Model PerformanceWIAA
WIAA · Product

WIAA — Winner Accuracy

81.0% winner accuracy · n=5,996 · live
live

Methodology

No edge gate; every graded game counts. Wisconsin high-school basketball, dedup by (team, opponent, date) on the Home leg. Single-dimension product (no edge gate); the model picks the home team if its teamLine is negative, otherwise away.

All figures computed from logged pick data at build · updated with each deploy.

Per-band breakdown

Each band shows sample size, record, win rate, and the 95% Wilson confidence interval. Bands inside the production gate are shown — wider edges have higher conviction but smaller samples.

Edge bandnW–LWin %95% Wilson CI
All home games (deduped)5,9964859113781.0%[80.0, 82.0]
Total5,9964859113781.0%[80.0, 82.0]

BBMI vs Vegas

Not applicable — BBMI's WIAA pick is identical to picking the team favored by the published spread, so there is no separate market prediction to compare against. The headline accuracy is the market-favorite accuracy.