U
SOUTHERN • 2026 SEASON
UNCG
#163
BBMI rank
-0.36
Rating
-1.3
Run margin
#137
RPI
Last game
Game Picks →U
UNCG
THU MAY 21 • 6:30 PM CT
3 – 4
final score
Western Carolina
+4.5
Model run line
—
Market run line
—
Edge
36%
Win probability
UNCG 36%Western Carolina 64%
The 2026 season is complete. The board returns in February.
Schedule & projections
projected runs and win prob from the boardDATEOPPONENTRESULTOPP RKPROJWIN %WIN PROB
Feb 14
vs KentuckyL 3–11#214.5–4.650%
Feb 14
vs KentuckyL 6–10#214.5–4.650%
Feb 18
vs North Carolina A&TW 4–3#2845.3–4.066%
Feb 24
vs Wake ForestL 1–5#134.9–4.753%
Feb 27
at PittsburghL 6–14#334.3–5.338%
Feb 28
at PittsburghL 1–7#334.3–5.338%
Feb 28
at PittsburghL 2–14#334.3–5.338%
Mar 3
at North Carolina A&TW 13–1#2844.9–4.457%
Mar 10
vs LibertyL 10–12#314.8–4.356%
Mar 11
at North Carolina A&TW 9–7#2844.9–4.457%
Mar 18
at North CarolinaL 2–8#54.1–5.137%
Mar 24
at LibertyW 7–6#315.7–7.729%
Apr 7
at CampbellW 11–4#496.0–8.129%
Apr 14
vs CampbellL 8–11#496.6–7.442%
Apr 21
at Wake ForestL 3–14#136.3–8.529%
May 9
at Virginia TechW 18–13#606.4–7.736%
May 10
at Virginia TechL 9–11#606.4–7.736%
May 20
at East Tennessee StateW 6–5#975.9–7.534%
May 20
at SamfordL 1–13#876.0–7.237%
May 21
at Western CarolinaL 3–4#1036.0–7.336%
Ranking over time
weekly · place of 308#158#174#190#206#220
#163
Mar 24Mar 31Apr 7Apr 14Apr 21Apr 28May 5May 12May 19May 26Jun 2Jun 9Jun 16
13 weekly snapshots, frozen on Tuesdays while the sport is playing. The series stops where the season did and resumes when the sport does.
Road to Omaha
Pulse →This team did not reach the 2026 tournament field.
Regular-season wins
not publishedThis sport has no season simulation, so there is no distribution of win totals to draw.
Profile
Runs per game6.0#216
Runs allowed per game7.4#223
Starter FIP7.40#266
Team OPS.778#217
Team wOBA.351#193
Run margin-1.3#228
Strength of schedule#67
The mock asks for a weekend rotation ERA; this feed publishes starter FIP, which is a different statistic and is shown under its own name. Every other row is the mock’s, and this is the only one of the seven sports where that is true.
BBMI picks on UNCG
2026 • ATS0–2
Picks on UNCG
0–0
Picks against
-2.0u
Net, flat 1u
ON took this team, AGAINST took its opponent. A game counts only inside the published edge band, and it is graded against the market line, which is the same rule the model-performance page uses. 2 graded picks.
Probabilities may not add to 100%. All results are model projections, not guarantees.