U
COASTAL ATHLETIC • 2026 SEASON
UNCW
#61
BBMI rank
+1.17
Rating
+1.3
Run margin
#121
RPI
Last game
Game Picks →U
UNCW
FRI MAY 22 • 3:00 PM CT
6 – 1
final score
Monmouth
+0.5
Model run line
—
Market run line
—
Edge
47%
Win probability
UNCW 47%Monmouth 53%
The 2026 season is complete. The board returns in February.
Schedule & projections
projected runs and win prob from the boardDATEOPPONENTRESULTOPP RKPROJWIN %WIN PROB
Feb 14
vs MarylandW 8–4#705.3–4.659%
vs MarylandFeb 14vs MarylandL 1–5#705.3–4.659%
vs MarylandFeb 18
vs MerrimackW 10–0#2064.9–4.259%
vs MerrimackFeb 20
vs FordhamL 1–3#1915.4–4.364%
vs FordhamFeb 21vs FordhamW 19–0#1915.4–4.364%
vs FordhamFeb 22vs FordhamW 7–0#1915.4–4.364%
vs FordhamFeb 24
vs DukeL 3–6#574.9–4.554%
vs DukeFeb 25
at Charleston SouthernW 11–10#1624.3–4.744%
at Charleston SouthernFeb 27L 2–5#814.9–4.259%
C
vs ConnecticutFeb 28W 2–1#814.9–4.259%
C
vs ConnecticutMar 1W 7–2#814.9–4.259%
C
vs ConnecticutMar 4
vs East CarolinaL 3–5#174.5–4.352%
vs East CarolinaMar 6
at JacksonvilleW 8–3#1374.5–4.648%
at JacksonvilleMar 7at JacksonvilleW 9–4#1374.5–4.648%
at JacksonvilleMar 8at JacksonvilleW 7–2#1374.5–4.648%
at JacksonvilleMar 10vs Charleston SouthernW 18–2#1624.7–4.354%
vs Charleston SouthernMar 13
vs ElonW 8–7#1874.6–4.058%
vs ElonMar 14vs ElonW 8–0#1874.6–4.058%
vs ElonMar 15vs ElonW 11–0#1874.6–4.058%
vs ElonMar 17L 2–14#624.5–4.846%
NCS
vs North Carolina StateMar 20
at CharlestonW 2–1#1924.9–4.654%
at CharlestonMar 21at CharlestonW 8–1#1924.9–4.752%
at CharlestonMar 22at CharlestonL 3–6#1924.9–4.752%
at CharlestonMar 27
vs William & MaryW 5–3#1847.9–6.565%
vs William & MaryMar 28vs William & MaryW 22–1#1847.3–6.065%
vs William & MaryMar 29vs William & MaryL 8–9#1847.3–6.065%
vs William & MaryMar 31at East CarolinaL 8–14#175.3–6.041%
at East CarolinaApr 2
at Stony BrookL 6–7#1386.4–6.450%
at Stony BrookApr 3at Stony BrookL 2–4#1386.3–6.548%
at Stony BrookApr 4at Stony BrookW 8–6#1386.1–6.248%
at Stony BrookApr 7L 4–7#626.7–7.145%
NCS
at North Carolina StateApr 10
at CampbellW 5–3#496.2–7.140%
at CampbellApr 11at CampbellL 3–7#496.3–7.240%
at CampbellApr 12at CampbellL 5–7#496.3–7.240%
at CampbellApr 14
at North CarolinaL 5–14#55.5–6.539%
at North CarolinaApr 17
vs HofstraL 1–10#1297.2–6.064%
vs HofstraApr 18vs HofstraW 12–0#1297.2–6.064%
vs HofstraApr 19vs HofstraL 5–6#1297.2–6.064%
vs HofstraApr 21
vs Coastal CarolinaW 2–1#326.7–6.157%
vs Coastal CarolinaApr 24at ElonW 9–8#1876.1–6.051%
at ElonApr 25at ElonW 5–1#1876.1–6.051%
at ElonApr 26at ElonW 8–1#1876.1–6.051%
at ElonMay 1vs CharlestonL 2–6#1927.1–5.666%
vs CharlestonMay 2vs CharlestonW 7–5#1927.1–5.666%
vs CharlestonMay 3vs CharlestonL 0–5#1927.1–5.666%
vs CharlestonMay 5
vs High PointL 1–2#506.7–6.157%
vs High PointMay 8
at North Carolina A&TW 18–2#2847.3–6.163%
at North Carolina A&TMay 9at North Carolina A&TW 10–7#2847.3–6.163%
at North Carolina A&TMay 10at North Carolina A&TL 2–7#2847.3–6.163%
at North Carolina A&TMay 12vs North CarolinaL 7–13#56.7–6.552%
vs North CarolinaMay 14vs CampbellL 12–16#496.5–6.254%
vs CampbellMay 15vs CampbellL 3–6#496.5–6.254%
vs CampbellMay 16vs CampbellL 4–12#496.5–6.254%
vs CampbellMay 20at MonmouthW 5–0#1836.5–6.649%
at MonmouthMay 21at CampbellL 1–3#495.7–6.739%
at CampbellMay 22at MonmouthW 6–1#1836.3–6.547%
at MonmouthRanking over time
weekly · place of 308#33#45#57#69#81#82
#61
Mar 24Mar 31Apr 7Apr 14Apr 21Apr 28May 5May 12May 19May 26Jun 2Jun 9Jun 16
13 weekly snapshots, frozen on Tuesdays while the sport is playing. The series stops where the season did and resumes when the sport does.
Road to Omaha
Pulse →This team did not reach the 2026 tournament field.
Regular-season wins
not publishedThis sport has no season simulation, so there is no distribution of win totals to draw.
Profile
Runs per game6.3#170
Runs allowed per game4.9#22
Starter FIP3.63#37
Team OPS.787#194
Team wOBA.347#206
Run margin+1.3#73
Strength of schedule#111
The mock asks for a weekend rotation ERA; this feed publishes starter FIP, which is a different statistic and is shown under its own name. Every other row is the mock’s, and this is the only one of the seven sports where that is true.
BBMI picks on UNCW
2026 • ATS1–3
Picks on UNCW
1–3
Picks against
-4.2u
Net, flat 1u
ON took this team, AGAINST took its opponent. A game counts only inside the published edge band, and it is graded against the market line, which is the same rule the model-performance page uses. 8 graded picks.
Probabilities may not add to 100%. All results are model projections, not guarantees.