SB • 2025–26 SEASON
Texas State
#141
BBMI rank
+20.5
Rating
#246
KenPom
#235
NET
Last game
Game Picks →
Southern Mississippi
FRI MAR 6
81 – 77
final score
Texas State
-3.5
Model line
-1.5
Market line
+2.0
Edge · Tracked ATS
65%
Win probability
Texas State 65%Southern Mississippi 35%
The 2025–26 season is complete. The board returns in November.
Schedule & projections
line and win prob from the board, where it priced the gameDATEOPPONENTRESULTOPP RKPROJWIN %WIN PROB
Nov 4
at Bowling GreenL 48–83#113
at Bowling GreenNov 6W 114–55
TAA
vs Texas A&M-San Antonio JaguarsNov 8
at TulaneL 71–79#208
at TulaneNov 13W 80–69#353
U
vs UTSANov 15
vs Texas SouthernW 77–67#315
vs Texas SouthernNov 19
vs Abilene ChristianW 63–49#295
vs Abilene ChristianNov 22
vs Little RockW 65–56#301
vs Little RockNov 25W 93–41
TLB
vs Texas Lutheran BulldogsNov 28
at SeattleL 52–66#105
at SeattleNov 29
vs LehighL 74–78#226
vs LehighDec 3
at RiceL 72–77#288
at RiceDec 10
vs SouthernW 86–83#249
vs SouthernDec 17
vs Arkansas StateL 70–89#135
vs Arkansas StateDec 20
vs South AlabamaW 67–65#110
vs South AlabamaDec 31
at TroyL 80–100#75
at TroyJan 3
at Louisiana-MonroeW 84–79#343
at Louisiana-MonroeJan 8at Southern MississippiL 70–80#18871–7339%
at Southern MississippiJan 10at Arkansas StateL 82–83#13572–7819%
at Arkansas StateJan 14
vs LouisianaW 59–54#34573–6694%
vs LouisianaJan 17vs Southern MississippiW 74–67#18869%
vs Southern MississippiJan 22
at Coastal CarolinaL 70–72#23870–7036%
at Coastal CarolinaJan 24
at James MadisonL 57–82#21172–7545%
at James MadisonJan 28
vs MarshallW 72–68#17376–7733%
vs MarshallJan 31
vs Old DominionW 81–64#26675–7387%
vs Old DominionFeb 4
at Georgia SouthernW 77–71#23376–7651%
at Georgia SouthernFeb 7
vs Western MichiganW 77–61#30077–7379%
vs Western MichiganFeb 11vs TroyW 74–62#7571–7440%
vs TroyFeb 14vs Louisiana-MonroeW 95–84#34381–6996%
vs Louisiana-MonroeFeb 19at South AlabamaW 90–82#11070–7251%
at South AlabamaFeb 21at LouisianaL 54–67#34571–6786%
at LouisianaFeb 27
vs Appalachian StateW 60–57#13469–7056%
vs Appalachian StateMar 6vs Southern MississippiL 77–81#18873–7365%
vs Southern MississippiRanking over time
weekly · place of 365#136#167#198#229#260#261
#141
Jan 27Feb 3Feb 10Feb 17Feb 24Mar 3Mar 10Mar 17Mar 24Mar 31Apr 7Apr 14Apr 21Apr 28
14 weekly snapshots, frozen on Tuesdays while the sport is playing. The series stops where the season did and resumes when the sport does.
NCAA tournament
Pulse →This team is not in the 2025–26 bracket.
Regular-season wins
not publishedThis sport has no season simulation, so there is no distribution of win totals to draw.
Profile
Strength of schedule#235
KenPom rank#246
NET rank#235
Quality wins-66.0#127
Rebound margin+3.3#51
Turnover margin0.0#155
Assists per game12.8#211
Three-point margin-0.016#272
The mock asks for offensive and defensive efficiency, tempo and experience. This sport publishes none of them: the feed carries raw shooting and rebound rates, which are not opponent-adjusted efficiency and must not wear that heading. The rankings board drops the same columns for the same reason.
BBMI picks on Texas State
2025–26 • ATS5–6
Picks on Texas State
0–1
Picks against
-2.5u
Net, flat 1u
ON took this team, AGAINST took its opponent. This sport does not store the side by name, so it is read from which way the model’s line sits against the market, and a game counts only once it clears the published edge floor. 12 graded picks.
Probabilities may not add to 100%. All results are model projections, not guarantees.