
DIVISION 5 • 2025–26
Assumption
#28
In Division 5
+33.1
Rating
77%
Winner called
4
WIAA seed
Last game
Game predictions →Assumption
SAT MAR 7
57 – 48
final score
Royall
Royall by 7.5
Projected margin
21%
Win probability
Assumption by 9
Actual margin
16.5
Missed by, pts
Assumption 21%Royall 79%
The 2025–26 season is complete. BBMI publishes no betting lines or picks for high school games; these are projections, graded against the result.
Schedule & projections
projected margin and win prob • no lines • 2 without a scoreDATEOPPONENTRESULTOPP RKPROJWIN %WIN PROB
Nov 28
vs NeillsvilleL 66–78#26 D4-3.536%
Nov 29
vs Columbus CatholicL 54–55#16 D5-1.546%
Dec 5
at ChequamegonW 68–41#86 D4+4.567%
Dec 9
vs Tri-CountyW 60–50#53 D5+7.577%
Dec 12
vs Rib LakeL 40–60#13 D5-2.539%
Dec 16
at StratfordW 58–48#36 D4-3.537%
Dec 19
vs MarathonL 47–79#3 D4-3.536%
Dec 22
at EdgarL 65–71#37 D4-4.534%
Dec 30
vs RosholtW 68–31#50 D5+6.574%
Jan 9
at PrenticeL 55–79#3 D5-14.57%
Jan 13
vs AuburndaleW 47–38#34 D4-1.545%
Jan 16
at Newman CatholicW 41–38#47 D5+1.557%
Jan 17
at PacelliW 63–45#66 D5+6.573%
Jan 23
vs Athens—#29 D5+2.557%
Jan 27
vs StratfordL 49–51#36 D4-1.546%
Jan 30
at MarathonL 46–62#3 D4-12.58%
Feb 6
at AbbotsfordW 86–49#89 D4+4.568%
Feb 7
vs Wabeno/LaonaW 58–55#19 D5+1.552%
Feb 10
at Adams-FriendshipW 67–61#46 D3-4.532%
Feb 13
vs PhillipsW 77–54#76 D4+5.573%
Feb 17
vs EdgarW 62–41#37 D4-0.550%
Feb 19
vs AthensL 59–74#29 D5+2.557%
Feb 21
vs Centennial
W 64–55100%Feb 23
at AuburndaleL 49–55#34 D4-5.530%
Feb 26
vs Newman CatholicW 49–48#47 D5+4.568%
Mar 3
vs CashtonW 75–63#115 D5+13.593%
Mar 6
vs Blair-TaylorW 66–42#60 D5+6.574%
Mar 7
at RoyallW 57–48#17 D5-7.521%
Mar 12
at Cochrane-Fountain City—#38 D5+1.553%
Ranking over time
weekly · place of 129 in Division 5#23#29#35#41#45
#25
Feb 3Feb 10Feb 17Feb 24Mar 3Mar 10Mar 17Mar 24
8 weekly snapshots, frozen on Tuesdays while the sport is playing. The series stops where the season did and resumes when the sport does.
WIAA tournament
Pulse →4
WIAA seed
3A
Region
Sectional final
Sectional 3
The bracket is resolved, so this is the run the team actually had rather than a probability.
Regular-season wins
not publishedThis sport has no season simulation, which is the same reason the rankings board carries no projected record.
Profile
Points per game58.3#53
Points allowed per game53.8#34
Point differential+4.5#44
Field goal %.473#11
Three-point %.372#4
Rebounds per game27.2#107
Turnovers per game11.4#14
Quality wins43.7#19
Ranked within Division 5, which is the only ladder this sport publishes. The artboard asks for offensive and defensive ratings, pace and returning starters; this feed carries none of them, and the rankings board drops the same columns for the same reason.
BBMI predictions on Assumption
2025–26 • straight-up20–6
Winner called
11.7
Avg margin error, pts
77%
Accuracy
Across 26 games where a projection and a result both exist. A tie counts as neither called nor missed. No line, no stake, no units: BBMI publishes no betting lines or picks for high school games.
Probabilities may not add to 100%. BBMI publishes no betting lines or picks for high school games.