Team Pages/The Summit League/South Dakota State
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THE SUMMIT LEAGUE • 2026 SEASON

South Dakota State

Record 20-33vs line 0–1 ATSLast L 0–17 at Arizona StatePostseason Regional
#282
BBMI rank
-1.99
Rating
-1.6
Run margin
#239
RPI

Last game

Game Picks →
Last updated: (data published)
South Dakota State logo
South Dakota State
#282 • -1.99 • Ty Madison
SAT MAY 30 • 2:00 PM CT
0 – 17
final score
Arizona State
#55 • +1.25 • neutral • Kole Klecker
Arizona State logo
+3.5
Model run line
+4.5
Market run line
+1.0
Edge
38%
Win probability
South Dakota State 38%Arizona State 62%
The 2026 season is complete. The board returns in February.

Schedule & projections

projected runs and win prob from the board
Last updated: (data published)
DATEOPPONENTRESULTOPP RKPROJWIN %WIN PROB
Feb 14
UTSA logoat UTSA
L 5–13#436.3–8.528%
Feb 15
UTSA logoat UTSA
L 1–13#436.3–8.528%
Feb 27
Central Arkansas logoat Central Arkansas
L 1–5#2256.3–7.240%
Feb 28
Central Arkansas logoat Central Arkansas
W 8–5#2256.3–7.240%
Mar 1
Central Arkansas logoat Central Arkansas
L 3–9#2256.3–7.240%
Mar 4
Nebraska logoat Nebraska
L 4–5#195.6–7.728%
Mar 6
Northwestern logovs Northwestern
W 5–4#1697.3–7.152%
Mar 7
Minnesota logoat Minnesota
L 2–3#236.0–8.228%
Mar 11
Kansas State logoat Kansas State
L 0–9#686.5–8.134%
Mar 17
Oklahoma State logoat Oklahoma State
L 6–7#676.9–8.732%
Mar 18
Oklahoma State logoat Oklahoma State
L 11–12#676.9–8.732%
Mar 25
Creighton logoat Creighton
L 5–11#856.1–7.832%
Apr 8
Minnesota logoat Minnesota
L 7–16#236.3–8.727%
May 20
Oral Roberts logoat Oral Roberts
W 7–3#1715.8–7.432%
May 21
Northern Colorado logoat Northern Colorado
W 2–1#2987.0–7.347%
May 23
Oral Roberts logovs Oral Roberts
L 1–4#1716.3–6.944%
May 23
Oral Roberts logovs Oral Roberts
W 9–6#1716.2–6.844%
May 29
Nebraska logoat Nebraska
L 1–4#195.0–7.028%
May 30
Arizona State logovs Arizona State
L 0–17#556.2–7.338%

Ranking over time

weekly · place of 308
#200#220#240#260#280
#282
Mar 24Mar 31Apr 7Apr 14Apr 21Apr 28May 5May 12May 19May 26Jun 2Jun 9Jun 16

13 weekly snapshots, frozen on Tuesdays while the sport is playing. The series stops where the season did and resumes when the sport does.

Road to Omaha

Pulse →
Last updated:
4
Regional seed
—
National seed
Regional
Lincoln Regional
The bracket is resolved, so this is the result rather than a probability.

Regular-season wins

not published
Last updated: (data published)
This sport has no season simulation, so there is no distribution of win totals to draw.

Profile

Runs per game6.1#212
Runs allowed per game7.7#244
Starter FIP7.70#276
Team OPS.782#208
Team wOBA.354#183
Run margin-1.6#244
Strength of schedule#249
The mock asks for a weekend rotation ERA; this feed publishes starter FIP, which is a different statistic and is shown under its own name. Every other row is the mock’s, and this is the only one of the seven sports where that is true.

BBMI picks on South Dakota State

2026 • ATS
0–0
Picks on South Dakota State
0–1
Picks against
-1.0u
Net, flat 1u
ON took this team, AGAINST took its opponent. A game counts only inside the published edge band, and it is graded against the market line, which is the same rule the model-performance page uses. 1 graded picks.
Probabilities may not add to 100%. All results are model projections, not guarantees.