BIG 12 • 2026 SEASON
UCF
#35
BBMI rank
+1.71
Rating
+1.9
Run margin
#39
RPI
Next game
Game Picks →Last updated: (data published)
UCF
TUE FEB 24 • 5:00 PM CT
not projected
projected runs
Jacksonville
—
Model run line
—
Market run line
—
Edge
—
Win probability
Schedule & projections
projected runs and win prob from the boardLast updated: (data published)
DATEOPPONENTRESULTOPP RKPROJWIN %WIN PROB
Feb 14
vs SienaW 13–1#2786.9–5.467%
vs SienaFeb 15vs SienaW 15–0#2786.9–5.467%
vs SienaFeb 17
at Miami (FL)L 7–8#266.0–6.940%
at Miami (FL)Feb 20
at Notre DameW 4–2#485.8–6.344%
at Notre DameFeb 21
at IndianaL 1–6#796.0–6.149%
at IndianaFeb 22
vs LSUL 0–11#276.3–5.757%
vs LSUFeb 24at Jacksonville—#137
at JacksonvilleFeb 28
vs South FloridaL 2–9#1075.9–4.962%
vs South FloridaFeb 28vs South FloridaL 1–2#1076.2–5.262%
vs South FloridaMar 1vs South FloridaW 2–1#1076.3–5.362%
vs South FloridaMar 4W 12–5#1266.3–5.658%
F
vs FGCUMar 6
vs Murray StateW 8–3#2436.8–5.466%
vs Murray StateMar 7vs Murray StateW 4–0#2436.8–5.466%
vs Murray StateMar 8vs Murray StateW 10–9#2436.8–5.466%
vs Murray StateMar 11vs Miami (FL)L 5–9#265.9–5.654%
vs Miami (FL)Mar 13
vs Oklahoma StateW 12–11#676.5–5.660%
vs Oklahoma StateMar 14vs Oklahoma StateW 6–1#676.5–5.660%
vs Oklahoma StateMar 15vs Oklahoma StateW 6–5#676.5–5.660%
vs Oklahoma StateMar 17
vs ColumbiaW 8–5#1936.7–5.465%
vs ColumbiaMar 20
at TCUW 18–7#476.9–7.247%
at TCUMar 21at TCUL 0–6#476.8–7.245%
at TCUMar 22at TCUW 9–1#476.8–7.345%
at TCUMar 24
at StetsonL 4–8#1396.5–6.648%
at StetsonMar 27
vs ArizonaW 11–6#1016.0–5.062%
vs ArizonaMar 28vs ArizonaW 13–3#1016.3–5.262%
vs ArizonaMar 29vs ArizonaW 3–2#1016.5–5.264%
vs ArizonaApr 1
at Penn State—#197
at Penn StateApr 3
at West VirginiaW 5–0#75.2–6.139%
at West VirginiaApr 4at West VirginiaL 10–11#75.2–6.041%
at West VirginiaApr 5at West VirginiaW 5–1#75.0–5.939%
at West VirginiaApr 7vs Stetson—#139
vs StetsonApr 10
at KansasL 3–4#376.8–7.344%
at KansasApr 11at KansasL 3–6#376.8–7.344%
at KansasApr 11at KansasL 3–6#376.4–7.043%
at KansasApr 14vs JacksonvilleL 4–5#1376.4–5.462%
vs JacksonvilleApr 17
vs CincinnatiW 7–1#206.1–5.755%
vs CincinnatiApr 18vs CincinnatiL 3–9#206.0–5.755%
vs CincinnatiApr 19vs CincinnatiL 9–11#206.0–5.755%
vs CincinnatiApr 21
at Bethune-CookmanW 5–4#1495.9–6.444%
at Bethune-CookmanApr 24
at UtahW 12–2#1275.6–5.748%
at UtahApr 25at UtahW 12–4#1275.3–5.448%
at UtahApr 25at UtahW 12–4#1275.5–5.748%
at UtahApr 29vs StetsonW 6–5#1397.0–6.061%
vs StetsonMay 1
vs Arizona StateL 4–9#556.3–5.659%
vs Arizona StateMay 3vs Arizona StateL 1–1#556.1–5.459%
vs Arizona StateMay 3vs Arizona StateW 4–2#555.8–5.159%
vs Arizona StateMay 5L 5–6#1476.7–6.453%
F
at FAUMay 8
at BaylorW 8–0#755.5–5.847%
at BaylorMay 9at BaylorW 19–3#755.5–5.847%
at BaylorMay 10at BaylorL 7–8#755.5–5.847%
at BaylorMay 12vs Bethune-Cookman—#149
vs Bethune-CookmanMay 14
vs Kansas StateW 10–6#686.3–5.461%
vs Kansas StateMay 15vs Kansas StateL 4–5#686.3–5.461%
vs Kansas StateMay 16vs Kansas StateW 6–5#686.3–5.461%
vs Kansas StateMay 21vs Oklahoma StateL 6–12#676.6–5.661%
vs Oklahoma StateMay 30W 9–3#626.1–5.656%
NCS
vs North Carolina StateMay 30
vs MilwaukeeL 6–13#2557.6–5.770%
vs MilwaukeeMay 31
at AuburnL 3–9#65.4–6.636%
at AuburnRanking over time
weekly · place of 308#10#20#30
#34
Mar 24Mar 31Apr 7Apr 14Apr 21Apr 28May 5May 12May 19May 26Jun 2Jun 9Jun 16
13 weekly snapshots, frozen on Tuesdays while the sport is playing. The series stops where the season did and resumes when the sport does.
Road to Omaha
Pulse →Last updated:
2
Regional seed
—
National seed
Regional
Auburn Regional
The bracket is resolved, so this is the result rather than a probability.
Regular-season wins
not publishedLast updated: (data published)
This sport has no season simulation, so there is no distribution of win totals to draw.
Profile
Runs per game6.9#107
Runs allowed per game5.0#31
Starter FIP3.99#63
Team OPS.816#134
Team wOBA.356#164
Run margin+1.9#44
Strength of schedule#27
The mock asks for a weekend rotation ERA; this feed publishes starter FIP, which is a different statistic and is shown under its own name. Every other row is the mock’s, and this is the only one of the seven sports where that is true.
BBMI picks on UCF
2026 • ATS9–10
Picks on UCF
7–4
Picks against
+0.5u
Net, flat 1u
ON took this team, AGAINST took its opponent. A game counts only inside the published edge band, and it is graded against the market line, which is the same rule the model-performance page uses. 30 graded picks.
Probabilities may not add to 100%. All results are model projections, not guarantees.