI rank
-3.0
Rating
6.7–10.3
Proj record
17%
Make playoffs
Rating, projected record and playoff odds are preseason. They come from the week 1 season simulation, built 2026-07-19, and are seeded from market win-total priors rather than from games played. The schedule, the lines and the results below are current.

Next game

Game Picks →
CAR
Carolina Panthers
#25 • -3.0 • NFC South
SUN SEP 20 • 12:00 PM CT
not projected yet
projected score
Atlanta Falcons
#26 • -3.2 • home
ATL
—
Model line
-1.5
Market line
—
Edge
—
Win probability

Schedule & projections

win prob from the board, week by week as it prices
DATEOPPONENTRESULTOPP RKLINEWIN %WIN PROB
Sep 13
CHIvs CHI
L 37–59#15+3.042%
Sep 20
ATLat ATL
Sun 12:00 PM#26-1.5
Sep 27
CLEat CLE
Sun 12:00 PM#30-2.5
Oct 4
DETvs DET
Sun 7:20 PM#4+3.0
Oct 18
PHIat PHI
Sun 12:00 PM#9+6.5
Oct 25
TBvs TB
Sun 12:00 PM#20+1.5
Oct 29
GBat GB
Thu 7:15 PM#12+7.0
Nov 8
DENvs DEN
Sun 12:00 PM#13+3.0
Nov 15
NOat NO
Sun 12:00 PM#22+1.5
Nov 22
BALvs BAL
Sun 12:00 PM#2+4.5
Nov 30
TBat TB
Mon 7:15 PM#20+3.5
Dec 6
MINat MIN
Sun 3:25 PM#18+3.5
Dec 13
NOvs NO
Sun 12:00 PM#22-2.5
Dec 20
CINvs CIN
Sun 12:00 PM#7+2.5
Dec 27
PITat PIT
Sun 12:00 PM#19+3.5
Jan 3
SEAvs SEA
Sun 12:00 PM#5+5.5
Jan 10
ATLvs ATL
Sun 12:00 PM#26-2.5

Ranking over time

no series published
The weekly store is running for this sport, but the rating it freezes has not been republished since the preseason build, so there are not yet two Tuesdays to plot.

Playoff odds

Pulse →
Win the NFC South16%
Make the playoffs17%
No. 1 seed (bye)0%
Reach the Super Bowl0%
Win the Super Bowl0%

Regular-season wins

middle half of sims
6.7
345678910
Middle half of the simulations: 5 to 8 wins. The wider published interval, the 10th to the 90th, is 4 to 9. The sim publishes those two percentiles only, so the middle half is derived from them rather than read.

Profile

Offense 2025 (EPA/play)-0.059#27
Defense 2025 (EPA/play)+0.069#23
Pass offense 2025 (EPA/play)-0.002#27
Rush offense 2025 (EPA/play)-0.076#17
Pass defense 2025 (EPA/play)+0.141#24
Rush defense 2025 (EPA/play)-0.038#25
Schedule strength (opp rating)+0.6#3
Projected wins6.7#25
These are 2025 figures and they fill in as 2026 is played. EPA per play is produced per season, so a 2026 column replaces this one once enough games exist to compute it. It is shown as last season’s rather than left blank because a measured figure from the season just gone says more about a roster in week 2 than an empty card does.
The 2026 feed does carry offense and defense fields, and they are not used: measured across all 32 clubs, offRating equals defRating and both equal the overall rating halved, so they separate nothing. The rankings board drops them for the same reason.

BBMI picks on the Panthers

2026 • ATS
0–0
Picks on CAR
0–1
Picks against
-1.0u
Net, flat 1u
ON took this club, AGAINST took its opponent. This sport stores the side it took by name, so neither is inferred. 1 graded picks.
Probabilities may not add to 100%. All results are model projections, not guarantees.