BIG TEN • 2026 SEASON
USC
#24
BBMI rank
+2.01
Rating
+3.2
Run margin
#7
RPI
Next game
Game Picks →L
Loyola-Marymount
TUE FEB 17 • 8:00 PM CT
not projected
projected runs
USC
—
Model run line
—
Market run line
—
Edge
—
Win probability
Schedule & projections
projected runs and win prob from the boardDATEOPPONENTRESULTOPP RKPROJWIN %WIN PROB
Feb 14
vs PepperdineW 11–0#1765.5–4.366%
vs PepperdineFeb 15vs PepperdineW 8–5#1765.5–4.366%
vs PepperdineFeb 17—#285
L
vs Loyola-MarymountFeb 18W 14–4#2854.9–3.864%
L
vs Loyola-MarymountFeb 20
vs RiceW 5–0#915.4–4.562%
vs RiceFeb 21vs RiceW 4–1#915.4–4.562%
vs RiceFeb 22vs RiceW 4–2#915.4–4.562%
vs RiceFeb 26
at Cal PolyW 4–0#906.1–6.545%
at Cal PolyFeb 27at Cal PolyW 6–0#906.1–6.545%
at Cal PolyFeb 28at Cal PolyW 16–2#906.1–6.545%
at Cal PolyMar 1at Cal PolyW 8–6#906.1–6.545%
at Cal PolyMar 3
vs UC IrvineW 6–4#995.3–4.660%
vs UC IrvineMar 6
vs IllinoisW 4–0#715.2–4.559%
vs IllinoisMar 7vs IllinoisW 4–0#715.2–4.559%
vs IllinoisMar 8vs IllinoisW 5–3#715.2–4.559%
vs IllinoisMar 10
vs Long Beach StateW 6–1#2135.9–4.469%
vs Long Beach StateMar 11
vs San DiegoW 7–6#1905.7–4.663%
vs San DiegoMar 13
at NorthwesternW 15–1#1696.8–6.256%
at NorthwesternMar 14at NorthwesternW 2–0#1696.2–5.755%
at NorthwesternMar 14at NorthwesternL 1–2#1696.5–6.056%
at NorthwesternMar 17
vs San Diego StateW 7–4#1585.6–4.563%
vs San Diego StateMar 18
vs Cal State BakersfieldW 4–3#2576.3–4.769%
vs Cal State BakersfieldMar 20
vs WashingtonW 5–0#955.5–4.859%
vs WashingtonMar 21vs WashingtonW 7–2#955.5–4.761%
vs WashingtonMar 22vs WashingtonW 14–4#955.5–4.761%
vs WashingtonMar 24
vs Oregon StateL 4–12#415.5–5.057%
vs Oregon StateMar 27
at MarylandW 11–10#708.3–8.646%
at MarylandMar 28at MarylandL 4–6#708.0–7.950%
at MarylandMar 29at MarylandW 14–4#707.8–7.948%
at MarylandMar 31
vs UC Santa BarbaraW 7–6#305.3–4.955%
vs UC Santa BarbaraApr 3
at UCLAL 4–12#45.6–6.738%
at UCLAApr 4at UCLAL 8–9#45.3–6.338%
at UCLAApr 5at UCLAL 4–10#45.7–6.738%
at UCLAApr 7at UC Santa BarbaraL 1–5#304.8–5.343%
at UC Santa BarbaraApr 10
vs IowaW 9–2#395.7–5.058%
vs IowaApr 11vs IowaW 6–3#395.7–5.158%
vs IowaApr 12vs IowaW 8–2#395.7–5.158%
vs IowaApr 14at Long Beach StateL 3–5#2136.8–5.959%
at Long Beach StateApr 17
at NebraskaL 7–8#195.3–6.141%
at NebraskaApr 18at NebraskaL 2–12#195.3–6.042%
at NebraskaApr 19at NebraskaL 6–16#195.4–6.042%
at NebraskaApr 21
at Cal State FullertonW 9–2#865.6–5.748%
at Cal State FullertonApr 24
vs PurdueW 4–3#545.3–4.758%
vs PurdueApr 25vs PurdueW 6–1#545.3–4.758%
vs PurdueApr 26vs PurdueW 11–4#545.3–4.758%
vs PurdueApr 28at UC IrvineL 1–4#995.8–6.047%
at UC IrvineMay 1
vs RutgersW 5–1#965.3–4.461%
vs RutgersMay 2vs RutgersW 11–1#965.3–4.461%
vs RutgersMay 3vs RutgersW 12–2#965.3–4.461%
vs RutgersMay 5vs Cal State FullertonW 13–4#865.3–4.561%
vs Cal State FullertonMay 7
vs NevadaW 8–0#1655.5–4.661%
vs NevadaMay 8vs NevadaW 11–3#1655.5–4.365%
vs NevadaMay 9vs NevadaW 12–4#1655.6–4.761%
vs NevadaMay 14
at OregonW 2–1#85.6–6.342%
at OregonMay 15at OregonL 3–4#85.6–6.342%
at OregonMay 16at OregonL 5–6#85.6–6.342%
at OregonMay 22
vs Michigan StateW 7–0#1066.4–5.165%
vs Michigan StateMay 23at UCLAL 5–7#45.3–6.536%
at UCLAMay 29
vs Texas StateL 4–5#926.3–5.460%
vs Texas StateMay 30
vs LamarW 19–6#1345.9–5.752%
vs LamarMay 31vs Texas StateW 15–4#926.4–5.363%
vs Texas StateMay 31
vs Texas A&MW 14–3#105.9–5.753%
vs Texas A&MJun 1at Texas A&MW 7–1#105.6–6.738%
at Texas A&MJun 5
at North CarolinaW 9–5#54.7–5.540%
at North CarolinaJun 6vs North CarolinaL 0–4#55.3–5.647%
vs North CarolinaJun 7at North CarolinaL 3–4#55.2–5.446%
at North CarolinaRanking over time
weekly · place of 308#9#19#29#39#48
#23
Mar 24Mar 31Apr 7Apr 14Apr 21Apr 28May 5May 12May 19May 26Jun 2Jun 9Jun 16
13 weekly snapshots, frozen on Tuesdays while the sport is playing. The series stops where the season did and resumes when the sport does.
Road to Omaha
Pulse →2
Regional seed
—
National seed
Super regional
College Station Regional
The bracket is resolved, so this is the result rather than a probability.
Regular-season wins
not publishedThis sport has no season simulation, so there is no distribution of win totals to draw.
Profile
Runs per game7.0#98
Runs allowed per game3.8#3
Starter FIP3.80#49
Team OPS.828#120
Team wOBA.383#69
Run margin+3.2#9
Strength of schedule#18
The mock asks for a weekend rotation ERA; this feed publishes starter FIP, which is a different statistic and is shown under its own name. Every other row is the mock’s, and this is the only one of the seven sports where that is true.
BBMI picks on USC
2026 • ATS1–0
Picks on USC
9–10
Picks against
-0.9u
Net, flat 1u
ON took this team, AGAINST took its opponent. A game counts only inside the published edge band, and it is graded against the market line, which is the same rule the model-performance page uses. 20 graded picks.
Probabilities may not add to 100%. All results are model projections, not guarantees.