SEC • 2026 SEASON
Tennessee
#16
BBMI rank
+2.23
Rating
+2.2
Run margin
#33
RPI
Last game
Game Picks →Last updated: (data published)
Tennessee
SAT MAY 30 • 11:00 AM CT
4 – 5
final score
VCU
-0.5
Model run line
-3.5
Market run line
-3.0
Edge · ATS
52%
Win probability
Tennessee 52%VCU 48%
The 2026 season is complete. The board returns in February.
Schedule & projections
projected runs and win prob from the boardLast updated: (data published)
DATEOPPONENTRESULTOPP RKPROJWIN %WIN PROB
Feb 14
vs NichollsW 5–1#886.1–5.261%
vs NichollsFeb 14vs NichollsW 12–2#886.4–5.461%
vs NichollsFeb 17
vs UNC AshevilleW 10–3#2754.9–4.160%
vs UNC AshevilleFeb 20
vs Kent StateW 4–3#1306.8–5.960%
vs Kent StateFeb 21vs Kent StateL 1–2#1306.8–5.960%
vs Kent StateFeb 22vs Kent StateL 5–9#1306.8–5.960%
vs Kent StateFeb 24
vs BellarmineW 8–3#2767.4–5.768%
vs BellarmineFeb 27
vs UCLAL 5–12#45.8–5.652%
vs UCLAFeb 28
at Arizona StateW 5–3#555.9–6.246%
at Arizona StateMar 1
vs Virginia TechW 3–1#606.3–5.361%
vs Virginia TechMar 3
vs East Tennessee StateW 7–1#976.7–5.959%
vs East Tennessee StateMar 4
vs OaklandW 11–2#2974.9–4.160%
vs OaklandMar 6
vs Wright StateW 4–3#1747.0–5.764%
vs Wright StateMar 7vs Wright StateW 5–4#1747.0–5.764%
vs Wright StateMar 8vs Wright StateL 0–6#1747.0–5.764%
vs Wright StateMar 10
vs Tennessee TechW 20–2#2327.3–5.668%
vs Tennessee TechMar 13
at GeorgiaW 7–4#36.6–7.441%
at GeorgiaMar 14at GeorgiaL 2–4#36.6–7.441%
at GeorgiaMar 15at GeorgiaL 7–8#36.6–7.441%
at GeorgiaMar 17
vs Eastern KentuckyW 10–3#2677.6–5.572%
vs Eastern KentuckyMar 20
vs MissouriL 4–8#566.7–5.662%
vs MissouriMar 21vs MissouriW 4–2#566.6–5.661%
vs MissouriMar 22vs MissouriW 7–1#566.4–5.560%
vs MissouriMar 24W 4–2#836.7–5.959%
SCU
vs South Carolina UpstateMar 27
at VanderbiltL 2–3#286.8–7.543%
at VanderbiltMar 28at VanderbiltL 5–6#286.5–7.044%
at VanderbiltMar 29at VanderbiltL 15–16#286.5–7.243%
at VanderbiltMar 31
vs Austin PeayW 13–4#1547.5–6.265%
vs Austin PeayApr 3
vs LSUL 5–7#276.7–6.058%
vs LSUApr 4vs LSUW 4–1#276.7–6.257%
vs LSUApr 5vs LSUL 6–16#276.5–5.858%
vs LSUApr 7
vs Northern KentuckyW 12–6#2917.8–5.871%
vs Northern KentuckyApr 10
at Mississippi StateW 6–5#116.8–7.740%
at Mississippi StateApr 11at Mississippi StateW 6–2#116.6–7.441%
at Mississippi StateApr 12at Mississippi StateW 7–2#116.5–7.639%
at Mississippi StateApr 14vs UNC AshevilleW 11–1#2757.2–5.667%
vs UNC AshevilleApr 17
vs Ole MissL 4–7#156.4–5.758%
vs Ole MissApr 18vs Ole MissL 1–8#156.4–5.856%
vs Ole MissApr 19vs Ole MissW 13–5#155.9–5.456%
vs Ole MissApr 21
vs LipscombW 14–4#1896.9–5.664%
vs LipscombApr 23
vs AlabamaL 8–12#186.0–5.457%
vs AlabamaApr 24vs AlabamaW 11–1#186.1–5.557%
vs AlabamaApr 24vs AlabamaW 11–4#185.8–5.258%
vs AlabamaApr 28
vs West GeorgiaW 13–0#2597.5–5.473%
vs West GeorgiaMay 1
at KentuckyL 2–9#215.7–6.243%
at KentuckyMay 2at KentuckyL 2–12#215.7–6.343%
at KentuckyMay 3at KentuckyW 10–9#215.7–6.343%
at KentuckyMay 5W 8–1#2706.5–5.266%
PC
vs Presbyterian CollegeMay 8
vs TexasW 5–1#25.9–5.851%
vs TexasMay 9vs TexasW 14–9#25.9–5.851%
vs TexasMay 10vs TexasL 6–13#25.9–5.851%
vs TexasMay 12
vs BelmontW 11–1#2266.8–5.367%
vs BelmontMay 14
at OklahomaW 9–7#125.9–6.543%
at OklahomaMay 16at OklahomaW 5–3#125.9–6.543%
at OklahomaMay 16at OklahomaL 9–12#125.6–6.243%
at OklahomaMay 19
vs South CarolinaW 11–6#736.5–5.067%
vs South CarolinaMay 20
at ArkansasL 4–8#145.7–6.343%
at ArkansasMay 29
vs East CarolinaL 3–7#175.4–5.252%
vs East CarolinaMay 30vs VCUL 4–5#535.8–5.652%
vs VCURanking over time
weekly · place of 308#10#15#20
#16
Mar 24Mar 31Apr 7Apr 14Apr 21Apr 28May 5May 12May 19May 26Jun 2Jun 9Jun 16
13 weekly snapshots, frozen on Tuesdays while the sport is playing. The series stops where the season did and resumes when the sport does.
Road to Omaha
Pulse →Last updated:
2
Regional seed
—
National seed
Regional
Chapel Hill Regional
The bracket is resolved, so this is the result rather than a probability.
Regular-season wins
not publishedLast updated: (data published)
This sport has no season simulation, so there is no distribution of win totals to draw.
Profile
Runs per game7.2#79
Runs allowed per game5.0#28
Starter FIP3.61#33
Team OPS.881#51
Team wOBA.380#81
Run margin+2.2#29
Strength of schedule#23
The mock asks for a weekend rotation ERA; this feed publishes starter FIP, which is a different statistic and is shown under its own name. Every other row is the mock’s, and this is the only one of the seven sports where that is true.
BBMI picks on Tennessee
2026 • ATS5–5
Picks on Tennessee
7–2
Picks against
+3.9u
Net, flat 1u
ON took this team, AGAINST took its opponent. A game counts only inside the published edge band, and it is graded against the market line, which is the same rule the model-performance page uses. 19 graded picks.
Probabilities may not add to 100%. All results are model projections, not guarantees.