MAC • 2025–26 SEASON
Buffalo
#179
BBMI rank
+19.3
Rating
#203
KenPom
#195
NET
Last game
Game Picks →Buffalo
THU MAR 12
70 – 73
final score
Akron
+3.5
Model line
+13.5
Market line
+10.0
Edge · Premium ATS
35%
Win probability
Buffalo 35%Akron 65%
The 2025–26 season is complete. The board returns in November.
Schedule & projections
line and win prob from the board, where it priced the gameDATEOPPONENTRESULTOPP RKPROJWIN %WIN PROB
Nov 3
vs Southern MississippiW 85–79#188
vs Southern MississippiNov 7
vs Green BayW 83–76#159
vs Green BayNov 12
at DePaulW 66–53#184
at DePaulNov 15W 80–64
RT
vs RIT TigersNov 18
vs VermontW 94–90#174
vs VermontNov 24W 78–70#351
V
vs VMINov 26
at BucknellW 73–71#332
at BucknellNov 29
at CanisiusW 71–53#339
at CanisiusDec 6
vs St. BonaventureL 69–77#123
vs St. BonaventureDec 9
at UMBCW 83–79#154
at UMBCDec 14
at East CarolinaL 70–73#285
at East CarolinaDec 20
at Western MichiganW 88–71#300
at Western MichiganDec 22W 92–63
PSL
vs Penn State-Behrend LionsDec 31
at Northern IllinoisW 81–67#349
at Northern IllinoisJan 3
vs Ball StateW 85–72#276
vs Ball StateJan 10
at OhioL 80–91#25479–7858%
at OhioJan 13
vs Kent StateL 81–87#11777–8142%
vs Kent StateJan 17
at Miami (OH)L 102–105#4075–8520%
at Miami (OH)Jan 20vs AkronL 63–82#6175–8739%
vs AkronJan 23
vs MassachusettsL 67–68#20278–7850%
vs MassachusettsJan 27
at Bowling GreenW 89–78#11373–7721%
at Bowling GreenJan 31vs OhioL 83–95#25479–7765%
vs OhioFeb 3vs Miami (OH)L 71–73#4076–8518%
vs Miami (OH)Feb 7
at South AlabamaL 69–81#11074–7548%
at South AlabamaFeb 11at Ball StateW 63–53#27674–6976%
at Ball StateFeb 17vs Northern IllinoisL 70–72#34979–6895%
vs Northern IllinoisFeb 21at MassachusettsW 86–82#20278–7841%
at MassachusettsFeb 24at AkronL 85–99#6175–8721%
at AkronFeb 28
vs Central MichiganL 70–75#29379–7588%
vs Central MichiganMar 3
vs Eastern MichiganW 72–67#26874–7183%
vs Eastern MichiganMar 6
at ToledoL 78–99#8377–8239%
at ToledoMar 12vs AkronL 70–73#6175–8735%
vs AkronRanking over time
weekly · place of 365#121#136#151#166#181
#179
Jan 27Feb 3Feb 10Feb 17Feb 24Mar 3Mar 10Mar 17Mar 24Mar 31Apr 7Apr 14Apr 21Apr 28
14 weekly snapshots, frozen on Tuesdays while the sport is playing. The series stops where the season did and resumes when the sport does.
NCAA tournament
Pulse →This team is not in the 2025–26 bracket.
Regular-season wins
not publishedThis sport has no season simulation, so there is no distribution of win totals to draw.
Profile
Strength of schedule#195
KenPom rank#203
NET rank#195
Quality wins-93.0#241
Rebound margin-1.9#235
Turnover margin+0.8#100
Assists per game14.6#102
Three-point margin+0.033#61
The mock asks for offensive and defensive efficiency, tempo and experience. This sport publishes none of them: the feed carries raw shooting and rebound rates, which are not opponent-adjusted efficiency and must not wear that heading. The rankings board drops the same columns for the same reason.
BBMI picks on Buffalo
2025–26 • ATS5–5
Picks on Buffalo
1–1
Picks against
-0.5u
Net, flat 1u
ON took this team, AGAINST took its opponent. This sport does not store the side by name, so it is read from which way the model’s line sits against the market, and a game counts only once it clears the published edge floor. 12 graded picks.
Probabilities may not add to 100%. All results are model projections, not guarantees.