MAC • 2025–26 SEASON
Toledo
#83
BBMI rank
+22.5
Rating
#131
KenPom
#130
NET
Last game
Game Picks →Toledo
SAT MAR 14
76 – 79
final score
Akron
+0.5
Model line
+8.5
Market line
+8.0
Edge · Premium ATS
48%
Win probability
Toledo 48%Akron 52%
The 2025–26 season is complete. The board returns in November.
Schedule & projections
line and win prob from the board, where it priced the gameDATEOPPONENTRESULTOPP RKPROJWIN %WIN PROB
Nov 4
vs South AlabamaL 74–76#110
vs South AlabamaNov 8
vs MarshallL 73–85#173
vs MarshallNov 12
at Wright StateW 81–71#102
at Wright StateNov 15
vs Detroit-MercyW 90–83#161
vs Detroit-MercyNov 20
vs Youngstown StateW 92–75#175
vs Youngstown StateNov 24
at TroyW 75–68#75
at TroyNov 26
vs BelmontL 72–87#51
vs BelmontDec 1W 102–58
CS(
vs Central State (OH) MaraudersDec 6
at OaklandL 97–98#122
at OaklandDec 13
at Robert MorrisL 70–75#130
at Robert MorrisDec 16
at Michigan StateL 69–92#6
at Michigan StateDec 20W 100–67
LUG
vs Lourdes University Gray WolvesDec 30
vs Western MichiganW 84–79#300
vs Western MichiganJan 3
at Central MichiganW 78–75#293
at Central MichiganJan 6
at Northern IllinoisW 75–61#34982–6789%
at Northern IllinoisJan 9
vs Miami (OH)L 73–87#4079–8335%
vs Miami (OH)Jan 13
vs OhioW 101–85#25482–7575%
vs OhioJan 16
at Kent StateL 84–87#11780–7948%
at Kent StateJan 20
at MassachusettsL 82–84#20281–7639%
at MassachusettsJan 24
vs Bowling GreenW 73–72#11376–7437%
vs Bowling GreenJan 27at AkronL 81–91#6177–8510%
at AkronJan 31
vs Ball StateW 73–55#27677–6794%
vs Ball StateFeb 3vs Kent StateL 72–75#11780–7854%
vs Kent StateFeb 7
at James MadisonL 71–73#21180–7664%
at James MadisonFeb 11at Western MichiganW 90–79#30084–7566%
at Western MichiganFeb 14at Bowling GreenL 70–80#11376–7521%
at Bowling GreenFeb 21
vs Eastern MichiganW 94–75#26877–6980%
vs Eastern MichiganFeb 24vs Northern IllinoisW 79–69#34982–6695%
vs Northern IllinoisFeb 28at OhioW 79–67#25482–7667%
at OhioMar 3at Miami (OH)L 72–74#4078–8327%
at Miami (OH)Mar 6
vs BuffaloW 99–78#17982–7761%
vs BuffaloMar 12vs Bowling GreenW 77–76#11376–7452%
vs Bowling GreenMar 13vs MassachusettsW 77–67#20281–7677%
vs MassachusettsMar 14vs AkronL 76–79#6177–8448%
vs AkronRanking over time
weekly · place of 365#72#97#122#147#172
#83
Jan 27Feb 3Feb 10Feb 17Feb 24Mar 3Mar 10Mar 17Mar 24Mar 31Apr 7Apr 14Apr 21Apr 28
14 weekly snapshots, frozen on Tuesdays while the sport is playing. The series stops where the season did and resumes when the sport does.
NCAA tournament
Pulse →This team is not in the 2025–26 bracket.
Regular-season wins
not publishedThis sport has no season simulation, so there is no distribution of win totals to draw.
Profile
Strength of schedule#130
KenPom rank#131
NET rank#130
Quality wins-85.5#204
Rebound margin-3.1#268
Turnover margin+2.1#45
Assists per game15.2#64
Three-point margin+0.025#84
The mock asks for offensive and defensive efficiency, tempo and experience. This sport publishes none of them: the feed carries raw shooting and rebound rates, which are not opponent-adjusted efficiency and must not wear that heading. The rankings board drops the same columns for the same reason.
BBMI picks on Toledo
2025–26 • ATS7–2
Picks on Toledo
2–4
Picks against
+2.2u
Net, flat 1u
ON took this team, AGAINST took its opponent. This sport does not store the side by name, so it is read from which way the model’s line sits against the market, and a game counts only once it clears the published edge floor. 15 graded picks.
Probabilities may not add to 100%. All results are model projections, not guarantees.