Team Pages/Big 12/TCU
TCU logo
BIG 12 • 2026 SEASON

TCU

Record 33-21vs line 11–4 ATSLast L 4–9 vs Kansas StatePostseason did not qualify
#47
BBMI rank
+1.40
Rating
+1.4
Run margin
#46
RPI

Last game

Game Picks →
Last updated: (data published)
Kansas State logo
Kansas State
#68 • +1.04 • Big 12
WED MAY 20 • 10:00 PM CT
9 – 4
final score
TCU
#47 • +1.40 • home
TCU logo
-3.5
Model run line
-1.5
Market run line
+2.0
Edge · ATS
61%
Win probability
TCU 61%Kansas State 39%
The 2026 season is complete. The board returns in February.

Schedule & projections

projected runs and win prob from the board
Last updated: (data published)
DATEOPPONENTRESULTOPP RKPROJWIN %WIN PROB
Feb 14
Arkansas logovs Arkansas
W 5–4#145.9–5.753%
Feb 15
Oklahoma logoat Oklahoma
L 2–12#125.5–6.341%
Feb 17
U
at UTA
L 8–11#1794.6–5.242%
Feb 20
UCLA logoat UCLA
L 2–10#45.4–6.636%
Feb 21
UCLA logoat UCLA
L 1–5#45.4–6.636%
Feb 22
UCLA logoat UCLA
L 5–15#45.4–6.636%
Feb 23
L
at Loyola-Marymount
W 17–7#2854.6–5.242%
Feb 27
New Haven logovs New Haven
W 14–3#2939.5–6.578%
Feb 28
New Haven logovs New Haven
W 12–4#2939.5–6.578%
Mar 1
New Haven logovs New Haven
W 20–1#2939.5–6.578%
Mar 3
Abilene Christian logovs Abilene Christian
W 7–6#1598.3–7.063%
Mar 6
Tulane logovs Tulane
W 10–2#1197.6–6.660%
Mar 8
Tulane logovs Tulane
L 4–8#1197.0–6.160%
Mar 8
Tulane logovs Tulane
W 4–3#1197.3–6.460%
Mar 11
Kansas logovs Kansas
W 9–4#377.3–6.856%
Mar 13
Arizona State logoat Arizona State
W 5–4#556.5–7.143%
Mar 14
Arizona State logoat Arizona State
L 8–15#556.5–7.143%
Mar 15
Arizona State logoat Arizona State
L 0–4#556.5–7.143%
Mar 17
New Mexico State logovs New Mexico State
W 16–6#2458.8–6.771%
Mar 20
UCF logovs UCF
L 7–18#357.2–6.953%
Mar 21
UCF logovs UCF
W 6–0#357.2–6.855%
Mar 22
UCF logovs UCF
L 1–9#357.3–6.855%
Mar 24
DB
at Dallas Baptist
W 11–5#828.7–9.146%
Mar 27
Texas Tech logovs Texas Tech
W 18–8#1128.2–7.557%
Mar 28
Texas Tech logovs Texas Tech
W 10–9#1127.7–7.058%
Mar 29
Texas Tech logovs Texas Tech
W 5–4#1127.7–7.058%
Mar 31
Lamar logovs Lamar
W 8–6#1347.8–6.662%
Apr 3
Kansas State logoat Kansas State
L 12–13#686.7–7.146%
Apr 4
Kansas State logoat Kansas State
W 9–3#686.5–6.648%
Apr 5
Kansas State logoat Kansas State
W 4–0#686.4–6.746%
Apr 7
Abilene Christian logoat Abilene Christian
L 1–4#1597.2–7.250%
Apr 10
Arizona logovs Arizona
L 3–4#1017.6–6.661%
Apr 11
Arizona logovs Arizona
W 5–0#1017.4–6.461%
Apr 11
Arizona logovs Arizona
W 5–0#1017.1–6.161%
Apr 14
Tarleton State logovs Tarleton State
W 12–5#1168.6–7.462%
Apr 17
Baylor logoat Baylor
L 4–11#756.0–6.643%
Apr 19
Baylor logoat Baylor
W 5–4#755.4–5.845%
Apr 19
Baylor logoat Baylor
W 5–4#755.1–5.545%
Apr 21
DB
vs Dallas Baptist
W 6–5#828.3–7.360%
Apr 24
Houston logovs Houston
W 8–3#697.4–6.559%
Apr 25
Houston logovs Houston
W 4–2#697.3–6.459%
Apr 26
Houston logovs Houston
W 14–2#697.3–6.459%
Apr 29
U
vs UTA
W 12–1#1797.8–6.662%
May 1
Oklahoma State logoat Oklahoma State
L 6–7#676.8–7.345%
May 2
Oklahoma State logoat Oklahoma State
L 2–9#676.8–7.345%
May 3
Oklahoma State logoat Oklahoma State
L 10–11#676.8–7.345%
May 8
Utah logovs Utah
W 3–0#1277.7–6.860%
May 9
Utah logovs Utah
W 3–1#1277.7–6.860%
May 10
Utah logovs Utah
W 4–3#1277.7–6.860%
May 14
West Virginia logoat West Virginia
L 0–2#74.8–5.837%
May 15
West Virginia logoat West Virginia
W 4–0#74.8–5.837%
May 16
West Virginia logoat West Virginia
L 4–6#74.8–5.837%
May 20
Kansas State logovs Kansas State
L 4–9#686.8–5.961%

Ranking over time

weekly · place of 308
#40#50#60
#47
Mar 24Mar 31Apr 7Apr 14Apr 21Apr 28May 5May 12May 19May 26Jun 2Jun 9Jun 16

13 weekly snapshots, frozen on Tuesdays while the sport is playing. The series stops where the season did and resumes when the sport does.

Road to Omaha

Pulse →
Last updated:
This team did not reach the 2026 tournament field.

Regular-season wins

not published
Last updated: (data published)
This sport has no season simulation, so there is no distribution of win totals to draw.

Profile

Runs per game6.9#108
Runs allowed per game5.5#71
Starter FIP3.60#31
Team OPS.838#103
Team wOBA.370#112
Run margin+1.4#69
Strength of schedule#62
The mock asks for a weekend rotation ERA; this feed publishes starter FIP, which is a different statistic and is shown under its own name. Every other row is the mock’s, and this is the only one of the seven sports where that is true.

BBMI picks on TCU

2026 • ATS
2–2
Picks on TCU
9–2
Picks against
+6.0u
Net, flat 1u
ON took this team, AGAINST took its opponent. A game counts only inside the published edge band, and it is graded against the market line, which is the same rule the model-performance page uses. 15 graded picks.
Probabilities may not add to 100%. All results are model projections, not guarantees.