
BIG WEST • 2026 SEASON
UC Santa Barbara
#30
BBMI rank
+1.78
Rating
+2.2
Run margin
#38
RPI
Next game
Game Picks →Last updated: (data published)
UC Santa Barbara
TUE FEB 17 • 3:30 PM CT
not projected
projected runs
Pepperdine
—
Model run line
—
Market run line
—
Edge
—
Win probability
Schedule & projections
projected runs and win prob from the boardLast updated: (data published)
DATEOPPONENTRESULTOPP RKPROJWIN %WIN PROB
Feb 14
at Southern MissL 6–8#445.5–5.946%
Feb 15
at Southern MissL 5–6#445.5–5.946%
Feb 17
at Pepperdine—#176
Feb 20
vs PortlandW 4–1#1145.3–4.363%
Feb 21
vs PortlandW 3–2#1145.3–4.363%
Feb 22
vs PortlandW 6–2#1145.3–4.363%
Feb 24W 5–3#2854.2–4.151%
L
at Loyola-MarymountFeb 27
vs UtahW 7–2#1275.9–4.962%
Feb 28
vs UtahW 7–1#1275.9–4.962%
Mar 1
vs UtahW 12–1#1275.9–4.962%
Mar 3W 11–1#2854.6–3.762%
L
vs Loyola-MarymountMar 6
vs Long Beach StateW 4–3#2135.7–4.071%
Mar 7
vs Long Beach StateW 7–4#2135.7–4.071%
Mar 8
vs Long Beach StateW 6–2#2135.7–4.071%
Mar 10W 13–3#1514.6–3.762%
SMC
vs Saint Mary's CollegeMar 13
at UC DavisW 4–0#1214.6–4.452%
Mar 14
at UC DavisL 4–5#1214.6–4.452%
Mar 15
at UC DavisL 6–10#1214.6–4.452%
Mar 20
vs HawaiiL 1–2#775.1–4.460%
Mar 21
vs HawaiiL 1–3#775.1–4.360%
Mar 22
vs HawaiiW 5–1#775.1–4.460%
Mar 24L 4–10#1516.1–5.754%
SMC
at Saint Mary's CollegeMar 27
vs OregonL 0–4#85.6–5.156%
Mar 28
vs OregonW 8–2#85.7–5.256%
Mar 29
vs OregonL 0–2#85.7–5.256%
Mar 31
at USCL 6–7#244.9–5.345%
Apr 2
at Cal PolyW 6–0#905.5–5.846%
Apr 3
at Cal PolyW 4–2#905.9–6.246%
Apr 4
at Cal PolyW 12–4#906.1–6.248%
Apr 7
vs USCW 5–1#245.3–4.857%
Apr 10
vs UC San DiegoL 3–4#1285.7–4.663%
Apr 11
vs UC San DiegoW 11–10#1285.7–4.663%
Apr 12
vs UC San DiegoW 3–1#1285.7–4.664%
Apr 14
at UCLAW 4–0#45.8–6.739%
Apr 17
at UC IrvineW 7–3#995.3–5.548%
Apr 18
at UC IrvineL 3–6#995.4–5.548%
Apr 19
at UC IrvineW 8–4#995.4–5.548%
Apr 20
at California BaptistW 11–6#805.7–6.343%
Apr 24
vs Cal State FullertonW 8–3#865.3–4.363%
Apr 25
vs Cal State FullertonL 7–9#865.1–4.262%
Apr 26
vs Cal State FullertonL 1–6#865.1–4.262%
Apr 28
vs UCLAL 3–15#45.2–5.053%
May 1
at Cal State BakersfieldW 18–1#2577.0–6.060%
May 2
at Cal State BakersfieldW 4–3#2577.0–6.060%
May 3
at Cal State BakersfieldW 19–9#2577.0–6.060%
May 5
vs PepperdineW 13–3#1765.6–4.267%
May 8
at Cal State NorthridgeW 8–4#1857.2–6.655%
May 9
at Cal State NorthridgeW 5–4#1857.2–6.655%
May 10
at Cal State NorthridgeW 4–2#1857.2–6.655%
May 11
vs California BaptistL 3–8#805.1–4.756%
May 14
vs UC RiversideW 1–0#2535.7–3.972%
May 15
vs UC RiversideW 15–5#2535.7–3.972%
May 16
vs UC RiversideW 5–3#2535.7–3.972%
May 21
vs Cal State FullertonW 7–4#865.8–4.665%
May 22
vs Cal PolyL 2–4#906.0–4.667%
May 23
at UC San DiegoL 0–7#1285.7–5.553%
May 29
vs Tarleton StateL 5–11#1165.2–4.263%
May 30
vs Holy CrossW 15–1#2305.6–4.761%
May 31
vs Tarleton StateW 9–5#1165.3–4.658%
May 31
vs TexasL 4–6#24.5–5.341%
Ranking over time
weekly · place of 308#15#20#25#30#35
#31
Mar 24Mar 31Apr 7Apr 14Apr 21Apr 28May 5May 12May 19May 26Jun 2Jun 9Jun 16
13 weekly snapshots, frozen on Tuesdays while the sport is playing. The series stops where the season did and resumes when the sport does.
Road to Omaha
Pulse →Last updated:
2
Regional seed
—
National seed
Regional
Austin Regional
The bracket is resolved, so this is the result rather than a probability.
Regular-season wins
not publishedLast updated: (data published)
This sport has no season simulation, so there is no distribution of win totals to draw.
Profile
Runs per game6.2#184
Runs allowed per game4.0#5
Starter FIP2.84#5
Team OPS.796#175
Team wOBA.347#203
Run margin+2.2#30
Strength of schedule#74
The mock asks for a weekend rotation ERA; this feed publishes starter FIP, which is a different statistic and is shown under its own name. Every other row is the mock’s, and this is the only one of the seven sports where that is true.
BBMI picks on UC Santa Barbara
2026 • ATS8–6
Picks on UC Santa Barbara
6–6
Picks against
+0.7u
Net, flat 1u
ON took this team, AGAINST took its opponent. A game counts only inside the published edge band, and it is graded against the market line, which is the same rule the model-performance page uses. 26 graded picks.
Probabilities may not add to 100%. All results are model projections, not guarantees.