Team Pages/Big West/UC Davis
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BIG WEST • 2026 SEASON

UC Davis

Record 26-28vs line 8–1 ATSLast L 8–9 vs California BaptistPostseason did not qualify
#121
BBMI rank
+0.32
Rating
-0.5
Run margin
#145
RPI

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Last updated: (data published)
UC Davis logo
UC Davis
#121 • +0.32 • Big West
TUE FEB 24 • 8:00 PM CT
not projected
projected runs
California
#38 • +1.58 • home
California logo
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Model run line
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Market run line
—
Edge
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Win probability

Schedule & projections

projected runs and win prob from the board
Last updated: (data published)
DATEOPPONENTRESULTOPP RKPROJWIN %WIN PROB
Feb 14
Texas logoat Texas
L 4–6#24.5–6.032%
Feb 15
Texas logoat Texas
L 1–9#24.5–6.032%
Feb 18
San Francisco logoat San Francisco
W 2–1#1994.6–4.847%
Feb 20
Santa Clara logoat Santa Clara
L 2–5#1245.4–6.340%
Feb 21
Santa Clara logoat Santa Clara
W 6–4#1245.4–6.340%
Feb 22
Santa Clara logoat Santa Clara
W 13–8#1245.4–6.340%
Feb 24
California logoat California
—#38
Feb 25
California logovs California
L 2–7#385.0–4.853%
Feb 27
Nevada logovs Nevada
W 5–4#1654.4–4.450%
Feb 28
Nevada logovs Nevada
W 7–5#1654.4–4.450%
Mar 1
Nevada logovs Nevada
L 5–11#1654.4–4.450%
Mar 3
SMC
at Saint Mary's College
L 2–7#1514.0–4.840%
Mar 6
UC Riverside logoat UC Riverside
W 4–2#2536.4–6.153%
Mar 7
UC Riverside logoat UC Riverside
L 3–6#2536.4–6.153%
Mar 8
UC Riverside logoat UC Riverside
W 7–3#2536.4–6.153%
Mar 13
UC Santa Barbara logovs UC Santa Barbara
L 0–4#304.4–4.648%
Mar 14
UC Santa Barbara logovs UC Santa Barbara
W 5–4#304.4–4.648%
Mar 15
UC Santa Barbara logovs UC Santa Barbara
W 10–6#304.4–4.648%
Mar 21
Cal Poly logoat Cal Poly
L 11–12#905.6–6.737%
Mar 22
Cal Poly logoat Cal Poly
L 4–5#905.8–7.037%
Mar 23
Cal Poly logoat Cal Poly
W 8–2#905.4–6.537%
Mar 24
Pacific logoat Pacific
W 10–8#2246.1–6.645%
Mar 27
UC San Diego logovs UC San Diego
L 4–9#1285.3–4.955%
Mar 28
UC San Diego logovs UC San Diego
L 2–3#1285.3–4.955%
Mar 29
UC San Diego logovs UC San Diego
L 5–9#1285.3–5.054%
Mar 31
San Francisco logovs San Francisco
—#199
Apr 2
UC Irvine logoat UC Irvine
L 1–4#995.3–6.239%
Apr 3
UC Irvine logoat UC Irvine
L 2–7#995.5–6.341%
Apr 4
UC Irvine logoat UC Irvine
L 4–8#995.3–6.437%
Apr 6
SMC
vs Saint Mary's College
W 4–1#1515.0–4.853%
Apr 7
Nevada logoat Nevada
W 11–9#1655.7–6.739%
Apr 9
Cal State Bakersfield logovs Cal State Bakersfield
W 5–0#2575.9–4.863%
Apr 10
Cal State Bakersfield logovs Cal State Bakersfield
W 5–3#2575.8–4.863%
Apr 11
Cal State Bakersfield logovs Cal State Bakersfield
—#257
Apr 14
Pacific logovs Pacific
W 6–5#2245.4–4.858%
Apr 17
Cal State Northridge logoat Cal State Northridge
W 11–3#1856.8–7.246%
Apr 18
Cal State Northridge logoat Cal State Northridge
L 2–11#1856.9–7.246%
Apr 19
Cal State Northridge logoat Cal State Northridge
L 3–5#1856.9–7.246%
Apr 20
Fresno State logoat Fresno State
W 8–4#2736.9–6.653%
Apr 22
Sacramento State logovs Sacramento State
L 1–7#1085.2–4.856%
Apr 24
Long Beach State logovs Long Beach State
L 3–5#2135.5–4.464%
Apr 25
Long Beach State logovs Long Beach State
L 3–8#2135.3–4.363%
Apr 26
Long Beach State logovs Long Beach State
W 3–0#2135.3–4.363%
Apr 27
Stanford logoat Stanford
L 5–6#936.8–7.641%
Apr 29
California logoat California
W 6–1#385.1–5.940%
May 1
Cal State Fullerton logoat Cal State Fullerton
W 7–6#864.7–5.441%
May 2
Cal State Fullerton logoat Cal State Fullerton
W 11–5#864.7–5.441%
May 3
Cal State Fullerton logoat Cal State Fullerton
W 6–2#864.7–5.441%
May 5
Sacramento State logovs Sacramento State
W 3–1#1085.0–4.656%
May 8
Hawaii logovs Hawaii
L 1–4#774.4–4.451%
May 9
Hawaii logovs Hawaii
W 4–2#774.4–4.451%
May 10
Hawaii logovs Hawaii
W 3–1#774.4–4.451%
May 13
California Baptist logovs California Baptist
L 3–6#804.7–4.948%
May 14
California Baptist logovs California Baptist
L 2–4#804.6–4.848%
May 15
California Baptist logovs California Baptist
L 8–9#804.6–4.848%

Ranking over time

weekly · place of 308
#80#100#120#140#160
#120
Mar 24Mar 31Apr 7Apr 14Apr 21Apr 28May 5May 12May 19May 26Jun 2Jun 9Jun 16

13 weekly snapshots, frozen on Tuesdays while the sport is playing. The series stops where the season did and resumes when the sport does.

Road to Omaha

Pulse →
Last updated:
This team did not reach the 2026 tournament field.

Regular-season wins

not published
Last updated: (data published)
This sport has no season simulation, so there is no distribution of win totals to draw.

Profile

Runs per game4.8#294
Runs allowed per game5.3#57
Starter FIP3.24#19
Team OPS.699#297
Team wOBA.311#297
Run margin-0.5#191
Strength of schedule#133
The mock asks for a weekend rotation ERA; this feed publishes starter FIP, which is a different statistic and is shown under its own name. Every other row is the mock’s, and this is the only one of the seven sports where that is true.

BBMI picks on UC Davis

2026 • ATS
5–1
Picks on UC Davis
3–0
Picks against
+6.3u
Net, flat 1u
ON took this team, AGAINST took its opponent. A game counts only inside the published edge band, and it is graded against the market line, which is the same rule the model-performance page uses. 9 graded picks.
Probabilities may not add to 100%. All results are model projections, not guarantees.