Team Pages/WNBA/Las Vegas Aces
Las Vegas Aces logo
WNBA • 2026 SEASON • PAPER EXPERIMENT

Las Vegas Aces

Record 29-14vs close 0–2 (paper)Last 15 10-5Seed #3
#5
BBMI rank
+4.8
Rating
30–15
Proj record
12%
Title odds

Next game

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Los Angeles Sparks logo
Los Angeles Sparks
#11 • -3.9 • WNBA
TUE SEP 22
no score projection
this sport prices a line, not a score
Las Vegas Aces
#5 • +4.8 • home
Las Vegas Aces logo
-8.7
Model line
-16.5
Opening line
—
Closing line
—
CLV · paper, no play
No wager is placed on this sport. WNBA is paper tracked until enough data has been collected to determine a credible edge, so the number that matters here is where the model sat against the close.

Schedule & projections

priced from Jul 19 • model against the close
DATEOPPONENTRESULTOPP RKMODELCLOSECLV
Jul 20
Toronto Tempo logoat Toronto Tempo
W by 26#14+5.2+10.5
Jul 22
Washington Mystics logoat Washington Mystics
L by 1#8+3.7+6.0
Jul 28
Portland Fire logovs Portland Fire
W by 15#12-6.7-12.5
Jul 30
New York Liberty logovs New York Liberty
W by 5#7-1.0-4.5
Aug 1
Chicago Sky logoat Chicago Sky
L by 1#10+3.2+6.5
Aug 3
Atlanta Dream logoat Atlanta Dream
W by 22#3-0.9-2.5
Aug 6
Indiana Fever logoat Indiana Fever
W by 2#4-3.3-1.0
Aug 8
Minnesota Lynx logoat Minnesota Lynx
L by 11#2-2.4-5.3
Aug 9
New York Liberty logoat New York Liberty
L by 40#7-0.6-9.5
Aug 11
Washington Mystics logovs Washington Mystics
W by 10#8-3.0-6.5
Aug 13
Washington Mystics logovs Washington Mystics
W by 7#8-3.5-6.0
Aug 15
Minnesota Lynx logovs Minnesota Lynx
L by 5#2+2.8+2.0
Aug 18
Atlanta Dream logovs Atlanta Dream
L by 15#3-0.6-3.5
Aug 20
Connecticut Sun logovs Connecticut Sun
W by 23#15-8.6-14.5
Aug 23
Toronto Tempo logoat Toronto Tempo
W by 10#14+7.0+13.5
Aug 28
Toronto Tempo logovs Toronto Tempo
W by 20#14-8.5-14.5
Sep 17
Seattle Storm logoat Seattle Storm
W by 37#13+3.7+10.5
Sep 20
Seattle Storm logovs Seattle Storm
W by 21#13-10.1-17.0
Sep 22
Los Angeles Sparks logovs Los Angeles Sparks
—#11-8.7

Ranking over time

weekly · place of 15
#2#4#6#8
#5
Jul 21Jul 28Aug 4Aug 11Aug 18Aug 25Sep 1Sep 8Sep 15

9 weekly snapshots, frozen on Tuesdays while the sport is playing. The series stops where the season did and resumes when the sport does.

Playoff odds

Pulse →
Make playoffs100%
Reach semis60%
Reach finals26%
Win title12%
The mock also asks for a No. 1 seed probability and home court in round one. This sport’s playoff artifact publishes the seed itself and the four odds above, and neither of those two, so they are not shown.

Final wins

not published
The projection is a point estimate, and this card is a share of simulations; publishing the point estimate as a distribution would invent the spread. The projection itself is 30–15.

Profile

Offensive rating108.8#2
Defensive rating104.0#9
Net rating+4.8#5
Pace (poss/40), fastest first82.1#13
Last 1510-5#6

BBMI paper picks on the Aces

2026 • spreads vs close
0–2
Picks on Aces
5–11
Picks against
+0.6
Avg CLV, pts
Every pick here is paper. Nothing is staked, so there is no profit and loss to report; the measure is how the published line compares with the closing one, in points, averaged over the 2 graded picks on this club. ON took this club, AGAINST took its opponent, counting spread rows only: a total takes the over or the under and backs neither side.
Probabilities may not add to 100%. All results are model projections, not guarantees.