MVC • 2025–26 SEASON
Murray State
#178
BBMI rank
+19.4
Rating
#125
KenPom
#105
NET
Last game
Game Picks →Murray State
WED MAR 18
75 – 89
final score
Nevada
+9.5
Model line
+8.5
Market line
-1.0
Edge
19%
Win probability
Murray State 19%Nevada 81%
The 2025–26 season is complete. The board returns in November.
Schedule & projections
line and win prob from the board, where it priced the gameDATEOPPONENTRESULTOPP RKPROJWIN %WIN PROB
Nov 3
vs OmahaW 85–77#225
vs OmahaNov 8
vs Mississippi Valley StateW 108–60#363
vs Mississippi Valley StateNov 12
at SMUL 91–102#38
at SMUNov 15
vs Nicholls StateW 99–79#292
vs Nicholls StateNov 19
vs Little RockW 89–68#301
vs Little RockNov 24
at Middle Tennessee StateL 87–90#147
at Middle Tennessee StateNov 25
at McNeeseL 60–73#59
at McNeeseNov 26
at George WashingtonW 96–95#103
at George WashingtonDec 2
vs Morehead StateW 84–52#212
vs Morehead StateDec 6
vs BellarmineW 81–68#198
vs BellarmineDec 13
at AkronW 115–100#61
at AkronDec 18
vs DrakeW 81–72#242
vs DrakeDec 21
at ValparaisoW 85–79#189
at ValparaisoDec 29
vs Southern IllinoisW 84–81#143
vs Southern IllinoisJan 1
at Illinois-ChicagoW 81–77#82
at Illinois-ChicagoJan 4
vs BradleyW 86–66#13680–7961%
vs BradleyJan 7
at EvansvilleW 79–69#33184–7292%
at EvansvilleJan 10vs ValparaisoW 92–79#18978–7687%
vs ValparaisoJan 17
vs Indiana StateW 85–81#25881–7585%
vs Indiana StateJan 21at DrakeL 90–101#24282–7764%
at DrakeJan 24
at Northern IowaL 76–81#5870–7644%
at Northern IowaJan 28
vs Illinois StateL 65–70#9576–7961%
vs Illinois StateJan 31
at BelmontL 86–103#5180–8722%
at BelmontFeb 3vs Illinois-ChicagoW 81–74#8277–7873%
vs Illinois-ChicagoFeb 6at Southern IllinoisW 91–81#14373–7556%
at Southern IllinoisFeb 9vs Northern IowaL 60–89#5871–7658%
vs Northern IowaFeb 12at Indiana StateW 74–72#25880–7670%
at Indiana StateFeb 15vs BelmontL 70–87#5181–8739%
vs BelmontFeb 18at Illinois StateL 61–78#9575–8016%
at Illinois StateFeb 21vs EvansvilleW 88–75#33185–7297%
vs EvansvilleMar 1at BradleyL 78–87#13680–8135%
at BradleyMar 6vs Illinois-ChicagoL 79–92#8277–7835%
vs Illinois-ChicagoMar 18at NevadaL 75–89#3975–8319%
at NevadaRanking over time
weekly · place of 365#79#104#129#154#179#180
#178
Jan 27Feb 3Feb 10Feb 17Feb 24Mar 3Mar 10Mar 17Mar 24Mar 31Apr 7Apr 14Apr 21Apr 28
14 weekly snapshots, frozen on Tuesdays while the sport is playing. The series stops where the season did and resumes when the sport does.
NCAA tournament
Pulse →This team is not in the 2025–26 bracket.
Regular-season wins
not publishedThis sport has no season simulation, so there is no distribution of win totals to draw.
Profile
Strength of schedule#105
KenPom rank#125
NET rank#105
Quality wins-89.0#223
Rebound margin+1.2#117
Turnover margin-1.3#262
Assists per game13.0#196
Three-point margin-0.012#249
The mock asks for offensive and defensive efficiency, tempo and experience. This sport publishes none of them: the feed carries raw shooting and rebound rates, which are not opponent-adjusted efficiency and must not wear that heading. The rankings board drops the same columns for the same reason.
BBMI picks on Murray State
2025–26 • ATS1–1
Picks on Murray State
5–1
Picks against
+3.5u
Net, flat 1u
ON took this team, AGAINST took its opponent. This sport does not store the side by name, so it is read from which way the model’s line sits against the market, and a game counts only once it clears the published edge floor. 8 graded picks.
Probabilities may not add to 100%. All results are model projections, not guarantees.