Team Pages/Southern/The Citadel
The Citadel logo
SOUTHERN • 2026 SEASON

The Citadel

Record 36-26vs line 0–3 ATSLast L 5–15 vs OklahomaPostseason Regional
#46
BBMI rank
+1.42
Rating
+1.1
Run margin
#43
RPI

Next game

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Last updated: (data published)
Charleston logo
Charleston
#192 • -0.62 • Coastal Athletic
WED APR 29 • 5:00 PM CT
not projected
projected runs
The Citadel
#46 • +1.42 • home
The Citadel logo
—
Model run line
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Market run line
—
Edge
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Win probability

Schedule & projections

projected runs and win prob from the board
Last updated: (data published)
DATEOPPONENTRESULTOPP RKPROJWIN %WIN PROB
Feb 14
Liberty logovs Liberty
W 4–3#315.3–5.153%
Feb 15
Liberty logovs Liberty
L 4–5#315.3–5.153%
Feb 20
Marshall logovs Marshall
W 4–3#1705.6–4.859%
Feb 21
Marshall logovs Marshall
W 10–6#1705.6–4.859%
Feb 28
Florida State logoat Florida State
L 2–6#295.8–6.641%
Feb 28
Florida State logoat Florida State
L 1–2#296.1–6.941%
Mar 1
Florida State logoat Florida State
L 0–2#296.3–7.141%
Mar 4
Georgia Southern logovs Georgia Southern
W 7–1#2126.5–4.770%
Mar 6
Kentucky logoat Kentucky
L 5–10#215.9–6.741%
Mar 7
Kentucky logoat Kentucky
L 7–12#215.9–6.741%
Mar 8
Kentucky logoat Kentucky
L 5–13#215.9–6.741%
Mar 10
South Carolina logovs South Carolina
W 8–3#735.6–4.861%
Mar 17
Georgia logoat Georgia
L 5–8#36.7–7.739%
Mar 18
Clemson logovs Clemson
L 3–9#225.4–5.154%
Mar 31
Coastal Carolina logovs Coastal Carolina
L 2–3#325.7–5.355%
Apr 22
Georgia Southern logoat Georgia Southern
W 10–3#2128.6–7.461%
Apr 28
South Carolina logoat South Carolina
W 4–0#735.6–5.748%
Apr 29
Charleston logovs Charleston
—#192
May 12
Coastal Carolina logoat Coastal Carolina
L 3–5#325.8–6.542%
May 20
V
vs VMI
W 21–11#1757.1–6.161%
May 20
Wofford logoat Wofford
W 13–7#515.7–6.838%
May 21
Mercer logoat Mercer
W 9–2#365.8–6.937%
May 22
Mercer logoat Mercer
W 14–4#365.8–7.037%
May 23
Samford logoat Samford
W 3–1#876.0–6.743%
May 30
Oklahoma logovs Oklahoma
L 3–8#126.9–7.147%
May 30
U
vs UIC
W 9–8#2417.4–6.658%
May 31
Oklahoma logovs Oklahoma
L 5–15#126.7–7.246%

Ranking over time

weekly · place of 308
#50#60#70
#46
Mar 24Mar 31Apr 7Apr 14Apr 21Apr 28May 5May 12May 19May 26Jun 2Jun 9Jun 16

13 weekly snapshots, frozen on Tuesdays while the sport is playing. The series stops where the season did and resumes when the sport does.

Road to Omaha

Pulse →
Last updated:
3
Regional seed
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National seed
Regional
Atlanta Regional
The bracket is resolved, so this is the result rather than a probability.

Regular-season wins

not published
Last updated: (data published)
This sport has no season simulation, so there is no distribution of win totals to draw.

Profile

Runs per game6.5#150
Runs allowed per game5.4#63
Starter FIP4.40#98
Team OPS.780#209
Team wOBA.339#244
Run margin+1.1#81
Strength of schedule#54
The mock asks for a weekend rotation ERA; this feed publishes starter FIP, which is a different statistic and is shown under its own name. Every other row is the mock’s, and this is the only one of the seven sports where that is true.

BBMI picks on The Citadel

2026 • ATS
0–1
Picks on The Citadel
0–2
Picks against
-3.0u
Net, flat 1u
ON took this team, AGAINST took its opponent. A game counts only inside the published edge band, and it is graded against the market line, which is the same rule the model-performance page uses. 3 graded picks.
Probabilities may not add to 100%. All results are model projections, not guarantees.