Team Pages/Southern/Western Carolina
Western Carolina logo
SOUTHERN • 2026 SEASON

Western Carolina

Record 36-23vs line 1–0 ATSLast L 1–5 vs SamfordPostseason did not qualify
#103
BBMI rank
+0.54
Rating
+1.4
Run margin
#64
RPI
Last updated: (data published)
Samford logo
Samford
#87 • +0.79 • Mason Blasche
FRI MAY 22 • 11:30 AM CT
5 – 1
final score
Western Carolina
#103 • +0.54 • home • James Fordham
Western Carolina logo
-1.5
Model run line
-1.5
Market run line
0.0
Edge
55%
Win probability
Western Carolina 55%Samford 45%
The 2026 season is complete. The board returns in February.

Schedule & projections

projected runs and win prob from the board
Last updated: (data published)
DATEOPPONENTRESULTOPP RKPROJWIN %WIN PROB
Feb 27
Troy logoat Troy
W 4–3#425.6–6.341%
Feb 28
Rutgers logovs Rutgers
L 3–9#966.4–5.956%
Mar 1
East Carolina logoat East Carolina
W 2–0#175.3–6.437%
Mar 4
Georgia logoat Georgia
W 10–9#36.8–8.236%
Mar 7
Charlotte logoat Charlotte
L 0–4#636.3–7.042%
Mar 8
Charlotte logoat Charlotte
L 4–7#636.3–7.042%
Mar 10
Appalachian State logoat Appalachian State
W 13–3#1226.7–7.343%
Apr 14
Appalachian State logovs Appalachian State
W 14–4#1227.3–6.856%
May 8
Wake Forest logoat Wake Forest
L 1–6#136.6–8.035%
May 9
Wake Forest logoat Wake Forest
L 2–14#136.6–8.035%
May 10
Wake Forest logoat Wake Forest
L 5–9#136.6–8.035%
May 21
Samford logovs Samford
L 5–9#876.8–6.157%
May 21
U
vs UNCG
W 4–3#1637.3–6.064%
May 22
Samford logovs Samford
L 1–5#876.6–6.255%

Ranking over time

weekly · place of 308
#100#120#140#160
#102
Mar 24Mar 31Apr 7Apr 14Apr 21Apr 28May 5May 12May 19May 26Jun 2Jun 9Jun 16

13 weekly snapshots, frozen on Tuesdays while the sport is playing. The series stops where the season did and resumes when the sport does.

Road to Omaha

Pulse →
Last updated:
This team did not reach the 2026 tournament field.

Regular-season wins

not published
Last updated: (data published)
This sport has no season simulation, so there is no distribution of win totals to draw.

Profile

Runs per game7.0#102
Runs allowed per game5.6#77
Starter FIP5.60#187
Team OPS.828#121
Team wOBA.383#71
Run margin+1.4#71
Strength of schedule#96
The mock asks for a weekend rotation ERA; this feed publishes starter FIP, which is a different statistic and is shown under its own name. Every other row is the mock’s, and this is the only one of the seven sports where that is true.

BBMI picks on Western Carolina

2026 • ATS
1–0
Picks on Western Carolina
0–0
Picks against
+0.9u
Net, flat 1u
ON took this team, AGAINST took its opponent. A game counts only inside the published edge band, and it is graded against the market line, which is the same rule the model-performance page uses. 1 graded picks.
Probabilities may not add to 100%. All results are model projections, not guarantees.