U
AMERICAN • 2026 SEASON
UTSA
#43
BBMI rank
+1.53
Rating
+3.0
Run margin
#50
RPI
Next game
Game Picks →U
UTSA
TUE APR 21 • 3:00 PM CT
not projected
projected runs
Texas A&M
—
Model run line
—
Market run line
—
Edge
—
Win probability
Schedule & projections
projected runs and win prob from the boardDATEOPPONENTRESULTOPP RKPROJWIN %WIN PROB
Feb 14
vs South Dakota StateW 13–5#2828.5–6.372%
Feb 15
vs South Dakota StateW 13–1#2828.5–6.372%
Feb 17W 10–3#2417.7–6.266%
U
vs UICFeb 20W 12–8#827.8–6.762%
DB
vs Dallas BaptistFeb 21W 10–8#827.8–6.762%
DB
vs Dallas BaptistFeb 22W 6–3#827.8–6.762%
DB
vs Dallas BaptistFeb 24
at Texas StateL 2–7#927.0–7.050%
Feb 27
vs Ohio StateW 6–5#1157.7–6.364%
Feb 28
at Coastal CarolinaW 16–10#326.4–6.945%
Mar 1
at BaylorW 11–6#756.8–6.948%
Mar 3W 7–5#2117.3–6.757%
TAC
at Texas A&M-Corpus ChristiMar 6
at New Mexico StateW 10–2#2458.2–7.061%
Mar 7
at New Mexico StateW 13–0#2458.2–7.061%
Mar 8
at New Mexico StateL 4–5#2458.2–7.061%
Mar 10
at Texas TechW 9–8#1128.5–8.748%
Mar 11
at Texas TechL 5–10#1128.5–8.748%
Mar 13L 11–15#1795.0–4.655%
U
vs UTAMar 14L 8–11#1795.0–4.655%
U
vs UTAMar 15W 15–8#1795.0–4.655%
U
vs UTAMar 17
at Houston ChristianL 11–12#1577.5–7.351%
Mar 20W 4–1#1477.5–7.054%
F
at FAUMar 21L 6–7#1477.6–7.154%
F
at FAUMar 22W 18–8#1477.1–6.654%
F
at FAUMar 24W 3–1#2118.1–6.270%
TAC
vs Texas A&M-Corpus ChristiMar 27
vs East CarolinaL 0–3#177.6–6.958%
Mar 28
vs East CarolinaW 6–1#177.1–6.755%
Mar 29
vs East CarolinaW 8–7#177.1–6.556%
Mar 31
at Incarnate WordL 11–13#2407.9–7.059%
Apr 2
at RiceL 2–3#916.8–6.751%
Apr 3
at RiceW 8–0#916.8–6.850%
Apr 4
at RiceW 13–0#916.7–6.750%
Apr 7
at Tarleton StateW 6–2#1167.1–7.051%
Apr 10
vs South FloridaW 11–3#1077.5–6.363%
Apr 11
vs South FloridaW 7–3#1077.8–6.563%
Apr 11
vs South FloridaW 7–3#1077.4–6.263%
Apr 14
at BaylorL 9–10#756.5–6.748%
Apr 17
vs CharlotteW 11–5#638.0–6.962%
Apr 18
vs CharlotteW 8–3#637.9–6.862%
Apr 19
vs CharlotteL 5–7#637.8–6.762%
Apr 21
at Texas A&M—#10
Apr 24
at TulaneW 7–3#1196.4–6.450%
Apr 25
at TulaneW 8–2#1196.0–6.050%
Apr 26
at TulaneL 7–12#1196.0–6.050%
Apr 28
vs Incarnate WordW 22–10#2408.5–6.471%
May 1
vs Wichita State—#84
May 2
vs Wichita StateW 13–7#847.0–6.259%
May 2
vs Wichita StateW 13–7#846.7–5.960%
May 3
vs Wichita StateW 6–3#847.3–6.459%
May 5
at TexasL 8–11#25.2–6.040%
May 8
at MemphisL 4–6#1117.3–7.252%
May 9
at MemphisW 9–2#1117.3–7.252%
May 10
at MemphisL 5–10#1117.3–7.252%
May 12
vs Texas StateW 19–4#927.6–6.463%
May 14
vs UABL 6–7#787.7–6.463%
May 15
vs UABW 19–9#787.7–6.463%
May 16
vs UABL 11–23#787.7–6.463%
May 22
vs MemphisW 4–0#1117.3–5.767%
May 23
vs East CarolinaW 4–2#176.2–6.151%
May 24
vs East CarolinaL 0–1#176.3–6.152%
Ranking over time
weekly · place of 308#25#37#49#61#73
#43
Mar 24Mar 31Apr 7Apr 14Apr 21Apr 28May 5May 12May 19May 26Jun 2Jun 9Jun 16
13 weekly snapshots, frozen on Tuesdays while the sport is playing. The series stops where the season did and resumes when the sport does.
Road to Omaha
Pulse →This team did not reach the 2026 tournament field.
Regular-season wins
not publishedThis sport has no season simulation, so there is no distribution of win totals to draw.
Profile
Runs per game8.7#9
Runs allowed per game5.7#79
Starter FIP3.61#34
Team OPS.920#16
Team wOBA.400#27
Run margin+3.0#13
Strength of schedule#103
The mock asks for a weekend rotation ERA; this feed publishes starter FIP, which is a different statistic and is shown under its own name. Every other row is the mock’s, and this is the only one of the seven sports where that is true.
BBMI picks on UTSA
2026 • ATS8–1
Picks on UTSA
6–2
Picks against
+9.7u
Net, flat 1u
ON took this team, AGAINST took its opponent. A game counts only inside the published edge band, and it is graded against the market line, which is the same rule the model-performance page uses. 17 graded picks.
Probabilities may not add to 100%. All results are model projections, not guarantees.