Team Pages/Missouri Valley/Valparaiso
Valparaiso logo
MISSOURI VALLEY • 2026 SEASON

Valparaiso

Record 12-38vs line Last L 1–6 at Notre DamePostseason did not qualify
#254
BBMI rank
-1.49
Rating
-2.6
Run margin
#279
RPI
Valparaiso logo
Valparaiso
#254 • -1.49 • Missouri Valley
TUE APR 14 • 2:30 PM CT
1 6
final score
Notre Dame
#48 • +1.39home
Notre Dame logo
+5.5
Model run line
Market run line
Edge
32%
Win probability
Valparaiso 32%Notre Dame 68%
The 2026 season is complete. The board returns in February.

Schedule & projections

projected runs and win prob from the board
DATEOPPONENTRESULTOPP RKPROJWIN %WIN PROB
Mar 6
Jacksonville State logoat Jacksonville State
L 2–3#664.7–6.233%
Mar 7
Jacksonville State logoat Jacksonville State
L 3–17#664.3–5.733%
Mar 7
Jacksonville State logoat Jacksonville State
L 2–13#664.5–6.033%
Mar 24
Purdue logoat Purdue
L 2–3#546.3–8.032%
Mar 31
Northwestern logoat Northwestern
L 9–13#1696.8–7.542%
Apr 2
Washington logoat Washington
L 3–6#956.0–7.534%
Apr 3
Washington logoat Washington
L 0–6#956.0–7.534%
Apr 4
Washington logoat Washington
W 4–2#956.0–7.534%
Apr 14
Notre Dame logoat Notre Dame
L 1–6#486.4–8.232%

Ranking over time

weekly · place of 308
#162#188#214#240#266
#254
Mar 24Mar 31Apr 7Apr 14Apr 21Apr 28May 5May 12May 19May 26Jun 2Jun 9Jun 16

13 weekly snapshots, frozen on Tuesdays while the sport is playing. The series stops where the season did and resumes when the sport does.

Road to Omaha

Pulse →
This team did not reach the 2026 tournament field.

Regular-season wins

not published
This sport has no season simulation, so there is no distribution of win totals to draw.

Profile

Runs per game5.0#285
Runs allowed per game7.6#236
Starter FIP5.38#179
Team OPS.735#275
Team wOBA.326#275
Run margin-2.6#281
Strength of schedule#201
The mock asks for a weekend rotation ERA; this feed publishes starter FIP, which is a different statistic and is shown under its own name. Every other row is the mock’s, and this is the only one of the seven sports where that is true.

BBMI picks on Valparaiso

2026 • ATS
00
Picks on Valparaiso
00
Picks against
Net, flat 1u
ON took this team, AGAINST took its opponent. A game counts only inside the published edge band, and it is graded against the market line, which is the same rule the model-performance page uses. 0 graded picks.
Probabilities may not add to 100%. All results are model projections, not guarantees.