AMERICAN • 2026 SEASON
South Florida
#107
BBMI rank
+0.49
Rating
+1.3
Run margin
#81
RPI
Next game
Game Picks →Last updated: (data published)
F
FGCU
TUE APR 7 • 5:00 PM CT
not projected
projected runs
South Florida
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Model run line
—
Market run line
—
Edge
—
Win probability
Schedule & projections
projected runs and win prob from the boardLast updated: (data published)
DATEOPPONENTRESULTOPP RKPROJWIN %WIN PROB
Feb 14
vs IllinoisL 2–4#716.4–6.154%
vs IllinoisFeb 15vs IllinoisW 11–10#716.4–6.154%
vs IllinoisFeb 17
vs North Dakota StateW 9–5#2907.2–5.568%
vs North Dakota StateFeb 18vs North Dakota StateW 3–1#2907.2–5.568%
vs North Dakota StateFeb 20
vs Georgia SouthernW 9–7#2127.4–5.769%
vs Georgia SouthernFeb 21vs Georgia SouthernW 29–4#2127.4–5.769%
vs Georgia SouthernFeb 22vs Georgia SouthernW 4–3#2127.4–5.769%
vs Georgia SouthernFeb 24
at Bethune-CookmanL 3–4#1495.6–6.539%
at Bethune-CookmanFeb 28
at UCFW 9–2#354.9–5.938%
at UCFFeb 28at UCFW 2–1#355.2–6.238%
at UCFMar 1at UCFL 1–2#355.3–6.339%
at UCFMar 3
vs StetsonW 12–4#1396.3–5.856%
vs StetsonMar 6
vs SouthernW 6–1#2717.4–6.065%
vs SouthernMar 7vs SouthernW 15–1#2716.8–5.664%
vs SouthernMar 7vs SouthernW 9–2#2717.2–5.965%
vs SouthernMar 9
at JacksonvilleW 11–6#1375.1–5.644%
at JacksonvilleMar 13
vs ColumbiaW 6–3#1936.7–5.860%
vs ColumbiaMar 14vs ColumbiaW 2–0#1936.2–5.361%
vs ColumbiaMar 14vs ColumbiaW 10–6#1936.5–5.660%
vs ColumbiaMar 15vs ColumbiaW 6–3#1936.7–5.860%
vs ColumbiaMar 17vs JacksonvilleW 13–3#1376.3–5.857%
vs JacksonvilleMar 20
vs RiceL 4–5#916.4–5.857%
vs RiceMar 21vs RiceW 2–0#916.4–5.759%
vs RiceMar 22vs RiceW 7–2#916.3–5.757%
vs RiceMar 24W 7–3#1266.5–7.639%
F
at FGCUMar 27
at CharlotteL 2–11#636.4–7.440%
at CharlotteMar 28at CharlotteW 9–5#636.0–6.842%
at CharlotteMar 29at CharlotteL 3–10#636.2–6.843%
at CharlotteMar 31vs Bethune-CookmanL 5–6#1496.9–6.852%
vs Bethune-CookmanApr 2
vs MemphisW 10–1#1116.7–6.157%
vs MemphisApr 3vs MemphisL 4–7#1117.3–6.360%
vs MemphisApr 4vs MemphisW 5–0#1116.7–6.059%
vs MemphisApr 7—#126
F
vs FGCUApr 10
at UTSAL 3–11#436.3–7.537%
at UTSAApr 11at UTSAL 3–7#436.5–7.837%
at UTSAApr 11at UTSAL 3–7#436.2–7.437%
at UTSAApr 15
at Miami (FL)W 4–2#266.4–7.935%
at Miami (FL)Apr 17
vs UABL 4–8#786.8–6.355%
vs UABApr 18vs UABL 6–12#786.9–6.257%
vs UABApr 19vs UABW 1–0#786.8–6.257%
vs UABApr 21at StetsonW 6–5#1395.8–6.542%
at StetsonApr 24
at East CarolinaL 1–11#175.2–6.337%
at East CarolinaApr 25at East CarolinaL 4–12#174.9–6.037%
at East CarolinaApr 26at East CarolinaL 4–12#175.1–6.237%
at East CarolinaApr 29
at Florida StateL 1–9#296.1–7.237%
at Florida StateMay 1L 9–12#1476.6–5.761%
F
vs FAUMay 2L 5–6#1476.6–5.761%
F
vs FAUMay 3W 11–6#1476.6–5.761%
F
vs FAUMay 8
at TulaneW 16–6#1195.5–6.044%
at TulaneMay 9at TulaneL 8–9#1195.5–6.044%
at TulaneMay 10at TulaneL 5–9#1195.5–6.044%
at TulaneMay 14
vs Wichita StateW 4–1#846.0–5.753%
vs Wichita StateMay 15vs Wichita StateW 7–6#846.0–5.753%
vs Wichita StateMay 16vs Wichita StateL 5–8#846.0–5.753%
vs Wichita StateRanking over time
weekly · place of 308#60#70#80#90#100
#107
Mar 24Mar 31Apr 7Apr 14Apr 21Apr 28May 5May 12May 19May 26Jun 2Jun 9Jun 16
13 weekly snapshots, frozen on Tuesdays while the sport is playing. The series stops where the season did and resumes when the sport does.
Road to Omaha
Pulse →Last updated:
This team did not reach the 2026 tournament field.
Regular-season wins
not publishedLast updated: (data published)
This sport has no season simulation, so there is no distribution of win totals to draw.
Profile
Runs per game6.5#154
Runs allowed per game5.2#52
Starter FIP5.20#163
Team OPS.807#156
Team wOBA.368#128
Run margin+1.3#75
Strength of schedule#104
The mock asks for a weekend rotation ERA; this feed publishes starter FIP, which is a different statistic and is shown under its own name. Every other row is the mock’s, and this is the only one of the seven sports where that is true.
BBMI picks on South Florida
2026 • ATS3–2
Picks on South Florida
8–5
Picks against
+3.0u
Net, flat 1u
ON took this team, AGAINST took its opponent. A game counts only inside the published edge band, and it is graded against the market line, which is the same rule the model-performance page uses. 18 graded picks.
Probabilities may not add to 100%. All results are model projections, not guarantees.