
WNBA • 2026 SEASON • PAPER EXPERIMENT
Washington Mystics
#8
BBMI rank
+0.9
Rating
27–17
Proj record
2%
Title odds
Next game
Game Picks →Connecticut Sun
TUE SEP 22
no score projection
this sport prices a line, not a score
Washington Mystics
-9.3
Model line
-17.0
Opening line
—
Closing line
—
CLV · paper, no play
No wager is placed on this sport. WNBA is paper tracked until enough data has been collected to determine a credible edge, so the number that matters here is where the model sat against the close.
Schedule & projections
priced from Jul 19 • model against the closeDATEOPPONENTRESULTOPP RKMODELCLOSECLV
Jul 20
at Golden State ValkyriesW by 8#1-9.8-8.5
Jul 22
vs Las Vegas AcesW by 1#5+3.7+6.0
Jul 28
vs Connecticut SunW by 8#15-5.5-6.5
Jul 31
vs Dallas WingsW by 6#6+4.4+3.0
Aug 5
vs Dallas WingsW by 4#6+3.8+2.5
Aug 7
vs Atlanta DreamW by 5#3+1.7+5.5
Aug 9
vs Phoenix MercuryW by 20#9-3.6-1.8
Aug 11
at Las Vegas AcesL by 10#5-3.0-6.5
Aug 13
at Las Vegas AcesL by 7#5-3.5-6.0
Aug 15
vs Los Angeles SparksW by 10#11-5.0-6.5
Aug 19
vs Toronto TempoW by 11#14-7.2-13.5
Aug 21
vs Minnesota LynxL by 10#2+4.2+1.5
Aug 23
at Portland FireW by 5#12+2.5+4.5
Aug 25
at Phoenix MercuryW by 10#9+2.1+1.5
Aug 27
at Phoenix MercuryW by 7#9+2.5+5.5
Aug 28
at Los Angeles SparksL by 6#11+3.1+5.0
Sep 17
at Chicago SkyW by 30#10-0.1+1.5
Sep 20
at Indiana FeverW by 16#4-7.5-6.0
Sep 22
vs Connecticut Sun—#15-9.3
Ranking over time
weekly · place of 15#6#7#8#9#10
#8
Jul 21Jul 28Aug 4Aug 11Aug 18Aug 25Sep 1Sep 8Sep 15
9 weekly snapshots, frozen on Tuesdays while the sport is playing. The series stops where the season did and resumes when the sport does.
Playoff odds
Pulse →Make playoffs100%
Reach semis30%
Reach finals8%
Win title2%
The mock also asks for a No. 1 seed probability and home court in round one. This sport’s playoff artifact publishes the seed itself and the four odds above, and neither of those two, so they are not shown.
Final wins
not publishedThe projection is a point estimate, and this card is a share of simulations; publishing the point estimate as a distribution would invent the spread. The projection itself is 27–17.
Profile
Offensive rating98.4#13
Defensive rating97.5#2
Net rating+0.9#8
Pace (poss/40), fastest first83.5#6
Last 1511-4#4
BBMI paper picks on the Mystics
2026 • spreads vs close4–3
Picks on Mystics
2–9
Picks against
+0.9
Avg CLV, pts
Every pick here is paper. Nothing is staked, so there is no profit and loss to report; the measure is how the published line compares with the closing one, in points, averaged over the 7 graded picks on this club. ON took this club, AGAINST took its opponent, counting spread rows only: a total takes the over or the under and backs neither side.
Probabilities may not add to 100%. All results are model projections, not guarantees.