WNBA • 2026 SEASON • PAPER EXPERIMENT
Atlanta Dream
#3
BBMI rank
+5.2
Rating
29–15
Proj record
12%
Title odds
Next game
Game Picks →Atlanta Dream
WED SEP 23
no score projection
this sport prices a line, not a score
New York Liberty
+0.0
Model line
+1.5
Opening line
—
Closing line
—
CLV · paper, no play
No wager is placed on this sport. WNBA is paper tracked until enough data has been collected to determine a credible edge, so the number that matters here is where the model sat against the close.
Schedule & projections
priced from Jul 19 • model against the closeDATEOPPONENTRESULTOPP RKMODELCLOSECLV
Jul 19
vs Chicago SkyW by 2#10-6.5-10.5
vs Chicago SkyJul 29
at Dallas WingsW by 1#6-4.9+1.5
at Dallas WingsJul 31
vs Seattle StormW by 9#13-7.9-11.5
vs Seattle StormAug 3
vs Las Vegas AcesL by 22#5-0.9-2.5
vs Las Vegas AcesAug 5
vs Phoenix MercuryW by 14#9-5.0-6.5
vs Phoenix MercuryAug 7
at Washington MysticsL by 5#8+1.7+5.5
at Washington MysticsAug 10
vs Toronto TempoW by 12#14-8.5-15.0
vs Toronto TempoAug 13
at Connecticut SunW by 35#15+5.2+10.0
at Connecticut SunAug 16
vs Indiana FeverL by 4#4+0.9-2.5
vs Indiana FeverAug 18at Las Vegas AcesW by 15#5-0.6-3.5
at Las Vegas AcesAug 20
at Los Angeles SparksW by 36#11+5.3+9.0
at Los Angeles SparksAug 22at Phoenix MercuryW by 10#9+5.4+8.5
at Phoenix MercuryAug 24at Los Angeles SparksW by 7#11+6.5+10.5
at Los Angeles SparksAug 28
vs Portland FireL by 18#12-7.6-13.0
vs Portland FireAug 30
vs Minnesota LynxW by 8#2+3.9+2.5
vs Minnesota LynxSep 17vs Connecticut SunW by 44#15-9.4-17.5
vs Connecticut SunSep 19vs Chicago SkyW by 25#10-7.4-15.0
vs Chicago SkySep 21at New York LibertyW by 11#7-0.6+1.5
at New York LibertySep 23at New York Liberty—#7+0.0
at New York LibertyRanking over time
weekly · place of 15#2#4#6#8#9
#4
Jul 21Jul 28Aug 4Aug 11Aug 18Aug 25Sep 1Sep 8Sep 15
9 weekly snapshots, frozen on Tuesdays while the sport is playing. The series stops where the season did and resumes when the sport does.
Playoff odds
Pulse →Make playoffs100%
Reach semis58%
Reach finals26%
Win title12%
The mock also asks for a No. 1 seed probability and home court in round one. This sport’s playoff artifact publishes the seed itself and the four odds above, and neither of those two, so they are not shown.
Final wins
not publishedThe projection is a point estimate, and this card is a share of simulations; publishing the point estimate as a distribution would invent the spread. The projection itself is 29–15.
Profile
Offensive rating106.4#5
Defensive rating101.2#4
Net rating+5.2#3
Pace (poss/40), fastest first83.5#5
Last 1511-4#3
BBMI paper picks on the Dream
2026 • spreads vs close2–1
Picks on Dream
8–7
Picks against
+1.5
Avg CLV, pts
Every pick here is paper. Nothing is staked, so there is no profit and loss to report; the measure is how the published line compares with the closing one, in points, averaged over the 3 graded picks on this club. ON took this club, AGAINST took its opponent, counting spread rows only: a total takes the over or the under and backs neither side.
Probabilities may not add to 100%. All results are model projections, not guarantees.