AMERICAN • 2026 SEASON
UAB
#78
BBMI rank
+0.87
Rating
-0.2
Run margin
#67
RPI
Last game
Game Picks →
Wichita State
SAT MAY 23 • 1:05 PM CT
14 – 12
final score
UAB
+0.5
Model run line
+1.5
Market run line
+1.0
Edge
49%
Win probability
UAB 49%Wichita State 51%
The 2026 season is complete. The board returns in February.
Schedule & projections
projected runs and win prob from the boardDATEOPPONENTRESULTOPP RKPROJWIN %WIN PROB
Feb 14
at FloridaL 0–11#95.7–7.036%
at FloridaFeb 14at FloridaL 1–6#96.0–7.335%
at FloridaFeb 17
at North AlabamaW 15–3#1827.5–7.847%
at North AlabamaFeb 19
vs CincinnatiW 12–11#207.3–7.549%
vs CincinnatiFeb 20vs CincinnatiW 8–3#207.3–7.549%
vs CincinnatiFeb 21vs CincinnatiL 4–8#207.3–7.549%
vs CincinnatiFeb 22vs CincinnatiL 6–8#207.3–7.549%
vs CincinnatiFeb 24
vs Alabama StateW 10–5#2608.3–6.963%
vs Alabama StateFeb 27
vs JacksonvilleL 2–10#1377.4–6.856%
vs JacksonvilleFeb 28vs JacksonvilleW 11–6#1377.4–6.856%
vs JacksonvilleMar 1vs JacksonvilleW 9–3#1377.4–6.856%
vs JacksonvilleMar 3
at South AlabamaL 1–11#646.3–7.240%
at South AlabamaMar 6
vs Middle TennesseeW 12–2#1987.8–6.861%
vs Middle TennesseeMar 7vs Middle TennesseeW 9–8#1987.3–6.361%
vs Middle TennesseeMar 7vs Middle TennesseeW 16–14#1987.6–6.661%
vs Middle TennesseeMar 10
at AuburnL 2–17#65.9–7.533%
at AuburnMar 13
vs BelmontW 13–3#2267.8–6.761%
vs BelmontMar 14vs BelmontL 4–10#2267.8–6.761%
vs BelmontMar 15vs BelmontW 12–2#2267.8–6.761%
vs BelmontMar 17
vs Alabama A&MW 9–8#3008.6–6.967%
vs Alabama A&MMar 20
at East CarolinaL 2–3#175.5–6.538%
at East CarolinaMar 21at East CarolinaL 1–18#175.5–6.637%
at East CarolinaMar 22at East CarolinaW 11–4#175.6–6.836%
at East CarolinaMar 24
vs Jacksonville StateW 16–11#667.0–6.951%
vs Jacksonville StateMar 27
vs TulaneW 9–6#1197.9–7.357%
vs TulaneMar 28vs TulaneW 7–4#1197.4–6.856%
vs TulaneMar 29vs TulaneW 5–4#1197.4–6.856%
vs TulaneMar 31vs North AlabamaW 10–0#1828.6–7.560%
vs North AlabamaApr 2W 7–2#1477.3–7.547%
F
at FAUApr 3W 11–8#1477.4–7.549%
F
at FAUApr 4W 10–4#1477.3–7.547%
F
at FAUApr 7
at Mississippi StateL 3–5#116.7–8.235%
at Mississippi StateApr 10vs Wichita StateW 4–3#847.3–7.153%
vs Wichita StateApr 11vs Wichita StateL 4–5#847.4–7.153%
vs Wichita StateApr 12vs Wichita StateL 2–10#847.4–7.153%
vs Wichita StateApr 14
vs AlabamaL 6–12#186.8–6.851%
vs AlabamaApr 17
at South FloridaW 8–4#1076.3–6.845%
at South FloridaApr 18at South FloridaW 12–6#1076.2–6.943%
at South FloridaApr 19at South FloridaL 0–1#1076.2–6.843%
at South FloridaApr 21at AlabamaW 11–2#186.1–7.238%
at AlabamaApr 24
vs MemphisW 7–6#1117.8–7.058%
vs MemphisApr 25vs MemphisL 9–13#1117.8–7.058%
vs MemphisApr 26vs MemphisW 11–2#1117.8–7.058%
vs MemphisMay 2
at RiceL 9–16#915.9–6.543%
at RiceMay 2at RiceL 9–16#915.5–6.243%
at RiceMay 3at RiceL 3–10#916.0–6.643%
at RiceMay 5vs AuburnL 2–10#66.9–7.346%
vs AuburnMay 8
vs CharlotteL 2–20#637.5–7.055%
vs CharlotteMay 9vs CharlotteW 11–2#637.5–7.055%
vs CharlotteMay 10vs CharlotteL 8–10#637.5–7.055%
vs CharlotteMay 12
vs TroyL 5–14#427.3–7.053%
vs TroyMay 14W 7–6#436.4–7.737%
U
at UTSAMay 15L 9–19#436.4–7.737%
U
at UTSAMay 16W 23–11#436.4–7.737%
U
at UTSAMay 21vs MemphisL 3–7#1117.3–6.460%
vs MemphisMay 22at RiceW 9–6#916.0–6.346%
at RiceMay 23vs Wichita StateL 12–14#846.5–6.649%
vs Wichita StateRanking over time
weekly · place of 308#30#45#60#75#90
#78
Mar 24Mar 31Apr 7Apr 14Apr 21Apr 28May 5May 12May 19May 26Jun 2Jun 9Jun 16
13 weekly snapshots, frozen on Tuesdays while the sport is playing. The series stops where the season did and resumes when the sport does.
Road to Omaha
Pulse →This team did not reach the 2026 tournament field.
Regular-season wins
not publishedThis sport has no season simulation, so there is no distribution of win totals to draw.
Profile
Runs per game7.5#57
Runs allowed per game7.7#241
Starter FIP4.56#109
Team OPS.882#50
Team wOBA.384#68
Run margin-0.2#171
Strength of schedule#48
The mock asks for a weekend rotation ERA; this feed publishes starter FIP, which is a different statistic and is shown under its own name. Every other row is the mock’s, and this is the only one of the seven sports where that is true.
BBMI picks on UAB
2026 • ATS2–5
Picks on UAB
3–1
Picks against
-1.5u
Net, flat 1u
ON took this team, AGAINST took its opponent. A game counts only inside the published edge band, and it is graded against the market line, which is the same rule the model-performance page uses. 11 graded picks.
Probabilities may not add to 100%. All results are model projections, not guarantees.