Team Pages/Mid-American/Toledo
Toledo logo
MID-AMERICAN • 2026 SEASON

Toledo

Record 32-29vs line 1–1 ATSLast L 1–5 vs Northern IllinoisPostseason did not qualify
#104
BBMI rank
+0.54
Rating
+2.2
Run margin
#139
RPI

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Last updated: (data published)
Toledo logo
Toledo
#104 • +0.54 • Mid-American
TUE MAR 17 • 3:00 PM CT
not projected
projected runs
Michigan
#76 • +0.89 • home
Michigan logo
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Model run line
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Market run line
—
Edge
—
Win probability

Schedule & projections

projected runs and win prob from the board
Last updated: (data published)
DATEOPPONENTRESULTOPP RKPROJWIN %WIN PROB
Feb 14
Memphis logoat Memphis
L 4–5#1117.2–7.250%
Feb 15
Memphis logoat Memphis
L 4–6#1117.2–7.250%
Feb 20
Jacksonville State logoat Jacksonville State
L 0–5#665.4–5.944%
Feb 21
Jacksonville State logoat Jacksonville State
L 1–2#665.4–5.944%
Feb 22
Jacksonville State logoat Jacksonville State
L 9–12#665.4–5.944%
Feb 27
Lipscomb logoat Lipscomb
W 5–1#1896.6–6.551%
Feb 28
Lipscomb logoat Lipscomb
W 10–7#1896.6–6.551%
Mar 1
Lipscomb logoat Lipscomb
L 7–9#1896.6–6.551%
Mar 2
Lipscomb logoat Lipscomb
L 5–13#1896.6–6.551%
Mar 17
Michigan logoat Michigan
—#76
Mar 24
Butler logoat Butler
L 1–11#2507.0–6.556%
Mar 25
Michigan logoat Michigan
L 2–5#766.6–6.847%
Mar 31
Ohio State logoat Ohio State
L 5–10#1158.4–8.450%
Apr 14
Michigan logovs Michigan
L 4–6#767.7–6.761%
May 6
Butler logovs Butler
W 12–1#2507.8–6.069%
May 20
Ball State logovs Ball State
W 8–2#2487.7–6.068%
May 21
Kent State logoat Kent State
W 8–0#1306.4–6.845%
May 22
Northern Illinois logovs Northern Illinois
L 3–10#1817.0–5.764%
May 23
Kent State logoat Kent State
W 5–2#1306.2–6.843%
May 23
Northern Illinois logovs Northern Illinois
L 1–5#1817.3–6.262%

Ranking over time

weekly · place of 308
#100#120#140#160#180
#103
Mar 24Mar 31Apr 7Apr 14Apr 21Apr 28May 5May 12May 19May 26Jun 2Jun 9Jun 16

13 weekly snapshots, frozen on Tuesdays while the sport is playing. The series stops where the season did and resumes when the sport does.

Road to Omaha

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Last updated:
This team did not reach the 2026 tournament field.

Regular-season wins

not published
Last updated: (data published)
This sport has no season simulation, so there is no distribution of win totals to draw.

Profile

Runs per game7.7#46
Runs allowed per game5.5#73
Starter FIP3.59#30
Team OPS.859#73
Team wOBA.377#94
Run margin+2.2#32
Strength of schedule#183
The mock asks for a weekend rotation ERA; this feed publishes starter FIP, which is a different statistic and is shown under its own name. Every other row is the mock’s, and this is the only one of the seven sports where that is true.

BBMI picks on Toledo

2026 • ATS
1–1
Picks on Toledo
0–0
Picks against
-0.1u
Net, flat 1u
ON took this team, AGAINST took its opponent. A game counts only inside the published edge band, and it is graded against the market line, which is the same rule the model-performance page uses. 2 graded picks.
Probabilities may not add to 100%. All results are model projections, not guarantees.