CWS Pulse.
The eight-team College World Series, drawn into two four-team double-elimination brackets and simulated 10,000 times. Lose once and you drop to the elimination side; lose twice and you’re out. The two bracket winners meet in a best-of-three final.
The road to the final
% = win-this-bracket rate across 10,000 simulations
North CarolinaBracket fav32%
West Virginia26%
Ole Miss22%
Troy19%How double-elimination works: each four-team bracket plays until one team survives. A loss drops you to the elimination side; the bracket final pairs the unbeaten team against the elimination survivor — who must beat them twice.
GeorgiaBracket fav29%
Texas29%
Alabama23%
Oklahoma20%Bracket draw: Bracket 1 = North Carolina, West Virginia, Ole Miss, Troy · Bracket 2 = Georgia, Texas, Alabama, Oklahoma — the official Omaha draw, with each side carrying ~50% of the title equity. Live game scores and the winners’/elimination game tree populate here once Omaha opens.
Championship odds
Re-simulated after every round · green ≥ 12%| Team | Status | Seed / Regional | Win bracket | Win title |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| North Carolina | In Omaha | No. 5 national · Chapel Hill | 32.5% | 17.4% |
| Georgia | In Omaha | No. 3 national · Athens | 28.7% | 14.8% |
| Texas | In Omaha | No. 6 national · Austin | 28.6% | 14.4% |
| West Virginia | In Omaha | No. 16 national · Morgantown | 26.5% | 13.4% |
| Alabama | In Omaha | No. 7 national · Tuscaloosa | 23.2% | 11.6% |
| Ole Miss | In Omaha | Lincoln | 22.1% | 11.1% |
| Oklahoma | In Omaha | Atlanta | 19.5% | 9.2% |
| Troy | In Omaha | Gainesville | 19.0% | 8.3% |
All eight teams enter Omaha unbeaten in the CWS, so the table shows a neutral status. Live records, status (unbeaten / one loss / eliminated), and movement populate once Omaha games are played — the pre-Omaha forecast carries no game results yet, so those columns are omitted rather than estimated.
The road to Omaha
Regionals · 64 → 16Regional winners · 64 → 16
Sixteen four-team double-elimination pods narrowed the field to 16 Regional winners, then eight best-of-three Super Regionals sent the eight teams above to Omaha. During Regionals and Super Regionals this page lists every surviving team with stage-advance odds, re-simulated after each round.
How the CWS simulation works
After every round of the tournament — Regionals through the Finals — the remaining field is replayed 10,000 times with the same engine that prices the daily picks: team-level run scoring, ERA-adjusted pitching, home field, and park factors. The full format: 16 four-team double-elimination Regionals → 8 best-of-3 Super Regionals → two four-team double-elimination brackets in Omaha → a best-of-3 championship series. The forecast re-simulates after every round — it is held between rounds, not refreshed daily.
Official 2026 NCAA D1 Baseball bracket loaded — probabilities reflect the actual Omaha field via 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations. Last simulated June 8, 2026.