MWC • 2025–26 SEASON
Fresno State
#180
BBMI rank
+19.3
Rating
#128
KenPom
#153
NET
Last game
Game Picks →Fresno State
WED MAR 11
63 – 67
final score
Colorado State
+7.5
Model line
+7.5
Market line
0.0
Edge
20%
Win probability
Fresno State 20%Colorado State 80%
The 2025–26 season is complete. The board returns in November.
Schedule & projections
line and win prob from the board, where it priced the gameDATEOPPONENTRESULTOPP RKPROJWIN %WIN PROB
Nov 4W 88–51
FPS
vs Fresno Pacific SunbirdsNov 6
vs USC UpstateL 66–67#298
vs USC UpstateNov 8
vs Long Beach StateW 82–62#289
vs Long Beach StateNov 13
vs UC San DiegoL 73–78#78
vs UC San DiegoNov 16
vs Utah ValleyW 75–74#69
vs Utah ValleyNov 19
vs Stephen F. AustinW 80–78#79
vs Stephen F. AustinNov 22
vs New OrleansW 85–76#210
vs New OrleansNov 27
vs PepperdineW 76–53#275
vs PepperdineNov 30
vs Cal State BakersfieldL 71–76#335
vs Cal State BakersfieldDec 6
at ArkansasL 58–82#15
at ArkansasDec 10
at Cal State NorthridgeL 87–89#146
at Cal State NorthridgeDec 20
at UNLVL 72–84#176
at UNLVDec 30
vs Utah StateL 63–72#19
vs Utah StateJan 3
vs NevadaL 65–66#3969–7535%
vs NevadaJan 6
at San Jose StateW 70–55#29777–7277%
at San Jose StateJan 10
at San Diego StateL 52–71#3064–7512%
at San Diego StateJan 13vs Colorado StateW 79–69#6671–7538%
vs Colorado StateJan 17
vs WyomingW 63–60#15671–7448%
vs WyomingJan 21
at New MexicoL 74–83#2868–7813%
at New MexicoJan 24
vs Grand CanyonL 57–68#5266–7240%
vs Grand CanyonJan 31
at Air ForceW 79–62#36176–6195%
at Air ForceFeb 3vs UNLVW 98–96#17674–7564%
vs UNLVFeb 7at NevadaL 59–69#3968–7621%
at NevadaFeb 10at Utah StateL 78–91#1967–819%
at Utah StateFeb 14vs Air ForceW 93–63#36177–6097%
vs Air ForceFeb 17at WyomingL 82–92#15670–7535%
at WyomingFeb 21vs New MexicoL 78–80#2868–7827%
vs New MexicoFeb 24at Colorado StateL 70–74#6670–7627%
at Colorado StateFeb 28
vs Boise StateL 53–69#6769–7639%
vs Boise StateMar 3vs San Jose StateW 82–68#29777–71
vs San Jose StateMar 7at Grand CanyonL 60–85#5265–7327%
at Grand CanyonMar 11vs Colorado StateL 63–67#6670–7520%
vs Colorado StateRanking over time
weekly · place of 365#141#154#167#180#193#194
#180
Jan 27Feb 3Feb 10Feb 17Feb 24Mar 3Mar 10Mar 17Mar 24Mar 31Apr 7Apr 14Apr 21Apr 28
14 weekly snapshots, frozen on Tuesdays while the sport is playing. The series stops where the season did and resumes when the sport does.
NCAA tournament
Pulse →This team is not in the 2025–26 bracket.
Regular-season wins
not publishedThis sport has no season simulation, so there is no distribution of win totals to draw.
Profile
Strength of schedule#153
KenPom rank#128
NET rank#153
Quality wins-100.5#266
Rebound margin-2.3#243
Turnover margin-0.6#207
Assists per game12.1#278
Three-point margin+0.018#120
The mock asks for offensive and defensive efficiency, tempo and experience. This sport publishes none of them: the feed carries raw shooting and rebound rates, which are not opponent-adjusted efficiency and must not wear that heading. The rankings board drops the same columns for the same reason.
BBMI picks on Fresno State
2025–26 • ATS8–2
Picks on Fresno State
1–0
Picks against
+6.2u
Net, flat 1u
ON took this team, AGAINST took its opponent. This sport does not store the side by name, so it is read from which way the model’s line sits against the market, and a game counts only once it clears the published edge floor. 11 graded picks.
Probabilities may not add to 100%. All results are model projections, not guarantees.