SEC • 2026 SEASON
Texas
#2
BBMI rank
+3.15
Rating
+3.8
Run margin
#4
RPI
Next game
Game Picks →Texas
SUN APR 12 • 6:30 PM CT
not projected
projected runs
Texas A&M
—
Model run line
-1.5
Market run line
—
Edge
—
Win probability
Schedule & projections
projected runs and win prob from the boardDATEOPPONENTRESULTOPP RKPROJWIN %WIN PROB
Feb 14
vs UC DavisW 6–4#1216.0–4.568%
vs UC DavisFeb 15vs UC DavisW 9–1#1216.0–4.568%
vs UC DavisFeb 17
vs LamarW 14–4#1346.2–4.768%
vs LamarFeb 20
vs Michigan StateW 8–1#1066.0–4.568%
vs Michigan StateFeb 21vs Michigan StateW 3–1#1066.0–4.568%
vs Michigan StateFeb 22vs Michigan StateW 4–0#1066.0–4.568%
vs Michigan StateFeb 24W 14–0#1135.2–4.065%
U
vs UTRGVFeb 27
vs Coastal CarolinaW 8–1#327.1–5.963%
vs Coastal CarolinaFeb 28
vs BaylorW 5–2#757.2–5.767%
vs BaylorMar 1
at Ohio StateW 10–3#1156.9–6.356%
at Ohio StateMar 3
vs Houston ChristianW 16–3#1576.2–4.867%
vs Houston ChristianMar 6W 14–2#836.3–5.164%
SCU
vs South Carolina UpstateMar 7W 11–9#836.3–5.164%
SCU
vs South Carolina UpstateMar 8W 13–3#836.3–5.164%
SCU
vs South Carolina UpstateMar 10
at Texas StateW 15–4#927.1–6.655%
at Texas StateMar 13
vs Ole MissL 8–9#155.5–4.761%
vs Ole MissMar 14vs Ole MissW 11–2#155.5–4.761%
vs Ole MissMar 15vs Ole MissW 8–2#155.5–4.761%
vs Ole MissMar 17
vs Tarleton StateL 1–6#1166.4–4.967%
vs Tarleton StateMar 20
at AuburnL 3–4#66.1–6.446%
at AuburnMar 21at AuburnW 7–6#66.5–7.044%
at AuburnMar 22at AuburnW 5–0#66.0–6.743%
at AuburnMar 24
at HoustonL 7–9#697.0–6.654%
at HoustonMar 26
vs OklahomaW 14–0#125.8–4.861%
vs OklahomaMar 27vs OklahomaW 4–3#126.0–5.161%
vs OklahomaMar 28vs OklahomaW 5–4#125.7–4.861%
vs OklahomaMar 31vs Texas StateW 10–8#926.3–4.868%
vs Texas StateApr 2
at South CarolinaL 1–9#735.8–5.356%
at South CarolinaApr 3at South CarolinaW 5–3#736.1–5.754%
at South CarolinaApr 4at South CarolinaW 4–1#736.1–5.754%
at South CarolinaApr 7
vs Incarnate WordW 16–4#2406.9–4.973%
vs Incarnate WordApr 10at Texas A&ML 8–9#106.7–7.047%
at Texas A&MApr 11at Texas A&ML 4–11#106.7–7.047%
at Texas A&MApr 12at Texas A&M—#10
at Texas A&MApr 14W 14–7#2117.0–5.072%
TAC
vs Texas A&M-Corpus ChristiApr 17
vs AlabamaW 10–2#185.9–5.160%
vs AlabamaApr 18vs AlabamaW 3–1#185.8–4.862%
vs AlabamaApr 19vs AlabamaL 1–2#185.5–4.662%
vs AlabamaApr 21
vs Air Force—#133
vs Air ForceApr 24
at VanderbiltW 11–4#287.3–7.350%
at VanderbiltApr 25at VanderbiltL 0–6#286.9–6.950%
at VanderbiltApr 26at VanderbiltW 4–3#286.9–6.950%
at VanderbiltApr 28
vs Sam Houston StateW 15–14#1806.3–4.571%
vs Sam Houston StateMay 1
vs Mississippi StateW 3–1#115.7–4.959%
vs Mississippi StateMay 2vs Mississippi StateL 4–7#115.7–4.959%
vs Mississippi StateMay 3vs Mississippi StateW 11–6#115.7–4.959%
vs Mississippi StateMay 5W 11–8#436.0–5.260%
U
vs UTSAMay 8
at TennesseeL 1–5#165.8–5.949%
at TennesseeMay 9at TennesseeL 9–14#165.8–5.949%
at TennesseeMay 10at TennesseeW 13–6#165.8–5.949%
at TennesseeMay 14
vs MissouriW 6–3#565.5–4.465%
vs MissouriMay 15vs MissouriW 11–6#565.5–4.465%
vs MissouriMay 16vs MissouriW 12–7#565.5–4.465%
vs MissouriMay 22
vs ArkansasL 1–8#146.6–5.266%
vs ArkansasMay 29
vs Holy CrossW 19–1#2306.1–4.372%
vs Holy CrossMay 30vs Tarleton StateW 16–2#1165.7–4.959%
vs Tarleton StateMay 31
vs UC Santa BarbaraW 6–4#305.3–4.559%
vs UC Santa BarbaraJun 6
vs OregonW 11–3#8
vs OregonJun 7vs OregonW 6–5#8
vs OregonJun 13
vs GeorgiaL 1–7#3
vs GeorgiaJun 15vs AlabamaW 14–2#186.2–5.757%
vs AlabamaJun 16vs GeorgiaL 0–2#3
vs GeorgiaRanking over time
weekly · place of 308#1#3#5#7
#2
Mar 24Mar 31Apr 7Apr 14Apr 21Apr 28May 5May 12May 19May 26Jun 2Jun 9Jun 16
13 weekly snapshots, frozen on Tuesdays while the sport is playing. The series stops where the season did and resumes when the sport does.
Road to Omaha
Pulse →1
Regional seed
6
National seed
College World Series
Austin Regional
The bracket is resolved, so this is the result rather than a probability.
Regular-season wins
not publishedThis sport has no season simulation, so there is no distribution of win totals to draw.
Profile
Runs per game8.1#24
Runs allowed per game4.4#10
Starter FIP3.47#28
Team OPS.928#14
Team wOBA.402#26
Run margin+3.8#6
Strength of schedule#6
The mock asks for a weekend rotation ERA; this feed publishes starter FIP, which is a different statistic and is shown under its own name. Every other row is the mock’s, and this is the only one of the seven sports where that is true.
BBMI picks on Texas
2026 • ATS1–1
Picks on Texas
11–5
Picks against
+4.9u
Net, flat 1u
ON took this team, AGAINST took its opponent. A game counts only inside the published edge band, and it is graded against the market line, which is the same rule the model-performance page uses. 18 graded picks.
Probabilities may not add to 100%. All results are model projections, not guarantees.