MVC • 2025–26 SEASON
Illinois State
#95
BBMI rank
+22.2
Rating
#94
KenPom
#95
NET
Last game
Game Picks →Illinois State
THU APR 2
66 – 88
final score
Auburn
+2.5
Model line
+6.5
Market line
+4.0
Edge · Tracked ATS
41%
Win probability
Illinois State 41%Auburn 59%
The 2025–26 season is complete. The board returns in November.
Schedule & projections
line and win prob from the board, where it priced the gameDATEOPPONENTRESULTOPP RKPROJWIN %WIN PROB
Nov 7
at OhioL 68–72#254
at OhioNov 9
vs CornellW 76–65#164
vs CornellNov 15
at USCL 67–87#85
at USCNov 17
at Long Beach StateW 82–80#289
at Long Beach StateNov 21W 93–48
RR
vs Rockford RegentsNov 23
vs Coastal CarolinaW 94–42#238
vs Coastal CarolinaNov 27
vs CharlotteW 79–69#234
vs CharlotteNov 28
vs FurmanW 72–65#153
vs FurmanDec 3
vs Eastern KentuckyW 89–78#316
vs Eastern KentuckyDec 6W 95–53#336
CS
vs Chicago St.Dec 13
at Utah StateL 78–83#19
at Utah StateDec 18
at Southern IllinoisW 75–68#143
at Southern IllinoisDec 21
vs Indiana StateW 85–65#258
vs Indiana StateDec 29
at DrakeW 73–56#242
at DrakeJan 1
vs EvansvilleW 73–47#331
vs EvansvilleJan 7
at ValparaisoL 71–77#18973–6966%
at ValparaisoJan 10
vs Illinois-ChicagoL 59–63#8273–7085%
vs Illinois-ChicagoJan 14at Indiana StateL 89–94#25875–6769%
at Indiana StateJan 17
vs BradleyW 88–62#13676–7077%
vs BradleyJan 21
vs Northern IowaW 59–54#5867–6877%
vs Northern IowaJan 24
at BelmontL 69–80#5175–7735%
at BelmontJan 28
at Murray StateW 70–65#17879–7639%
at Murray StateFeb 3vs Southern IllinoisL 50–54#14370–6688%
vs Southern IllinoisFeb 6vs DrakeW 86–76#24279–6887%
vs DrakeFeb 9at EvansvilleL 80–88#33178–6490%
at EvansvilleFeb 12vs ValparaisoW 86–64#18974–6886%
vs ValparaisoFeb 15at Illinois-ChicagoL 56–83#8271–7046%
at Illinois-ChicagoFeb 18vs Murray StateW 78–61#17880–7584%
vs Murray StateFeb 21at BradleyL 60–74#13674–7249%
at BradleyFeb 25at Northern IowaW 71–69#5866–6843%
at Northern IowaMar 1vs BelmontW 81–74#5177–7766%
vs BelmontMar 6vs Northern IowaL 52–74#5867–6839%
vs Northern IowaMar 18
vs Kent StateW 79–58#11779–7263%
vs Kent StateMar 22
at Wake ForestW 78–75#7673–7524%
at Wake ForestMar 25
at DaytonW 61–55#3468–719%
at DaytonApr 2vs AuburnL 66–88#5573–7941%
vs AuburnRanking over time
weekly · place of 365#67#82#97#112#127#128
#95
Jan 27Feb 3Feb 10Feb 17Feb 24Mar 3Mar 10Mar 17Mar 24Mar 31Apr 7Apr 14Apr 21Apr 28
14 weekly snapshots, frozen on Tuesdays while the sport is playing. The series stops where the season did and resumes when the sport does.
NCAA tournament
Pulse →This team is not in the 2025–26 bracket.
Regular-season wins
not publishedThis sport has no season simulation, so there is no distribution of win totals to draw.
Profile
Strength of schedule#95
KenPom rank#94
NET rank#95
Quality wins-61.5#110
Rebound margin+2.4#76
Turnover margin-0.9#231
Assists per game13.3#177
Three-point margin+0.034#57
The mock asks for offensive and defensive efficiency, tempo and experience. This sport publishes none of them: the feed carries raw shooting and rebound rates, which are not opponent-adjusted efficiency and must not wear that heading. The rankings board drops the same columns for the same reason.
BBMI picks on Illinois State
2025–26 • ATS4–4
Picks on Illinois State
3–2
Picks against
+0.4u
Net, flat 1u
ON took this team, AGAINST took its opponent. This sport does not store the side by name, so it is read from which way the model’s line sits against the market, and a game counts only once it clears the published edge floor. 13 graded picks.
Probabilities may not add to 100%. All results are model projections, not guarantees.