Team Pages/AE/UMBC
UMBC logo
AE • 2025–26 SEASON

UMBC

Record 24-9vs line 8–6 ATSLast L 83–86 at HowardTournament 16 seed, First Four
#154
BBMI rank
+20.0
Rating
#187
KenPom
#196
NET

Last game

Game Picks →
UMBC logo
UMBC
#154 • +20.0 • AE
TUE MAR 17
83 – 86
final score
Howard
#118 • +21.2 • neutral
Howard logo
+0.5
Model line
+1.5
Market line
+1.0
Edge
48%
Win probability
UMBC 48%Howard 52%
The 2025–26 season is complete. The board returns in November.

Schedule & projections

line and win prob from the board, where it priced the game
DATEOPPONENTRESULTOPP RKPROJWIN %WIN PROB
Nov 4
PSN
vs Penn State-York Nittany Lions
W 74–53
Nov 8
Dayton logoat Dayton
L 71–77#34
Nov 11
Morgan State logoat Morgan State
W 81–79#334
Nov 16
Wagner logovs Wagner
W 71–70#287
Nov 20
George Washington logoat George Washington
L 52–89#103
Nov 24
ND(
vs Notre Dame (MD) Gators
W 102–52
Nov 29
Delaware State logovs Delaware State
W 71–57#355
Dec 3
Georgetown logoat Georgetown
L 81–90#86
Dec 6
Bucknell logoat Bucknell
W 73–66#332
Dec 9
Buffalo logovs Buffalo
L 79–83#179
Dec 12
Army logovs Army
L 60–63#338
Dec 21
South Florida logoat South Florida
L 69–94#29
Dec 29
Coppin State logoat Coppin State
W 93–59#362
Jan 8
Maine logovs Maine
W 69–62#32375–6194%
Jan 10
New Hampshire logovs New Hampshire
W 75–74#35479–6479%
Jan 15
Bryant logoat Bryant
L 74–79#34880–6671%
Jan 19
Binghamton logoat Binghamton
W 78–60#34182–6690%
Jan 22
NJIT logovs NJIT
W 87–74#33777–6689%
Jan 24
UMass Lowell logovs UMass Lowell
W 79–56#31780–7184%
Jan 29
Vermont logoat Vermont
L 55–64#17475–7344%
Jan 31
Albany logoat Albany
W 68–65#32479–7073%
Feb 5
Binghamton logovs Binghamton
W 79–62#34183–6596%
Feb 12
Maine logoat Maine
W 78–62#32375–6185%
Feb 14
New Hampshire logoat New Hampshire
W 85–63#35479–6571%
Feb 19
Vermont logovs Vermont
W 75–62#17475–7258%
Feb 21
Albany logovs Albany
W 66–62#32479–6989%
Feb 26
Bryant logovs Bryant
W 70–58#34880–6496%
Feb 28
UMass Lowell logoat UMass Lowell
W 84–60#31780–7270%
Mar 3
NJIT logoat NJIT
W 91–52#33777–6669%
Mar 7
New Hampshire logovs New Hampshire
W 84–69#35479–6493%
Mar 10
UMass Lowell logovs UMass Lowell
W 91–69#31780–7169%
Mar 14
Vermont logovs Vermont
W 74–59#17475–7245%
Mar 17
Howard logovs Howard
L 83–86#11874–7348%

Ranking over time

weekly · place of 365
#130#151#172#193#213
#154
Jan 27Feb 3Feb 10Feb 17Feb 24Mar 3Mar 10Mar 17Mar 24Mar 31Apr 7Apr 14Apr 21Apr 28

14 weekly snapshots, frozen on Tuesdays while the sport is playing. The series stops where the season did and resumes when the sport does.

NCAA tournament

Pulse →
16
Seed
Midwest
Region
First Four
Finish
The bracket is resolved, so this is the result rather than a probability. It becomes an odds card again when the file carries fractions.

Regular-season wins

not published
This sport has no season simulation, so there is no distribution of win totals to draw.

Profile

Strength of schedule#196
KenPom rank#187
NET rank#196
Quality wins-46.0#76
Rebound margin+0.2#147
Turnover margin-0.5#201
Assists per game12.1#276
Three-point margin+0.049#29
The mock asks for offensive and defensive efficiency, tempo and experience. This sport publishes none of them: the feed carries raw shooting and rebound rates, which are not opponent-adjusted efficiency and must not wear that heading. The rankings board drops the same columns for the same reason.

BBMI picks on UMBC

2025–26 • ATS
8–4
Picks on UMBC
0–2
Picks against
+1.3u
Net, flat 1u
ON took this team, AGAINST took its opponent. This sport does not store the side by name, so it is read from which way the model’s line sits against the market, and a game counts only once it clears the published edge floor. 14 graded picks.
Probabilities may not add to 100%. All results are model projections, not guarantees.