
WNBA • 2026 SEASON • PAPER EXPERIMENT
Connecticut Sun
#15
BBMI rank
-8.2
Rating
11–33
Proj record
0%
Title odds
Next game
Game Picks →Connecticut Sun
TUE SEP 22
no score projection
this sport prices a line, not a score
Washington Mystics
-9.3
Model line
-17.0
Opening line
—
Closing line
—
CLV · paper, no play
No wager is placed on this sport. WNBA is paper tracked until enough data has been collected to determine a credible edge, so the number that matters here is where the model sat against the close.
Schedule & projections
priced from Jul 19 • model against the closeDATEOPPONENTRESULTOPP RKMODELCLOSECLV
Jul 19
at Phoenix MercuryL by 9#9-2.5-4.5
Jul 22
at Indiana FeverL by 35#4-11.5-10.5
Jul 28
at Washington MysticsL by 8#8-5.5-6.5
Jul 30
at Chicago SkyL by 6#10-5.9-5.5
Aug 2
at Dallas WingsL by 20#6-13.0-11.0
Aug 7
vs Phoenix MercuryW by 3#9+0.9+5.0
Aug 13
vs Atlanta DreamL by 35#3+5.2+10.0
Aug 15
vs New York LibertyL by 7#7+5.9+7.5
Aug 18
vs Los Angeles SparksW by 8#11+0.4+2.0
Aug 20
at Las Vegas AcesL by 23#5-8.6-14.5
Aug 22
at Los Angeles SparksL by 9#11-2.9-5.0
Aug 25
vs Chicago SkyW by 6#10+1.2+7.5
Aug 26
vs Golden State ValkyriesL by 25#1+9.1+14.5
Aug 28
at Indiana FeverL by 20#4-13.7-17.5
Aug 30
at Dallas WingsL by 26#6-13.6-15.5
Sep 17
at Atlanta DreamL by 44#3-9.4-17.5
Sep 20
vs Minnesota LynxL by 12#2+9.3+16.5
Sep 22
at Washington Mystics—#8-9.3
Ranking over time
weekly · place of 15#13#14#15
#15
Jul 21Jul 28Aug 4Aug 11Aug 18Aug 25Sep 1Sep 8Sep 15
9 weekly snapshots, frozen on Tuesdays while the sport is playing. The series stops where the season did and resumes when the sport does.
Playoff odds
Pulse →Make playoffs0%
Reach semis0%
Reach finals0%
Win title0%
The mock also asks for a No. 1 seed probability and home court in round one. This sport’s playoff artifact publishes the seed itself and the four odds above, and neither of those two, so they are not shown.
Final wins
not publishedThe projection is a point estimate, and this card is a share of simulations; publishing the point estimate as a distribution would invent the spread. The projection itself is 11–33.
Profile
Offensive rating95.0#15
Defensive rating103.2#6
Net rating-8.2#15
Pace (poss/40), fastest first82.9#10
Last 153-12#13
BBMI paper picks on the Sun
2026 • spreads vs close5–8
Picks on Sun
4–0
Picks against
-0.9
Avg CLV, pts
Every pick here is paper. Nothing is staked, so there is no profit and loss to report; the measure is how the published line compares with the closing one, in points, averaged over the 13 graded picks on this club. ON took this club, AGAINST took its opponent, counting spread rows only: a total takes the over or the under and backs neither side.
Probabilities may not add to 100%. All results are model projections, not guarantees.