WAC • 2025–26 SEASON
Tarleton State
#257
BBMI rank
+15.6
Rating
#220
KenPom
#230
NET
Last game
Game Picks →Tarleton State
WED MAR 11
78 – 84
final score
Abilene Christian
-5.5
Model line
-1.5
Market line
+4.0
Edge · Tracked ATS
73%
Win probability
Tarleton State 73%Abilene Christian 27%
The 2025–26 season is complete. The board returns in November.
Schedule & projections
line and win prob from the board, where it priced the gameDATEOPPONENTRESULTOPP RKPROJWIN %WIN PROB
Nov 4
at SMUL 76–96#38
at SMUNov 6
at LSUL 60–96#104
at LSUNov 9
vs Texas A&M-CCW 85–77#214
vs Texas A&M-CCNov 12
vs MerrimackW 76–62#125
vs MerrimackNov 15
at BaylorL 81–94#84
at BaylorNov 18W 77–54
ASR
vs Angelo State RamsNov 21
at RiceW 90–74#288
at RiceNov 28W 67–57
MSM
vs Midwestern State MustangsDec 1
at CincinnatiL 58–76#50
at CincinnatiDec 3W 119–54
HPY
vs Howard Payne Yellow JacketsDec 7W 93–63
CA
vs Cameron AggiesDec 16
at Mississippi Valley StateW 88–64#363
at Mississippi Valley StateDec 19
vs Florida A&MW 78–54#294
vs Florida A&MDec 29
at Texas-ArlingtonW 69–63#18365–6920%
at Texas-ArlingtonJan 1
vs Utah ValleyL 85–91#69
vs Utah ValleyJan 3
vs California BaptistW 81–76#139
vs California BaptistJan 8vs Abilene ChristianL 80–84#29570–6980%
vs Abilene ChristianJan 15
at Southern UtahL 105–106#29175–7439%
at Southern UtahJan 17
at Utah TechL 71–75#15773–7620%
at Utah TechJan 21at Texas-ArlingtonL 64–71#18365–6927%
at Texas-ArlingtonJan 29vs Utah ValleyL 55–83#6968–7831%
vs Utah ValleyJan 31vs Utah TechL 59–65#15773–7532%
vs Utah TechFeb 5at California BaptistL 55–56#13965–7417%
at California BaptistFeb 7at Southern UtahW 62–59#29175–7453%
at Southern UtahFeb 14at Abilene ChristianL 59–73#29570–6943%
at Abilene ChristianFeb 16vs Abilene ChristianW 65–62#29570–6978%
vs Abilene ChristianFeb 19vs Southern UtahW 78–74#29175–7382%
vs Southern UtahFeb 21vs Utah TechL 72–80#15773–7534%
vs Utah TechFeb 26at Utah ValleyL 72–79#6968–793%
at Utah ValleyFeb 28at California BaptistL 67–82#13965–7420%
at California BaptistMar 5vs Texas-ArlingtonL 60–65#18365–6848%
vs Texas-ArlingtonMar 11vs Abilene ChristianL 78–84#29570–6973%
vs Abilene ChristianRanking over time
weekly · place of 365#186#207#228#249#270
#257
Jan 27Feb 3Feb 10Feb 17Feb 24Mar 3Mar 10Mar 17Mar 24Mar 31Apr 7Apr 14Apr 21Apr 28
14 weekly snapshots, frozen on Tuesdays while the sport is playing. The series stops where the season did and resumes when the sport does.
NCAA tournament
Pulse →This team is not in the 2025–26 bracket.
Regular-season wins
not publishedThis sport has no season simulation, so there is no distribution of win totals to draw.
Profile
Strength of schedule#230
KenPom rank#220
NET rank#230
Quality wins-108.0#285
Rebound margin-3.2#272
Turnover margin+2.3#35
Assists per game10.4#348
Three-point margin-0.019#284
The mock asks for offensive and defensive efficiency, tempo and experience. This sport publishes none of them: the feed carries raw shooting and rebound rates, which are not opponent-adjusted efficiency and must not wear that heading. The rankings board drops the same columns for the same reason.
BBMI picks on Tarleton State
2025–26 • ATS1–4
Picks on Tarleton State
3–1
Picks against
-1.4u
Net, flat 1u
ON took this team, AGAINST took its opponent. This sport does not store the side by name, so it is read from which way the model’s line sits against the market, and a game counts only once it clears the published edge floor. 9 graded picks.
Probabilities may not add to 100%. All results are model projections, not guarantees.