Team Pages/Big East/Xavier
Xavier logo
BIG EAST • 2026 SEASON

Xavier

Record 28-30vs line 7–3 ATSLast L 4–7 vs CreightonPostseason did not qualify
#110
BBMI rank
+0.43
Rating
-1.3
Run margin
#72
RPI

Next game

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Michigan
#76 • +0.89 • Big Ten
TUE MAY 5 • 2:00 PM CT
not projected
projected runs
Xavier
#110 • +0.43 • home
Xavier logo
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Model run line
—
Market run line
—
Edge
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Win probability

Schedule & projections

projected runs and win prob from the board
DATEOPPONENTRESULTOPP RKPROJWIN %WIN PROB
Feb 14
East Carolina logoat East Carolina
W 9–3#174.7–6.034%
Feb 14
East Carolina logoat East Carolina
L 5–12#174.9–6.334%
Feb 17
Louisville logoat Louisville
L 11–23#457.6–9.037%
Feb 20
Arkansas logoat Arkansas
L 2–5#145.2–6.535%
Feb 21
Arkansas logoat Arkansas
L 6–7#145.2–6.535%
Feb 22
Arkansas logoat Arkansas
L 0–11#145.2–6.535%
Feb 25
Indiana logovs Indiana
L 4–10#797.5–7.254%
Feb 27
Cal State Fullerton logoat Cal State Fullerton
W 3–0#864.9–5.740%
Feb 28
Cal State Fullerton logoat Cal State Fullerton
W 3–2#864.9–5.740%
Mar 1
Cal State Fullerton logoat Cal State Fullerton
L 7–16#864.9–5.740%
Mar 4
Ohio State logoat Ohio State
W 13–4#1157.4–8.241%
Mar 6
Oregon State logoat Oregon State
L 2–4#415.6–7.034%
Mar 7
Oregon State logoat Oregon State
L 2–7#415.6–7.034%
Mar 8
Oregon State logoat Oregon State
L 2–17#415.6–7.034%
Mar 9
Oregon State logoat Oregon State
L 2–7#415.6–7.034%
Mar 10
Oregon logoat Oregon
L 0–10#85.9–7.434%
Mar 11
Oregon logoat Oregon
L 3–6#85.9–7.434%
Mar 13
Evansville logovs Evansville
W 7–5#1954.4–4.844%
Mar 14
Evansville logovs Evansville
L 4–6#1954.4–4.844%
Mar 15
Evansville logovs Evansville
L 1–5#1954.4–4.844%
Mar 18
Ohio State logovs Ohio State
L 4–8#1157.7–7.255%
Mar 20
Wofford logovs Wofford
W 8–1#517.4–7.747%
Mar 21
Wofford logovs Wofford
L 2–14#516.9–7.346%
Mar 22
Wofford logovs Wofford
L 5–8#517.0–7.544%
Mar 24
Cincinnati logovs Cincinnati
W 4–3#207.0–7.446%
Mar 27
C
at Connecticut
L 1–3#815.8–6.937%
Mar 28
C
at Connecticut
L 0–8#815.7–6.837%
Mar 29
C
at Connecticut
W 6–1#815.5–6.934%
Mar 31
Ball State logoat Ball State
W 13–12#2486.9–7.049%
Apr 2
Georgetown logoat Georgetown
W 5–1#2026.4–7.241%
Apr 3
Georgetown logoat Georgetown
W 11–6#2026.5–7.441%
Apr 4
Georgetown logoat Georgetown
L 9–10#2026.4–7.241%
Apr 7
Wright State logovs Wright State
W 4–2#1747.4–6.856%
Apr 10
Villanova logovs Villanova
W 8–4#2297.5–6.859%
Apr 11
Villanova logovs Villanova
W 9–7#2297.5–6.758%
Apr 12
Villanova logovs Villanova
W 9–6#2298.0–7.259%
Apr 14
Cincinnati logoat Cincinnati
L 5–15#206.3–8.033%
Apr 17
Seton Hall logoat Seton Hall
W 10–1#2375.4–5.845%
Apr 18
Seton Hall logoat Seton Hall
W 6–3#2375.7–6.145%
Apr 19
Seton Hall logoat Seton Hall
W 3–1#2375.5–5.945%
Apr 21
Vanderbilt logoat Vanderbilt
L 1–11#286.5–7.936%
Apr 24
SJ
vs Saint John's
L 7–12#1467.8–7.058%
Apr 25
SJ
vs Saint John's
L 6–8#1467.4–6.658%
Apr 26
SJ
vs Saint John's
W 16–6#1467.4–6.658%
Apr 28
Miami (OH) logoat Miami (OH)
W 10–7#656.3–7.834%
May 1
Georgia Tech logoat Georgia Tech
W 8–4#16.7–8.928%
May 2
Georgia Tech logoat Georgia Tech
L 5–7#16.7–8.928%
May 3
Georgia Tech logoat Georgia Tech
L 6–14#16.7–8.928%
May 5
Michigan logovs Michigan
—#76
May 8
Butler logoat Butler
W 5–2#2506.7–6.948%
May 9
Butler logoat Butler
W 12–10#2506.7–6.948%
May 10
Butler logoat Butler
W 9–2#2506.7–6.948%
May 14
Creighton logovs Creighton
L 2–5#856.9–6.653%
May 15
Creighton logovs Creighton
W 3–2#856.9–6.653%
May 16
Creighton logovs Creighton
W 5–3#856.9–6.653%
May 21
C
at Connecticut
W 5–1#815.6–6.935%
May 23
SJ
at Saint John's
L 6–17#1466.0–6.248%
May 23
Creighton logovs Creighton
L 4–7#856.5–5.858%

Ranking over time

weekly · place of 308
#97#116#135#154#172
#112
Mar 24Mar 31Apr 7Apr 14Apr 21Apr 28May 5May 12May 19May 26Jun 2Jun 9Jun 16

13 weekly snapshots, frozen on Tuesdays while the sport is playing. The series stops where the season did and resumes when the sport does.

Road to Omaha

Pulse →
This team did not reach the 2026 tournament field.

Regular-season wins

not published
This sport has no season simulation, so there is no distribution of win totals to draw.

Profile

Runs per game5.6#251
Runs allowed per game6.8#179
Starter FIP4.63#116
Team OPS.787#195
Team wOBA.347#207
Run margin-1.3#226
Strength of schedule#56
The mock asks for a weekend rotation ERA; this feed publishes starter FIP, which is a different statistic and is shown under its own name. Every other row is the mock’s, and this is the only one of the seven sports where that is true.

BBMI picks on Xavier

2026 • ATS
2–2
Picks on Xavier
5–1
Picks against
+3.4u
Net, flat 1u
ON took this team, AGAINST took its opponent. A game counts only inside the published edge band, and it is graded against the market line, which is the same rule the model-performance page uses. 10 graded picks.
Probabilities may not add to 100%. All results are model projections, not guarantees.