SUN BELT • 2026 SEASON
Troy
#42
BBMI rank
+1.55
Rating
+1.0
Run margin
#26
RPI
Last game
Game Picks →
West Virginia
TUE JUN 16 • 1:00 PM CT
12 – 0
final score
Troy
+2.5
Model run line
+2.5
Market run line
0.0
Edge
42%
Win probability
Troy 42%West Virginia 58%
The 2026 season is complete. The board returns in February.
Schedule & projections
projected runs and win prob from the boardDATEOPPONENTRESULTOPP RKPROJWIN %WIN PROB
Feb 14
at MercerL 5–17#365.7–6.441%
at MercerFeb 14at MercerW 19–3#366.0–6.741%
at MercerFeb 17
at Mississippi StateL 7–13#116.5–7.738%
at Mississippi StateFeb 20
vs CampbellW 13–3#497.1–7.052%
vs CampbellFeb 22vs CampbellL 1–13#496.6–6.452%
vs CampbellFeb 22vs CampbellW 8–4#496.9–6.852%
vs CampbellFeb 25
at GeorgiaW 6–5#36.7–7.839%
at GeorgiaFeb 27
vs Western CarolinaL 3–4#1036.3–5.659%
vs Western CarolinaFeb 28
at East CarolinaL 2–5#175.2–6.139%
at East CarolinaMar 1
at RutgersW 2–1#965.7–6.046%
at RutgersMar 4
at VanderbiltL 1–4#286.7–7.541%
at VanderbiltMar 6
vs MarylandW 5–2#707.8–7.059%
vs MarylandMar 7vs MarylandL 3–9#707.8–7.059%
vs MarylandMar 8vs MarylandL 6–7#707.8–7.059%
vs MarylandMar 10
at AlabamaL 3–7#185.8–6.640%
at AlabamaMar 13
vs Old DominionL 8–10#1027.2–6.460%
vs Old DominionMar 14vs Old DominionW 13–4#1027.2–6.460%
vs Old DominionMar 15vs Old DominionW 9–4#1027.2–6.460%
vs Old DominionMar 17
at Alabama StateW 11–2#2607.1–6.754%
at Alabama StateMar 20
at Southern MissW 6–5#446.1–6.743%
at Southern MissMar 21at Southern MissL 5–11#445.9–6.839%
at Southern MissMar 22at Southern MissL 4–5#446.0–6.841%
at Southern MissMar 24
vs SamfordL 2–7#877.7–6.760%
vs SamfordMar 25
at Florida A&MW 7–4#1777.0–7.247%
at Florida A&MMar 27
at Georgia SouthernL 3–4#2128.8–7.662%
at Georgia SouthernMar 28at Georgia SouthernL 0–10#2128.5–7.658%
at Georgia SouthernMar 29at Georgia SouthernW 11–5#2128.5–7.460%
at Georgia SouthernMar 31vs Alabama StateW 14–2#2608.5–6.867%
vs Alabama StateApr 2
vs Arkansas StateW 6–4#597.7–6.859%
vs Arkansas StateApr 3vs Arkansas StateL 4–6#597.2–6.557%
vs Arkansas StateApr 4vs Arkansas StateW 6–4#597.6–6.859%
vs Arkansas StateApr 8vs Florida A&MW 12–2#1777.5–6.561%
vs Florida A&MApr 10
at Texas StateL 5–8#927.0–7.346%
at Texas StateApr 11at Texas StateW 15–2#926.8–7.146%
at Texas StateApr 11at Texas StateW 15–2#926.4–6.846%
at Texas StateApr 14
at New OrleansL 10–11#1607.0–7.050%
at New OrleansApr 17
vs LouisianaW 7–6#407.3–6.855%
vs LouisianaApr 18vs LouisianaL 6–7#406.8–6.455%
vs LouisianaApr 19vs LouisianaW 15–11#406.8–6.355%
vs LouisianaApr 21
vs Jacksonville StateL 4–5#666.9–6.555%
vs Jacksonville StateApr 24
at MarshallL 4–7#1706.3–6.746%
at MarshallApr 25at MarshallW 8–2#1706.3–6.746%
at MarshallApr 26at MarshallW 1–0#1706.3–6.746%
at MarshallApr 28at GeorgiaL 1–11#36.7–7.839%
at GeorgiaMay 2
vs Appalachian StateL 7–13#1227.3–6.559%
vs Appalachian StateMay 2vs Appalachian StateL 7–13#1226.9–6.159%
vs Appalachian StateMay 3vs Appalachian StateW 10–3#1227.5–6.759%
vs Appalachian StateMay 5vs AlabamaW 6–1#186.9–6.654%
vs AlabamaMay 8
vs South AlabamaL 1–12#646.9–6.357%
vs South AlabamaMay 9vs South AlabamaW 10–5#646.9–6.357%
vs South AlabamaMay 10vs South AlabamaW 8–1#646.9–6.357%
vs South AlabamaMay 12
at UABW 14–5#787.0–7.347%
at UABMay 14W 6–4#1425.0–5.446%
U
at ULMMay 15L 2–12#1425.0–5.446%
U
at ULMMay 16W 13–3#1425.0–5.446%
U
at ULMMay 21vs South AlabamaW 11–3#646.5–5.956%
vs South AlabamaMay 22at Southern MissL 6–7#445.5–6.440%
at Southern MissMay 23vs South AlabamaW 11–10#646.5–5.858%
vs South AlabamaMay 23at Southern MissW 9–6#445.7–6.441%
at Southern MissMay 24vs Southern MissL 2–6#445.9–6.444%
vs Southern MissMay 29
vs Miami (FL)L 5–10#266.0–6.643%
vs Miami (FL)May 30
vs RiderW 15–7#1726.7–6.553%
vs RiderMay 31vs Miami (FL)W 9–6#266.2–6.745%
vs Miami (FL)May 31
vs FloridaW 16–11#95.6–6.540%
vs FloridaJun 1at FloridaW 10–2#95.8–7.334%
at FloridaJun 5
vs Little RockW 12–2#896.6–6.156%
vs Little RockJun 6vs Little RockW 7–2#896.7–6.452%
vs Little RockJun 12vs West VirginiaL 5–7#76.3–6.746%
vs West VirginiaJun 14
vs Ole MissW 12–8#156.0–6.446%
vs Ole MissJun 16vs West VirginiaL 0–12#76.0–6.742%
vs West VirginiaRanking over time
weekly · place of 308#34#48#62#76#89
#38
Mar 24Mar 31Apr 7Apr 14Apr 21Apr 28May 5May 12May 19May 26Jun 2Jun 9Jun 16
13 weekly snapshots, frozen on Tuesdays while the sport is playing. The series stops where the season did and resumes when the sport does.
Road to Omaha
Pulse →3
Regional seed
—
National seed
College World Series
Gainesville Regional
The bracket is resolved, so this is the result rather than a probability.
Regular-season wins
not publishedThis sport has no season simulation, so there is no distribution of win totals to draw.
Profile
Runs per game7.1#91
Runs allowed per game6.1#110
Starter FIP4.77#129
Team OPS.880#52
Team wOBA.384#67
Run margin+1.0#87
Strength of schedule#7
The mock asks for a weekend rotation ERA; this feed publishes starter FIP, which is a different statistic and is shown under its own name. Every other row is the mock’s, and this is the only one of the seven sports where that is true.
BBMI picks on Troy
2026 • ATS6–0
Picks on Troy
0–2
Picks against
+3.5u
Net, flat 1u
ON took this team, AGAINST took its opponent. A game counts only inside the published edge band, and it is graded against the market line, which is the same rule the model-performance page uses. 8 graded picks.
Probabilities may not add to 100%. All results are model projections, not guarantees.