MVC • 2025–26 SEASON
Valparaiso
#189
BBMI rank
+19.1
Rating
#158
KenPom
#156
NET
Last game
Game Picks →Valparaiso
FRI MAR 6
84 – 90
final score
Bradley
+2.5
Model line
+3.5
Market line
+1.0
Edge
39%
Win probability
Valparaiso 39%Bradley 61%
The 2025–26 season is complete. The board returns in November.
Schedule & projections
line and win prob from the board, where it priced the gameDATEOPPONENTRESULTOPP RKPROJWIN %WIN PROB
Nov 5
vs Eastern IllinoisW 66–63#271
vs Eastern IllinoisNov 8
at KentuckyL 59–107#35
at KentuckyNov 13
vs Nicholls StateW 68–63#292
vs Nicholls StateNov 16
vs BryantW 68–50#348
vs BryantNov 20
at Cleveland StateW 90–75#306
at Cleveland StateNov 26
vs Southern IndianaL 56–64#347
vs Southern IndianaNov 29
vs Western MichiganW 84–55#300
vs Western MichiganDec 2
at MarquetteL 72–75#181
at MarquetteDec 6W 98–58
CCW
vs Calumet Crimson WaveDec 13
vs UNC WilmingtonL 70–73#73
vs UNC WilmingtonDec 16
at NorthwesternL 70–86#64
at NorthwesternDec 21
vs Murray StateL 79–85#178
vs Murray StateDec 29
at Northern IowaL 48–58#58
at Northern IowaJan 1
at Southern IllinoisL 70–75#143
at Southern IllinoisJan 4
vs Illinois-ChicagoW 66–59#8270–7239%
vs Illinois-ChicagoJan 7
vs Illinois StateW 77–71#9569–7334%
vs Illinois StateJan 10at Murray StateL 79–92#17876–7813%
at Murray StateJan 13
at BelmontL 74–78#5173–8018%
at BelmontJan 17vs Northern IowaW 54–44#5865–7039%
vs Northern IowaJan 21vs Southern IllinoisW 69–63#14368–6965%
vs Southern IllinoisJan 28vs BelmontL 77–78#5174–8028%
vs BelmontJan 31
at Indiana StateW 76–72#25873–7058%
at Indiana StateFeb 3at BradleyL 65–72#13672–7432%
at BradleyFeb 6
vs EvansvilleW 70–63#33177–6692%
vs EvansvilleFeb 9
at DrakeW 81–76#24275–7146%
at DrakeFeb 12at Illinois StateL 64–86#9568–7414%
at Illinois StateFeb 15vs Indiana StateW 76–75#25874–6977%
vs Indiana StateFeb 18vs BradleyW 79–72#13673–7347%
vs BradleyFeb 21at Illinois-ChicagoW 71–67#8269–7329%
at Illinois-ChicagoFeb 25vs DrakeW 74–71#24276–7179%
vs DrakeFeb 28at EvansvilleL 79–80#33176–6688%
at EvansvilleMar 5vs Indiana StateW 63–62#25874–6980%
vs Indiana StateMar 6at BradleyL 84–90#13672–7439%
at BradleyRanking over time
weekly · place of 365#163#173#183#193#203
#189
Jan 27Feb 3Feb 10Feb 17Feb 24Mar 3Mar 10Mar 17Mar 24Mar 31Apr 7Apr 14Apr 21Apr 28
14 weekly snapshots, frozen on Tuesdays while the sport is playing. The series stops where the season did and resumes when the sport does.
NCAA tournament
Pulse →This team is not in the 2025–26 bracket.
Regular-season wins
not publishedThis sport has no season simulation, so there is no distribution of win totals to draw.
Profile
Strength of schedule#156
KenPom rank#158
NET rank#156
Quality wins-84.0#199
Rebound margin+0.6#132
Turnover margin+0.5#119
Assists per game12.0#287
Three-point margin+0.020#108
The mock asks for offensive and defensive efficiency, tempo and experience. This sport publishes none of them: the feed carries raw shooting and rebound rates, which are not opponent-adjusted efficiency and must not wear that heading. The rankings board drops the same columns for the same reason.
BBMI picks on Valparaiso
2025–26 • ATS7–5
Picks on Valparaiso
0–0
Picks against
+1.4u
Net, flat 1u
ON took this team, AGAINST took its opponent. This sport does not store the side by name, so it is read from which way the model’s line sits against the market, and a game counts only once it clears the published edge floor. 12 graded picks.
Probabilities may not add to 100%. All results are model projections, not guarantees.