SUN BELT • 2026 SEASON
Southern Miss
#44
BBMI rank
+1.49
Rating
+2.2
Run margin
#17
RPI
Last game
Game Picks →Last updated: (data published)
Virginia
SAT MAY 30 • 1:00 PM CT
15 – 11
final score
Southern Miss
-2.5
Model run line
-1.5
Market run line
+1.0
Edge
57%
Win probability
Southern Miss 57%Virginia 43%
The 2026 season is complete. The board returns in February.
Schedule & projections
projected runs and win prob from the boardLast updated: (data published)
DATEOPPONENTRESULTOPP RKPROJWIN %WIN PROB
Feb 14
vs UC Santa BarbaraW 8–6#305.9–5.555%
vs UC Santa BarbaraFeb 15vs UC Santa BarbaraW 6–5#305.9–5.555%
vs UC Santa BarbaraFeb 17
at Southeastern LouisianaW 3–1#1254.3–4.350%
at Southeastern LouisianaFeb 20
vs PurdueW 5–4#547.0–6.358%
vs PurdueFeb 21
at Oregon StateW 9–4#415.8–6.542%
at Oregon StateFeb 22
at BaylorW 5–1#756.3–6.646%
at BaylorFeb 24
vs AlabamaW 14–4#186.2–5.756%
vs AlabamaFeb 27
at Louisiana TechW 8–3#525.3–5.645%
at Louisiana TechFeb 28at Louisiana TechW 11–0#525.3–5.645%
at Louisiana TechMar 1at Louisiana TechW 6–2#525.3–5.645%
at Louisiana TechMar 3
vs Mississippi StateW 7–6#116.3–6.153%
vs Mississippi StateMar 4
vs NichollsL 2–3#886.4–5.560%
vs NichollsMar 6
vs North AlabamaW 9–4#1827.0–5.765%
vs North AlabamaMar 7vs North AlabamaW 6–1#1827.0–5.765%
vs North AlabamaMar 8vs North AlabamaW 9–2#1827.0–5.765%
vs North AlabamaMar 10
vs Ole MissW 2–1#156.2–5.855%
vs Ole MissMar 13
at Arkansas StateL 5–8#596.0–6.445%
at Arkansas StateMar 14at Arkansas StateW 7–1#596.0–6.445%
at Arkansas StateMar 15at Arkansas StateL 2–5#596.0–6.445%
at Arkansas StateMar 17vs NichollsW 4–0#886.8–5.861%
vs NichollsMar 20
vs TroyL 5–6#426.7–6.157%
vs TroyMar 21vs TroyW 11–5#426.8–5.961%
vs TroyMar 22vs TroyW 5–4#426.8–6.059%
vs TroyMar 24at Mississippi StateL 0–12#116.7–7.739%
at Mississippi StateMar 27
vs Appalachian StateW 6–5#1227.3–6.262%
vs Appalachian StateMar 28vs Appalachian StateL 2–6#1226.8–6.059%
vs Appalachian StateMar 29vs Appalachian StateW 13–4#1226.8–5.861%
vs Appalachian StateMar 31vs Southeastern LouisianaL 1–5#1256.3–5.363%
vs Southeastern LouisianaApr 2
at Old DominionW 10–4#1025.8–6.048%
at Old DominionApr 3at Old DominionL 8–10#1025.8–6.246%
at Old DominionApr 4at Old DominionW 8–7#1025.5–5.748%
at Old DominionApr 7
vs New OrleansW 3–2#1606.9–5.665%
vs New OrleansApr 10
at LouisianaW 8–1#404.8–5.344%
at LouisianaApr 11at LouisianaL 4–8#404.6–5.044%
at LouisianaApr 12at LouisianaL 5–6#404.6–5.044%
at LouisianaApr 14at Ole MissL 3–10#155.9–6.741%
at Ole MissApr 17
vs Texas StateW 8–2#927.1–6.062%
vs Texas StateApr 18vs Texas StateW 6–3#926.7–5.762%
vs Texas StateApr 19vs Texas StateW 5–4#926.6–5.662%
vs Texas StateApr 21
vs TulaneW 5–4#1196.4–5.462%
vs TulaneApr 24
at South AlabamaW 4–3#646.0–6.544%
at South AlabamaApr 25at South AlabamaW 16–7#645.6–6.145%
at South AlabamaApr 26at South AlabamaL 3–4#645.6–6.145%
at South AlabamaApr 28at TulaneL 6–7#1195.5–5.648%
at TulaneMay 2W 2–1#1426.4–5.561%
U
vs ULMMay 2W 2–1#1426.1–5.261%
U
vs ULMMay 3W 7–3#1426.6–5.761%
U
vs ULMMay 8
at James MadisonW 8–5#1415.8–5.850%
at James MadisonMay 9at James MadisonW 11–1#1415.8–5.850%
at James MadisonMay 10at James MadisonW 10–5#1415.8–5.850%
at James MadisonMay 14
vs Georgia SouthernW 14–3#2127.3–5.273%
vs Georgia SouthernMay 15vs Georgia SouthernW 10–1#2127.3–5.273%
vs Georgia SouthernMay 16vs Georgia SouthernW 11–0#2127.3–5.273%
vs Georgia SouthernMay 20
vs Georgia StateW 7–6#1537.0–5.566%
vs Georgia StateMay 22vs TroyW 7–6#426.4–5.560%
vs TroyMay 23vs TroyL 6–9#426.4–5.759%
vs TroyMay 24vs TroyW 6–2#426.4–5.956%
vs TroyMay 24vs LouisianaW 11–7#406.7–5.860%
vs LouisianaMay 29
vs Little RockL 4–7#895.9–5.259%
vs Little RockMay 30vs VirginiaL 11–15#256.3–5.757%
vs VirginiaRanking over time
weekly · place of 308#30#40
#44
Mar 24Mar 31Apr 7Apr 14Apr 21Apr 28May 5May 12May 19May 26Jun 2Jun 9Jun 16
13 weekly snapshots, frozen on Tuesdays while the sport is playing. The series stops where the season did and resumes when the sport does.
Road to Omaha
Pulse →Last updated:
1
Regional seed
9
National seed
Regional
Hattiesburg Regional
The bracket is resolved, so this is the result rather than a probability.
Regular-season wins
not publishedLast updated: (data published)
This sport has no season simulation, so there is no distribution of win totals to draw.
Profile
Runs per game6.6#137
Runs allowed per game4.4#11
Starter FIP4.40#97
Team OPS.814#138
Team wOBA.371#109
Run margin+2.2#31
Strength of schedule#32
The mock asks for a weekend rotation ERA; this feed publishes starter FIP, which is a different statistic and is shown under its own name. Every other row is the mock’s, and this is the only one of the seven sports where that is true.
BBMI picks on Southern Miss
2026 • ATS5–1
Picks on Southern Miss
11–9
Picks against
+4.5u
Net, flat 1u
ON took this team, AGAINST took its opponent. A game counts only inside the published edge band, and it is graded against the market line, which is the same rule the model-performance page uses. 26 graded picks.
Probabilities may not add to 100%. All results are model projections, not guarantees.