MAC • 2025–26 SEASON
Ball State
#276
BBMI rank
+14.7
Rating
#295
KenPom
#299
NET
Last game
Game Picks →
Central Michigan
FRI MAR 6
69 – 85
final score
Ball State
-0.5
Model line
-1.5
Market line
-1.0
Edge
52%
Win probability
Ball State 52%Central Michigan 48%
The 2025–26 season is complete. The board returns in November.
Schedule & projections
line and win prob from the board, where it priced the gameDATEOPPONENTRESULTOPP RKPROJWIN %WIN PROB
Nov 4
vs LouisianaW 75–64#345
vs LouisianaNov 8W 84–54
MM
vs Mansfield MountaineersNov 12
at WisconsinL 55–86#26
at WisconsinNov 16
vs Little RockL 62–68#301
vs Little RockNov 23
at Indiana StateL 52–70#258
at Indiana StateNov 28
vs MonmouthL 73–80#115
vs MonmouthNov 29
at LafayetteL 37–55#309
at LafayetteNov 30
vs Le MoyneW 96–85#239
vs Le MoyneDec 3
at EvansvilleL 52–64#331
at EvansvilleDec 9
vs South Dakota StateL 64–68#236
vs South Dakota StateDec 14
at CampbellL 64–69#235
at CampbellDec 20
vs Miami (OH)L 77–86#40
vs Miami (OH)Dec 29W 93–30
ECQ
vs Earlham College QuakersJan 3
at BuffaloL 72–85#179
at BuffaloJan 6
vs Eastern MichiganL 52–74#26865–6652%
vs Eastern MichiganJan 10
at MassachusettsL 71–79#20267–737%
at MassachusettsJan 13
at AkronL 77–87#6165–821%
at AkronJan 16
vs OhioW 76–71#25469–7243%
vs OhioJan 20at Central MichiganW 68–67#29369–7230%
at Central MichiganJan 24
vs Northern IllinoisW 58–53#34969–6470%
vs Northern IllinoisJan 31
at ToledoL 55–73#8367–776%
at ToledoFeb 3
at Bowling GreenL 52–77#11364–722%
at Bowling GreenFeb 7
at Louisiana-MonroeW 73–68#34374–6956%
at Louisiana-MonroeFeb 11vs BuffaloL 53–63#17969–7424%
vs BuffaloFeb 14
vs Kent StateL 68–75#11768–7617%
vs Kent StateFeb 17at OhioL 57–69#25468–7314%
at OhioFeb 20vs AkronL 65–78#6165–8114%
vs AkronFeb 24vs MassachusettsW 74–73#20268–7324%
vs MassachusettsFeb 28at Northern IllinoisW 79–43#34968–6438%
at Northern IllinoisMar 3
at Western MichiganW 74–71#30070–7235%
at Western MichiganMar 6vs Central MichiganW 85–69#29369–7052%
vs Central MichiganRanking over time
weekly · place of 365#274#290#306#322#338#339
#276
Jan 27Feb 3Feb 10Feb 17Feb 24Mar 3Mar 10Mar 17Mar 24Mar 31Apr 7Apr 14Apr 21Apr 28
14 weekly snapshots, frozen on Tuesdays while the sport is playing. The series stops where the season did and resumes when the sport does.
NCAA tournament
Pulse →This team is not in the 2025–26 bracket.
Regular-season wins
not publishedThis sport has no season simulation, so there is no distribution of win totals to draw.
Profile
Strength of schedule#299
KenPom rank#295
NET rank#299
Quality wins-106.0#280
Rebound margin-5.2#321
Turnover margin+1.8#55
Assists per game12.6#228
Three-point margin-0.017#276
The mock asks for offensive and defensive efficiency, tempo and experience. This sport publishes none of them: the feed carries raw shooting and rebound rates, which are not opponent-adjusted efficiency and must not wear that heading. The rankings board drops the same columns for the same reason.
BBMI picks on Ball State
2025–26 • ATS1–0
Picks on Ball State
4–6
Picks against
-1.5u
Net, flat 1u
ON took this team, AGAINST took its opponent. This sport does not store the side by name, so it is read from which way the model’s line sits against the market, and a game counts only once it clears the published edge floor. 11 graded picks.
Probabilities may not add to 100%. All results are model projections, not guarantees.