MLB first-five-innings · every prediction shown here logged before first pitch · graded on the record · no silent edits · since May 2026
Verifiable record — natively governed, append-only
From go-live forward, every prediction is posted before the game, graded against the result, and preserved exactly as issued.
Native record: recording live — first predictions posting soon.
316 MLB first-five-innings predictions — totals and spreads — from May 1 to July 26, 2026. Each was logged before first pitch in BBMI’s pick log and graded against the result. These predate the governed record, so their before-the-game timestamps are attested by that source log, not enforced here — which is why they sit in their own lane and are never merged into the governed number above.
This lane reports accuracy against the result — not a market comparison. The pick log holds one recorded line per game, not the eligible-book consensus the market benchmark is built from, so no “vs the market” figure is shown here.
We logged 389 first-five-innings predictions in this window; 316 are on the record. The other 73 are left out rather than counted on faith — 71 we couldn’t prove were locked in before first pitch, and 2 weren’t graded. Leaving them out is the standard doing its job.
How to read this page
Two records, one standard. From go-live forward, everything is natively governed and append-only. Before it, the 2026 record is imported from the pick log — logged before the game, graded, and labeled as source-attested. Nothing is merged, nothing is silently edited, and the calls we couldn’t prove were made in time are left out, not counted.
Analytical and educational content about model performance. Not betting advice.