Team Pages/WNBA/Phoenix Mercury
Phoenix Mercury logo
WNBA • 2026 SEASON • PAPER EXPERIMENT

Phoenix Mercury

Record 16-27vs close 2–2 (paper)Last 15 6-9Seed #9
#9
BBMI rank
-3.0
Rating
16–28
Proj record
0%
Title odds

Last game

Game Picks →
Dallas Wings logo
Dallas Wings
#6 • +3.7 • WNBA
MON SEP 21
+1.0
final margin
Phoenix Mercury
#9 • -3.0 • home
Phoenix Mercury logo
+4.3
Model line
+6.0
Opening line
+5.5
Closing line
+0.5
CLV · paper, no play
No wager is placed on this sport. WNBA is paper tracked until enough data has been collected to determine a credible edge, so the number that matters here is where the model sat against the close.

Schedule & projections

priced from Jul 19 • model against the close
DATEOPPONENTRESULTOPP RKMODELCLOSECLV
Jul 19
Connecticut Sun logovs Connecticut Sun
W by 9#15-2.5-4.5
Jul 22
Los Angeles Sparks logoat Los Angeles Sparks
W by 4#11-1.0-1.5
Jul 29
Golden State Valkyries logovs Golden State Valkyries
W by 2#1+7.5+3.5
Aug 1
New York Liberty logovs New York Liberty
L by 2#7+3.2+2.5
Aug 3
Chicago Sky logoat Chicago Sky
W by 5#10-2.5+1.5
Aug 5
Atlanta Dream logoat Atlanta Dream
L by 14#3-5.0-6.5
Aug 7
Connecticut Sun logoat Connecticut Sun
L by 3#15+0.9+5.0
Aug 9
Washington Mystics logoat Washington Mystics
L by 20#8-3.6-1.8
Aug 11
Los Angeles Sparks logoat Los Angeles Sparks
W by 7#11-1.1-1.8
Aug 16
Portland Fire logovs Portland Fire
L by 3#12-2.3-5.5
Aug 22
Atlanta Dream logovs Atlanta Dream
L by 10#3+5.4+8.5
Aug 25
Washington Mystics logovs Washington Mystics
L by 10#8+2.1+1.5
Aug 27
Washington Mystics logovs Washington Mystics
L by 7#8+2.5+5.5
Aug 29
Toronto Tempo logovs Toronto Tempo
W by 32#14-3.0-8.5
Sep 17
Portland Fire logoat Portland Fire
W by 3#12+0.1+3.3
Sep 19
Dallas Wings logoat Dallas Wings
L by 5#6-10.4-8.5
Sep 21
Dallas Wings logovs Dallas Wings
W by 1#6+4.3+5.5

Ranking over time

weekly · place of 15
#7#8#9#10#11#12
#10
Jul 21Jul 28Aug 4Aug 11Aug 18Aug 25Sep 1Sep 8Sep 15

9 weekly snapshots, frozen on Tuesdays while the sport is playing. The series stops where the season did and resumes when the sport does.

Playoff odds

Pulse →
Make playoffs0%
Reach semis0%
Reach finals0%
Win title0%
The mock also asks for a No. 1 seed probability and home court in round one. This sport’s playoff artifact publishes the seed itself and the four odds above, and neither of those two, so they are not shown.

Final wins

not published
The projection is a point estimate, and this card is a share of simulations; publishing the point estimate as a distribution would invent the spread. The projection itself is 16–28.

Profile

Offensive rating102.0#10
Defensive rating104.9#10
Net rating-2.9#9
Pace (poss/40), fastest first81.6#14
Last 156-9#9

BBMI paper picks on the Mercury

2026 • spreads vs close
2–2
Picks on Mercury
6–7
Picks against
-0.4
Avg CLV, pts
Every pick here is paper. Nothing is staked, so there is no profit and loss to report; the measure is how the published line compares with the closing one, in points, averaged over the 4 graded picks on this club. ON took this club, AGAINST took its opponent, counting spread rows only: a total takes the over or the under and backs neither side.
Probabilities may not add to 100%. All results are model projections, not guarantees.