
WNBA • 2026 SEASON • PAPER EXPERIMENT
Indiana Fever
#4
BBMI rank
+5.0
Rating
28–16
Proj record
9%
Title odds
Next game
Game Picks →Minnesota Lynx
TUE SEP 22
no score projection
this sport prices a line, not a score
Indiana Fever
-1.3
Model line
+1.5
Opening line
—
Closing line
—
CLV · paper, no play
No wager is placed on this sport. WNBA is paper tracked until enough data has been collected to determine a credible edge, so the number that matters here is where the model sat against the close.
Schedule & projections
priced from Jul 19 • model against the closeDATEOPPONENTRESULTOPP RKMODELCLOSECLV
Jul 22
vs Connecticut SunW by 35#15-11.5-10.5
Jul 28
at Seattle StormW by 10#13+3.9+9.0
Jul 31
at Portland FireW by 14#12+7.0+8.0
Aug 2
at Minnesota LynxL by 8#2-2.8
Aug 6
vs Las Vegas AcesL by 2#5-3.3-1.0
Aug 8
at Chicago SkyW by 4#10+3.5+5.5
Aug 11
vs New York LibertyW by 14#7-4.4-3.0
Aug 14
vs Dallas WingsW by 11#6-4.1-7.5
Aug 16
at Atlanta DreamW by 4#3+0.9-2.5
Aug 18
at Toronto TempoW by 6#14+8.8+10.5
Aug 20
at Dallas WingsL by 6#6-1.6+3.5
Aug 22
at New York LibertyL by 7#7-0.9-2.0
Aug 23
at Chicago SkyW by 23#10+3.5+2.0
Aug 28
vs Connecticut SunW by 20#15-13.7-17.5
Sep 18
at Toronto TempoW by 18#14+8.6+15.8
Sep 20
vs Washington MysticsL by 16#8-7.5-6.0
Sep 22
vs Minnesota Lynx—#2-1.3
Ranking over time
weekly · place of 15#1#2#3#4#5#6
#3
Jul 21Jul 28Aug 4Aug 11Aug 18Aug 25Sep 1Sep 8Sep 15
9 weekly snapshots, frozen on Tuesdays while the sport is playing. The series stops where the season did and resumes when the sport does.
Playoff odds
Pulse →Make playoffs100%
Reach semis46%
Reach finals20%
Win title9%
The mock also asks for a No. 1 seed probability and home court in round one. This sport’s playoff artifact publishes the seed itself and the four odds above, and neither of those two, so they are not shown.
Final wins
not publishedThe projection is a point estimate, and this card is a share of simulations; publishing the point estimate as a distribution would invent the spread. The projection itself is 28–16.
Profile
Offensive rating112.8#1
Defensive rating107.8#14
Net rating+5.0#4
Pace (poss/40), fastest first83.8#3
Last 1510-5#5
BBMI paper picks on the Fever
2026 • spreads vs close2–3
Picks on Fever
3–7
Picks against
-0.2
Avg CLV, pts
Every pick here is paper. Nothing is staked, so there is no profit and loss to report; the measure is how the published line compares with the closing one, in points, averaged over the 5 graded picks on this club. ON took this club, AGAINST took its opponent, counting spread rows only: a total takes the over or the under and backs neither side.
Probabilities may not add to 100%. All results are model projections, not guarantees.