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MLB

First-5-Innings spreads under walk-forward calibration (live track building) · Full-Game Run Line and Total in production calibration since 2026-05-23.

All figures computed from logged pick data at build · updated with each deploy

MLB First 5 Innings — Spread
ATS win rate
Premium · AWAY × edge ≥ 1.50 runs · 60.9% ATS win rate · 2025 season · n=87 · walk-forward (live: 97/200)
MLB Full Game — Run Line
ATS win rate
Premium · +1.5 · cover ≥ 2.25 · 65.2% ATS win rate · since 2026-05-23 · n=46 · live
All picks (all +1.5 picks): 63.1% on n=179 (113–66)
MLB Full Game — Total (O/U)
O/U win rate
MLB Full Game — Total (O/U) · in calibration · since 2026-05-23
Spreads
ATS win rate
Premium · F5 spread ≥ 1.75 + F9 run line · 66.7% ATS win rate · since 2026-05-15 · n=78 · live
All picks (F5 ≥ 1.25 + all F9): 63.1% on n=274 (173–101)
Season picks log
Every BBMI MLB pick — F5 spreads, F9 run line, F9 totals — with edges and results. View 2026 picks log
BBMI vs Vegas
Head-to-head comparison of BBMI projections against market totals for every sim-era completed game. View per-game comparison