SB • 2025–26 SEASON
Arkansas State
#135
BBMI rank
+20.7
Rating
#147
KenPom
#154
NET
Last game
Game Picks →
Georgia Southern
THU MAR 5
80 – 77
final score
Arkansas State
-11.5
Model line
-7.5
Market line
+4.0
Edge · Tracked ATS
90%
Win probability
Arkansas State 90%Georgia Southern 10%
The 2025–26 season is complete. The board returns in November.
Schedule & projections
line and win prob from the board, where it priced the gameDATEOPPONENTRESULTOPP RKPROJWIN %WIN PROB
Nov 4
at OhioW 89–85#254
at OhioNov 8
at Stephen F. AustinL 65–90#79
at Stephen F. AustinNov 12
at Missouri StateW 86–85#216
at Missouri StateNov 16W 95–67
CBB
vs Christian Brothers BuccaneersNov 20
at Saint Mary'sL 72–85#20
at Saint Mary'sNov 22
at SMUL 69–100#38
at SMUNov 25
vs Jacksonville StateW 74–63#196
vs Jacksonville StateNov 28
vs North Dakota StateW 85–80#89
vs North Dakota StateDec 2
vs Texas-ArlingtonW 83–63#183
vs Texas-ArlingtonDec 6
at Little RockW 90–78#301
at Little RockDec 13
at RiceL 76–77#288
at RiceDec 17
at Texas StateW 89–70#141
at Texas StateDec 20
at Southern MississippiW 93–86#188
at Southern MississippiDec 30W 107–63
ATW
vs Arkansas Tech Wonder BoysJan 3
vs James MadisonL 74–78#211
vs James MadisonJan 7
vs TroyW 86–74#7577–7647%
vs TroyJan 10vs Texas StateW 83–82#14178–7281%
vs Texas StateJan 15
at South AlabamaL 87–91#11077–7345%
at South AlabamaJan 17at TroyL 74–99#7576–7731%
at TroyJan 22at Georgia SouthernW 85–68#23383–7870%
at Georgia SouthernJan 24
at Georgia StateL 81–82#29979–6968%
at Georgia StateJan 28
vs Old DominionL 71–75#26681–7489%
vs Old DominionJan 31
vs MarshallL 61–70#17383–7861%
vs MarshallFeb 4
at Coastal CarolinaW 70–66#23876–7149%
at Coastal CarolinaFeb 7
vs Bowling GreenW 91–54#11376–7566%
vs Bowling GreenFeb 11
vs Louisiana-MonroeW 103–70#34389–7099%
vs Louisiana-MonroeFeb 14vs South AlabamaL 88–92#11077–7375%
vs South AlabamaFeb 19
at LouisianaW 79–62#34578–6987%
at LouisianaFeb 21at Louisiana-MonroeW 102–94#34388–7191%
at Louisiana-MonroeFeb 24vs Southern MississippiW 89–84#18879–7488%
vs Southern MississippiFeb 27vs LouisianaW 81–58#34579–6899%
vs LouisianaMar 5vs Georgia SouthernL 77–80#23384–7890%
vs Georgia SouthernRanking over time
weekly · place of 365#109#129#149#169#188
#135
Jan 27Feb 3Feb 10Feb 17Feb 24Mar 3Mar 10Mar 17Mar 24Mar 31Apr 7Apr 14Apr 21Apr 28
14 weekly snapshots, frozen on Tuesdays while the sport is playing. The series stops where the season did and resumes when the sport does.
NCAA tournament
Pulse →This team is not in the 2025–26 bracket.
Regular-season wins
not publishedThis sport has no season simulation, so there is no distribution of win totals to draw.
Profile
Strength of schedule#154
KenPom rank#147
NET rank#154
Quality wins-64.0#119
Rebound margin+7.2#9
Turnover margin-3.4#347
Assists per game14.9#81
Three-point margin+0.008#158
The mock asks for offensive and defensive efficiency, tempo and experience. This sport publishes none of them: the feed carries raw shooting and rebound rates, which are not opponent-adjusted efficiency and must not wear that heading. The rankings board drops the same columns for the same reason.
BBMI picks on Arkansas State
2025–26 • ATS2–2
Picks on Arkansas State
4–3
Picks against
+0.5u
Net, flat 1u
ON took this team, AGAINST took its opponent. This sport does not store the side by name, so it is read from which way the model’s line sits against the market, and a game counts only once it clears the published edge floor. 11 graded picks.
Probabilities may not add to 100%. All results are model projections, not guarantees.