A10 • 2025–26 SEASON
Dayton
#34
BBMI rank
+24.7
Rating
#67
KenPom
#69
NET
Last game
Game Picks →
Illinois State
WED MAR 25
61 – 55
final score
Dayton
-14.5
Model line
-7.5
Market line
+7.0
Edge · Premium ATS
91%
Win probability
Dayton 91%Illinois State 9%
The 2025–26 season is complete. The board returns in November.
Schedule & projections
line and win prob from the board, where it priced the gameDATEOPPONENTRESULTOPP RKPROJWIN %WIN PROB
Nov 4
vs CanisiusW 88–48#339
vs CanisiusNov 8
vs UMBCW 77–71#154
vs UMBCNov 12
at CincinnatiL 62–74#50
at CincinnatiNov 16
vs Bethune-CookmanW 91–82#245
vs Bethune-CookmanNov 20
at MarquetteW 77–71#181
at MarquetteNov 22
vs North Carolina CentralW 74–55#319
vs North Carolina CentralNov 28
vs GeorgetownW 84–79#86
vs GeorgetownNov 29
vs Brigham YoungL 79–83#37
vs Brigham YoungDec 2
vs East Tennessee StateW 88–71#94
vs East Tennessee StateDec 6
at VirginiaL 73–86#16
at VirginiaDec 13
vs North FloridaW 84–61#344
vs North FloridaDec 16
vs Florida StateW 97–69#116
vs Florida StateDec 20
vs LibertyL 61–64#98
vs LibertyDec 31
vs FordhamW 63–56#148
vs FordhamJan 3
at Loyola (IL)W 70–68#310
at Loyola (IL)Jan 6
vs George WashingtonW 79–72#10376–7383%
vs George WashingtonJan 13
at DuquesneW 71–65#14075–6950%
at DuquesneJan 16vs Loyola (IL)W 78–51#31079–63100%
vs Loyola (IL)Jan 21
at La SalleL 64–67#28376–6576%
at La SalleJan 24
at Saint Joseph'sL 74–81#8871–6861%
at Saint Joseph'sJan 27
vs Rhode IslandL 76–81#20472–6476%
vs Rhode IslandJan 30
at Saint LouisL 71–102#2371–765%
at Saint LouisFeb 3
vs St. BonaventureW 72–70#12378–6967%
vs St. BonaventureFeb 6
at VCUL 73–99#3371–7519%
at VCUFeb 15
vs DavidsonW 70–59#18772–6669%
vs DavidsonFeb 18
at George MasonW 82–67#7072–6840%
at George MasonFeb 21vs DuquesneW 78–66#14076–6865%
vs DuquesneFeb 24vs Saint LouisW 77–62#2372–7535%
vs Saint LouisFeb 27at George WashingtonW 68–66#10375–7334%
at George WashingtonMar 3
at RichmondW 65–60#13276–6865%
at RichmondMar 6vs VCUL 62–68#3372–7465%
vs VCUMar 13vs St. BonaventureW 68–63#12377–6973%
vs St. BonaventureMar 14vs Saint LouisW 70–69#2371–7544%
vs Saint LouisMar 15vs VCUL 62–70#3371–7444%
vs VCUMar 18
at BradleyW 80–66#13675–7059%
at BradleyMar 21
at UNC WilmingtonW 80–61#7373–6863%
at UNC WilmingtonMar 25vs Illinois StateL 55–61#9571–6891%
vs Illinois StateRanking over time
weekly · place of 365#26#52#78#104#130
#34
Jan 27Feb 3Feb 10Feb 17Feb 24Mar 3Mar 10Mar 17Mar 24Mar 31Apr 7Apr 14Apr 21Apr 28
14 weekly snapshots, frozen on Tuesdays while the sport is playing. The series stops where the season did and resumes when the sport does.
NCAA tournament
Pulse →This team is not in the 2025–26 bracket.
Regular-season wins
not publishedThis sport has no season simulation, so there is no distribution of win totals to draw.
Profile
Strength of schedule#69
KenPom rank#67
NET rank#69
Quality wins-47.0#79
Rebound margin-0.9#193
Turnover margin+2.4#31
Assists per game14.3#120
Three-point margin-0.015#261
The mock asks for offensive and defensive efficiency, tempo and experience. This sport publishes none of them: the feed carries raw shooting and rebound rates, which are not opponent-adjusted efficiency and must not wear that heading. The rankings board drops the same columns for the same reason.
BBMI picks on Dayton
2025–26 • ATS1–3
Picks on Dayton
6–2
Picks against
+1.4u
Net, flat 1u
ON took this team, AGAINST took its opponent. This sport does not store the side by name, so it is read from which way the model’s line sits against the market, and a game counts only once it clears the published edge floor. 12 graded picks.
Probabilities may not add to 100%. All results are model projections, not guarantees.