2026 All-Star Game.
American League vs. National League — Tuesday, July 14, 8:00 PM ET at Citizens Bank Park, Philadelphia. BBMI’s projection from 250,000 simulations of the announced starting lineups and pitching plans. Nine innings only: the All-Star Game settles a tie with a swing-off, so ties are shown separately rather than played out.
Full game
Final after 9 innings (ties stand)
| Full-game total | Over |
|---|---|
| 6.5 | 67.4% |
| 7.5 | 57.7% |
| 8.5 | 48.6% |
| 9.5 | 39.8% |
| 10.5 | 32.2% |
First 5 innings
Lead after 5 complete innings
| First-5 total | Over |
|---|---|
| 3.5 | 65.2% |
| 4.5 | 52.2% |
| 5.5 | 40.0% |
| 6.5 | 29.5% |
| 7.5 | 21.0% |
How this prediction is built
250,000 common-random-number simulations of the game using BBMI’s production MLB engine with point-in-time player ratings through July 13, 2026, and Citizens Bank Park park factors. 9 innings only — the All-Star Game goes to a swing-off, not extra innings, so ties stand and are reported separately.
Rosters: Announced starting lineups; all pitchers capped at ~1 inning (every arm treated as a one-inning reliever). Bench substitutions are not modeled — the announced starting nine bat the full game, so the First-5 split reflects the announced starters exactly.
Not a betting pick. This is a model projection of an exhibition game. Calibrated to regular-season run environments — it does not encode All-Star-specific effects (max-effort one-inning velocity, hitter unfamiliarity), so the projected total reads regular-season-like and may run above a typical All-Star Game.
Model prediction · 250,000 simulations · see the MLB model accuracy page for graded results.